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Magic Market Index for April 19, 2019
  • posted a message on The State of Modern Thread (B&R 11/03/2019)
    List of modern playable equipment:
    Cranial plating

    Let’s not even talk about new equipment being printed. The old ‘good’ ones like swords and batterskull aren’t even good enough on their own.
    Posted in: Modern
  • posted a message on The State of Modern Thread (B&R 11/03/2019)
    What was the 'acceptable' percentage for a pre-turn 4 win? I believe Infect's turn 3 kill rate with gitaxian probe could not be higher than 30%. And that's even after having 2 turns to develop resources and interact.

    That being the case, 20% turn 1 kill rate with no chance at all to interact seems like it should just not be allowed. Heck even 10% is ridiculous. Although it does remain to be seen if the deck can actually put up such a percentage.
    Posted in: Modern
  • posted a message on The State of Modern Thread (B&R 11/03/2019)
    Why even such a ridiculously high number like 80%? If even 20% of games end before a player gets to take a game action, that should be it, pound it with the hammer.
    Posted in: Modern
  • posted a message on The State of Modern Thread (B&R 11/03/2019)
    24-27 points Modern Lists: https://magic.wizards.com/en/events/coverage/2019MC2/24-27-modern-match-point-decklists-2019-04-28

    Out of 26 decks, Phoenix and Humans leading the pack at 5 and 4 copies respectively.

    1 guy repping Jund, what a hero.
    Posted in: Modern
  • posted a message on The State of Modern Thread (B&R 11/03/2019)
    The legality of Jitte and Brainstorm make a big difference in the power level of SFM is in Legacy vs Modern.

    Also, there are quite a few cards legal in BOTH formats that can do a job on a stoneforge package.

    Pithing Needle for example is a multi-purpose card that any deck can use to stop both SFM herself or equipment. Phyrexian revoker is another. These cards simply don't see play in Modern because there aren't many strong activated abilities around. They're ready made answers for SFM.

    I don't see how anyone can buy the notion that SFM + Skull is some sort of powerhouse inevitability engine when a pithing needle just stops it from happening.
    Posted in: Modern
  • posted a message on The State of Modern Thread (B&R 11/03/2019)
    Maybe you should stop crying about what random magic players talk about and go play and enjoy. Goes both ways, practice what you preach.
    Posted in: Modern
  • posted a message on The State of Modern Thread (B&R 11/03/2019)
    How's anyone supposed to answer that? Every card that got banned in Modern had a different life-span in the format.

    Pod had something like 2 or 3 years before it got hit, DRS had a year and a half or so, TC had I think 4-ish months. Most of the cards on the list are put there for different reasons anyway so how do you expect anyone to put a time frame to it.

    If WOTC thinks it needs to go, it goes. Simple as that.
    Posted in: Modern
  • posted a message on The State of Modern Thread (B&R 11/03/2019)
    Play this game long enough and you'll experience both losing out and coming out ahead due to a ban list update. Heck this even happens organically with the introduction of new cards.
    Posted in: Modern
  • posted a message on The State of Modern Thread (B&R 11/03/2019)
    Yup, that's why I specified if such a situation should arise.

    I simply don't care about the notion that things shouldn't be banned because it hurts some people's wallets.
    Posted in: Modern
  • posted a message on The State of Modern Thread (B&R 11/03/2019)
    Game/format balance should not be held hostage by card prices. If a situation arises where a deck is heads and shoulders above everything else then it should go. 'investments' be damned.
    Posted in: Modern
  • posted a message on The State of Modern Thread (B&R 11/03/2019)
    Sweet top 8. Is this the 1st time in Modern we've got 8 different decks in a the top 8 of a single event?
    Posted in: Modern
  • posted a message on The State of Modern Thread (B&R 11/03/2019)
    RiP is actually 2cmc.

    And you're right, dredge can brute force through 1 or 2 relics without too much trouble with decent dredges. Creeping chills still do their thing. Creatures can still be cast. He talks like its so easy to just hold up relic. Dredge doesn't need to blow their load in one big turn. They can play the slow game just fine and it's not like they don't run nature's claim to force the relic.

    Are you gonna crack the relic when it's a bloodghast coming back to trigger an amalgam? If you do, pretty easy to start refilling again next turn, if not here's 5 power on the board, deal with it.
    Posted in: Modern
  • posted a message on The State of Modern Thread (B&R 11/03/2019)
    We didn't have any visibility into Day 1 stats before. And there have been some assertions (more reddit than here)because of that unknown that UR Phoenix being an immensely popular deck may have under-performed in conversions from Day 1 to Day 2.

    Now that we know almost for sure (at least for Tampa) that it over-performed at every stage, that can be put to rest.
    Posted in: Modern
  • posted a message on The State of Modern Thread (B&R 11/03/2019)
    New article from Tobi Henke: https://www.channelfireball.com/articles/modern-developments-from-port-to-bay/?_ga=2.73952786.1263373486.1553272605-151980716.1550756939

    12% is big news, by the way. Izzet Phoenix’s metagame share of 12.2% in Tampa is the highest a deck reached at any Grand Prix in recent memory. I won’t judge whether or not this qualifies as oppressive, but I’d be remiss if I didn’t mention that once upon a time Splinter Twin was banned for threatening the format’s diversity.

    Equally astonishing is the win rate Izzet maintained even in the face of growing numbers. Usually, a rise in popularity goes hand in wing with a drop-off in performance. Early adopters typically outperform the average player. I thought we’d seen this effect in action with Grand Prix Los Angeles, but no, that was just temporary turbulence. The win rate went back to 57% and a bit for Tampa Bay. Indeed it is higher now than it ever was before, if only by 0.02%.

    As you will see, other archetypes managed to do better than Izzet Phoenix at one or two events, but nothing outperformed the deck with comparable consistency. Also, nothing could match Izzet Phoenix’s massive sample size.


    Should be noted that when he says 12.2% metagame share, it is based on a sample of 57.5% of that tournament’s full field.

    So IF this 12.2% is accurate, or as accurate as it can be based on the sample, then we now know that UR Phoenix:

    Day 1: 12.2% (possibly more)
    Day 2: 19.5%
    Top 32: 31.25%

    Over-performed.

    Hopefully people can now stop claiming that the deck is overrated and not that good.
    Posted in: Modern
  • posted a message on Do you enjoy modern right now?
    Agreed, if happenings outside playing the game affecting attendance is your fundamental point, then yes, there are a lot of factors that are frankly impossible to account for.

    But using the GGT banning to 'reinforce' your fundamental point is disingenuous at best.

    Adding to that, I think 2017/2018 with Modern Masters 3 and fetchland reprints has made Modern far more accessible, which is a great thing, and a huge factor in bringing players in to the format.
    Posted in: Modern
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