The only time I can think of is the Solemn Simulacrum reprint in M12, which did raise the price of Simulacrum for a short while until the # of M12 ones caught up to the # of people who now needed a Solemn Simulacrum for a deck.
Bottom line: If they print product equal to say, 10 or 20% or current supply (Lets say there are 1 million Future Sight Goyfs and they print 100,000-200,000 new ones, just for the sake of having an example) I could actually see an increase in value. WotC pushing Modern = more Modern tournaments, more people building Modern decks, and potentially more Increased Demand than Increased Supply. They did say that this was going to be a very limited print run.
? I don't see a contradiction at all. All modern cards likely will be reprinted. They just won't do it in a way that will (likely) instantly erase a ton of value. This simultaneously addresses price and supply concerns while not significantly reducing the value of cards. Where's the contradiction? There is no 'side' of maintaining card value vs availability - those aren't primary business concerns, merely the attempt to move to an optimal supply/demand equilibrium resulting in the greatest revenue for the company (where the optimal number of customers, including stores and customers will pay the optimal amount of $ for packs of product). Towards this end, a product must be popular enough that people want to buy it, cheap enough that customers will afford it, and expensive enough to make money on top of costs.
Translation: If you're waiting for goyfs (or whatever) at 10% of current value, it just might never happen. If you're waiting for cheaper goyfs, you'll get them in MM1 in 2013. If you don't get them now, you can likely get them later in MM2, MM3, etc. or whatever name they decide to change it to in the future. All of the cards in modern are meant to be reprinted, this is the difference from legacy. That means goyfs or any other card will likely never attain too high of a value but what the hey, it's modern - you're not in it for the long-term investment
IMHO, the obvious price response to a reprints is instant price lowering, I'm pretty sure that each of the modern staples mentioned by the OP will lower in value in response to a reprint. There is no mythical 'surge in demand' that will outstrip supply that I've seen, it's wishful thinking (somebody give me an example of when this happened?) It would be nice if this were true since I have those cards in question but the smart money is on the downside.
Wow, just read the whole thread and no mention of my flavor of the last few months. I have really been enjoying Magic Hat No. 9 lately. It does have a little bit of a fruity aftertaste, so it is a little bit different than some of the harder Stouts and IPA's that are being suggested here.
I am from Syracuse, NY, where there are A LOT of available microbrews. Our local Wegman's grocery stores literally carry something like 500 different beers. They have the best option ever: Make your own 6-pack for $9.99. You can just take any six bottles and an empty sixpack box and build your own. My favorite beer is always one I haven't tasted before. Sometimes you win and sometimes you lose, but you always get a new flavor experience.
I like the 5x multiplier for low- to mid-range playable Russian foils, and 10x for higher-end stuff. In the case of Reveillark, I'd say about $15. It's really buyer-specific, though.
This is unresearched and REALLY bad advice. Lowest Buy it Now on Ebay for an ENGLISH foil Reveillark is $19.99 shipped. One Japanese foil is at $66.
Russian is on par or higher than Japanese in many cases. I wouldn't let it go for a penny under $50 in any circumstance. I would probably just hold it for now and watch it continue to go up.
Jeff,
Your insights and efforts have always been appreciated. Thanks for always taking the time to give us a window into your world. I wish you the best of health and happiness for your family.
I am just curious what cards people are buying while RtR prices are depressed from the dumping of cards during the RtR release period. With the number of people playing in these events, the cards' values seem really low right now.
I sold Tarmogoyfs for five bucks, everybody! Yup, sold right out at $5 and then it went to $40 or whatever the next week. And Arcbound Ravagers for $2. Laugh it up! I won't tell you about the cards I bought for $1 and sold for $28, or the cards I sold for $10 when everybody else was asking $15, right before it dropped to $2.
I bet you sold JTMS for $25 too!!
Overall, thanks for keeping the thread going and taking the time to post your updates. I don't post in these threads too often, but I always read all the posts. Most of us appreciate your efforts.
I don't even think LSV would argue that his deck was optimal. He was even sort of laughing at some of his choices as he went. He could have gone Izzet splashing the Stab wound and the Detention Sphere and had a much more cohesive deck and plan. He is, however, LSV.
Apparently there is a Nivmagus Elemental / Kiln Fiend deck that is pretty interesting at the PT. According to Twitter, it is capable of a turn 2 win, but weak to Jund. Nivmagus up from bulk status to $1.50/$2.
Making money at poker is a "full time Job" rather than an "investment". Managing a car dealership is not an investment for me, my 401k and other ventures are investments.
The foil market on MTGO just isn't the same as in paper. Most people disable the foil animation to make the program run more smoothly, and the only real demand for foils is from folks trying to put together foil sets for redemption. You will occassionally come across someone who runs foil decks, but they are very rare.
I don't believe you have enough land to be playing with so many high casting-cost cards. I would think 26 would be more appropriate. Sun Titan is kind of meh here, as his recursion targets are underwhelming. My .02
Bottom line: If they print product equal to say, 10 or 20% or current supply (Lets say there are 1 million Future Sight Goyfs and they print 100,000-200,000 new ones, just for the sake of having an example) I could actually see an increase in value. WotC pushing Modern = more Modern tournaments, more people building Modern decks, and potentially more Increased Demand than Increased Supply. They did say that this was going to be a very limited print run.
I am from Syracuse, NY, where there are A LOT of available microbrews. Our local Wegman's grocery stores literally carry something like 500 different beers. They have the best option ever: Make your own 6-pack for $9.99. You can just take any six bottles and an empty sixpack box and build your own. My favorite beer is always one I haven't tasted before. Sometimes you win and sometimes you lose, but you always get a new flavor experience.
Magic Hat No. 9
This is unresearched and REALLY bad advice. Lowest Buy it Now on Ebay for an ENGLISH foil Reveillark is $19.99 shipped. One Japanese foil is at $66.
Russian is on par or higher than Japanese in many cases. I wouldn't let it go for a penny under $50 in any circumstance. I would probably just hold it for now and watch it continue to go up.
Your insights and efforts have always been appreciated. Thanks for always taking the time to give us a window into your world. I wish you the best of health and happiness for your family.
~Mike.
I bet you sold JTMS for $25 too!!
Overall, thanks for keeping the thread going and taking the time to post your updates. I don't post in these threads too often, but I always read all the posts. Most of us appreciate your efforts.