Quote from ktkenshinx »Quote from b07 »Lots of mentions of UW control as being a prime candidate for FoN, which makes sense, but it is miles worse than FoW at protecting a Walker because you can't cast it for free all the time.
UW player taps out for JtMS. Brainstorm
Opp EoT Lightning Bolt...
I'm not saying FoN is necessarily bad, but the free part being active only half the time, And only hitting non-creatures, sounds like a sideboard card to me. If anything, FoN might just incentivize more instants being played.
This is really only a limitation in the fair matchups, where Ux doesn't need that much help and is mostly doing fine. FoN could still be valuable in this scenario if an opponent blows up T4 JTMS and then tries to follow up with any noncreature counterplay.
This scenario is less of an issue in the unfair matchups, where opponents aren't typically holding up interaction mana, or even playing those spells to begin with. The archetypal example is, again, Gx Tron. You currently can't run out T2 Search into T3 Tron on the draw or you just lose to Karn Liberated while tapped out. Same with T3 Teferi/Narset or T4 JTMS. Tron isn't suddenly evolving back to RG Tron with Bolts to deal with these lines. It's just going to walk into them, which allows Ux players to get on the board in a matchup where they are otherwise always on the backseat and waiting for Tron inevitability. This is very relevant in the URx decks, particularly Jeskai, which have horrible 30-70 MWP matchups against Tron. Even getting that to 40-60 or better is a major advantage for Jeskai players.
All true. And Tron is apparently the most common deck right now (https://www.mtggoldfish.com/metagame/modern/full#paper). Again, I'm not saying Force of Negation is a bad card, I just question it's ability to have relevant applications across the board. Even with Tron being 10% of the meta currently, it is only 10%. You could play a 6 round event and still be statistically favored to not even see it once.
We might see an uptick in Supreme Verdict, which could compliment FoN very well.
I'm coming around to FoN a little, but I still see it primarily as a sideboard card to fight decks that want to tap out for non-creature threats. Karn(s), Blood Moon, Scapeshift, Ensnaring Bridge, etc. things like that.