A quick history and I just realized we have seen unbans in four of the past five years, always in the first four months. Wild Nacatl, Bitterblossom, then GGT, then sword and AV, then BBE and Jace with only 2017 seeing zero new cards (meanwhile like ten cards were banned in standard between start of 2017 and 2018, so let's say WOTC was distracted). So WOTC definitely isn't stingy about unbans. Three of these four cases saw two cards unbanned, but not cards that would clearly fit a single archetype. If there's an unban, I'll bet two options:
SFM by itself
My reasons are as follows:
1. SFM will be attempted in all sorts of decks, so in an attempt to avoid boosting any decks with two new cards, I think if it is unbanned it will be done entirely alone. If, for instance, SFM and preordain arrived and we saw some Stoneblade-style deck dominate, it would be tough to know which card caused the problem. In order to avoid a "BBE died for DRS sins" reaction, it would make sense to allow SFM to be by itself.
2. Preordain and GSZ would almost certainly not work together. The former helps control, midrange, and technically combo but I'll get to that. The latter helps green based midrange, toolbox, and elves dicks. The only blue combo deck that is currently seeing a decent amount of play is storm, which even with preordain is still vulnerable to creature removal as well as GY hate.
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Dec 14, 2018I have never spent so much time staring at tcgplayer going "do I just want to buy another deck?" after buying into grixis shadow. Considering I decided 2019 was the year I did some traveling for the SCG tour.Posted in: Modern
Dec 13, 2018Posted in: ModernQuote from motleyslayer »Grixis Deaths Shadow has put up a few good events lately, is it suddenly well positioned now or did they run hot? didn't get to watch much coverage
It's better. Humans and UW are rough, and both of them are seeing downslides with the rises of spirits and dredge. Humans have thalia and reflector mage, while spirits either runs zero of either or 1-2 each in their 75s. Shadow acting as midrange with a capable clock also serves it well against KCI. I don't play online, but I know that KCI is all but extinct there because of the program's limitations. In paper, though, where you may play against KCI a couple of times, shadow is a great option. Hell, even burn is reducing its meta presence in paper, and that is a tricky one to navigate for the shadow pilot.
Dec 11, 2018Posted in: ModernQuote from Spsiegel1987 »I'm frustrated to see how quickly Noble went back up already.
I mean Noble is still lower overall. But this is still week one of the reprint set. It's still being opened for drafts/sealed, boxes are showing up at people's doors from online orders, and based on the crowds I've seen at stores to get after this set, I wouldn't be surprised if we saw the mythics drop, then rebound a bit, then drop again towards the end of the month.
Ultimately though, the only reason it went back up is that tons of people bought copies between $35-40. It's in the mid 40s now on tcgplayer, which is tremendous compared to three months ago.
Dec 10, 2018Posted in: ModernQuote from cfusionpm »Yeah, Creeping Chill was designed to be used with Surveil, not with decks that can put half their library into the graveyard by turn 3.
While I get it, the reason I will not cut WOTC a break on this oversight in card design is that they also reprinted freakin narcomoeba. A card that helped bust dredge is right next to creeping chill and nobody thought "hey this creeping chill is a cool card, but it works just like narcomoeba. it could boost dredge in other formats."
Dec 10, 2018I bought four packs after dropping from a tournament Saturday that went like so:Posted in: Modern
pack 1 - entomb (meh)
pack 2 - desolate lighthouse (oh so this is the kind of day i'm going to have)
pack 3 - ancient tomb (getting better)
pack 4 - cavern of souls (boo yah!)
The prices will creep back up over time, but the knee jerk reaction is "******* finally!" As it should be.
Dec 10, 2018It's not so much "broken stuff uses the gy," as it is that MtG is a game of resources. That is particularly true in eternal formats with older design philosophy that had less emphasis on creatures and planeswalkers. If you can use the gy as a resource, you have more stuff than someone who can't.Posted in: Modern
Dec 7, 2018A few random thoughts in response to that:Posted in: Modern
1. I doubt I will play any post-modern format. If modern becomes niche like legacy, the very least WOTC can do is what I've said before. They can add more cards to the reserved list. If formats aren't going to grow through a competitive scene at some point in the future, then let our collections and decks gain value. I'd be okay with losing some WOTC support if tronlands became $15 each with an RL announcements.
2. Still no Mac client for Arena, so I'm not even tempted to try it.
3. Freemium economies are weird slot-machine style dopamine loops. Don't assume that the economics of paper mtg or mtgo apply. A lot of people are weirdly okay with just grinding for four hours a day to feel like they aren't paying. Some folks don't understand that opportunity cost matters more than cost.
Dec 7, 2018Eh, I want to see a lot more about this pro system before thinking that people are going to come out in droves. One of my less popular opinions that I still hold is that WOTC likes the pro scene being consolidated to a handful of company-approved individuals and teams. Holy crap I'd get kicked out of the pro tour so fast the moment I had a microphone nearby.Posted in: Modern
Remember, the PPTQ/RPTQ system is going away, and if they announced its replacement please tell me.
Dec 7, 2018Mental Misstep would be played in every single deck, if only to counter other players' own copies. You hate matchup lottery-style nights? Wait until the "who drew more missteps" game determines the outcome on turn one or two.Posted in: Modern
Punishing Fire would not break the current modern format, HOWEVER, if WOTC ends up banning some combination of ancient stirrings or faithless looting, which are possibilities, the fairer aggro decks that would fill that void would be hit hard. I'm talking elves, bushwhacker zoo, stuff that doesn't involve cheating big creatures into play early. I'd rather see stirrings or looting gone (which I'm not hugely for anyways) than fire returning. Hell, I'd rather see twin back than fire.
Deathrite is the greatest example of making a fair card broken AF.
Dec 7, 2018BlueTronFTW posted a message on Magic Pro League (9 pm announcement got spoiled early)Fortunately I live in the eastern US and can aim for the starcity circuit. WOTC doesn't owe any of us paper card players anything. If you want to keep play going, I suggest you organize events yourself. A little entrepreneurial spirit is all it takes to keep tabletop competition thriving. Besides, modern is still a hugely popular format both in players and viewers, and arena has yet to support it.Posted in: The Rumor Mill
Dec 6, 2018You'll get some disagreement over what deck is in what tier, mostly because modern is so wide open that the gap in play between a top deck and a rogue but known option can be like 5% of the total meta. Here's some of my experiences:Posted in: Modern Community
Mono Blue Tron has a ton of info on this forum, combines control with mana ramp, and wins with some of the biggest troll cards in the history of the game like Mindslaver and Sundering Titan.
UR Storm is a mechanically complex combo because it wins by playing a critical mass of spells instead of just "A+B=instant win."
Grixis Shadow/Delver can either get out of the gate quick or slowly grind the opponent down, its versatile.
Burn has a relatively low barrier to entry, but as you play you'll find a lot of nuance to improve your game. Never gets super complex though
Infect will give you the most time for food in between rounds.
Dec 6, 2018ThosePosted in: The Rumor Mill
Those bolts are player rewards from time spiral era. The playerbase was tiny compared to what it is today. Then consider that, as far as I know, there were virtually zero ways to get more than one from WOTC, while I could attend ten GPs this year, and the comparison isn't really valid.
That being said, there's always demand for bolts. I imagine this will end up in the $8-10 range kinda like mutavault.
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