I’m pretty sure I’m approaching the humans matchup in the wrong manner. With most creature aggro decks, you can sort of save your removal for high priority targets like lords or combo pieces, but I feel like humans is a bit deceiving that way in that almost all of their creatures have a reasonable impact on the board while they’re in play, so they all feel threatening when they maybe aren’t in actuality. I’ve been losing games recently with the humans player around 2-6 life which almost definitely means I’m sending too much Burn at their board rather than face. Which creatures specifically are the high priority kill targets in that matchup?
Thinking of buying into the deck. Just have to know what the deck's worst matchups are? I'm especially curious about how it fares against mono U Tron and midrange decks (because that's what most of my meta is).
Also what are the best cards for the mirror match and generally what is my sideboard plan for the mirror? I'm starting on RW. when I have enough fetchlands I might go into Naya.
I’m pretty sure I’m approaching the humans matchup in the wrong manner. With most creature aggro decks, you can sort of save your removal for high priority targets like lords or combo pieces, but I feel like humans is a bit deceiving that way in that almost all of their creatures have a reasonable impact on the board while they’re in play, so they all feel threatening when they maybe aren’t in actuality. I’ve been losing games recently with the humans player around 2-6 life which almost definitely means I’m sending too much Burn at their board rather than face. Which creatures specifically are the high priority kill targets in that matchup?
Thalia, Meddling Mage, Champion of the Parish. Mantis Rider maybe, because it's a strong clock on its own.
Thinking of buying into the deck. Just have to know what the deck's worst matchups are? I'm especially curious about how it fares against mono U Tron and midrange decks (because that's what most of my meta is).
Also what are the best cards for the mirror match and generally what is my sideboard plan for the mirror? I'm starting on RW. when I have enough fetchlands I might go into Naya.
Eldrazi Tron and Ad Nauseam are close to unwinnable. Bogles is very hard, especially if they're playing maindeck Leylines. Soul Sisters basically exists solely to be a thorn in our side. You should be in good shape as a slight favorite against BGx decks in general and UTron should be very much in your favor (pretty much all Tron flavors are except for ETron).
I side out Eidolon for the mirror, and I'd bring in my last Blaze and some Paths to deal with any Firewalkers. If I played Firewalkers, then I'd bring those in, too, but I don't like it that much because it's so narrow.
Haven't played burn in probably a little over a year, been mostly playing infect and more recently Jund. Decidied to bring out burn for a change of pace. Went with a basic Boros list with D-Rev and a Stomping Ground in the board. 20 land mana-base, with 12 fetches. I think I would probably cut the revs in the future and just go with wear/tear.
Went to a weekly local tournament yesterdy and ended up going 3-1.
Round 1: Burn (2-0)
Game 1 was a typical mirror match. I won the die roll to go first. My opponent got off 1 Helix, and I had a skullcrack for the second one on his next turn which probably won me the game. Game 2 with my opponent on the play, I cut my Eidolons and brought in 2 Kor Firewalkers and 2 Paths for my opponents probable Firewalkers. Neither of us saw them, and I ended up seeing 3 Helixes without a Skullcrack to turn off healing securing my win.
Round 2: Mardu Pyromancer (2-0)
Won the roll again here. I pretty much only turned my burn spells to the ground to deal with Pyromancers. I think I had a game 1 Eidolon which stopped a lot of action from my opponent. Game 2 was more or less the same. I think my opponent got off 2 Collective Brutalities which slowed me down, and put down a Blood Moon on turn 4 or 5 which actually ended up buying him a couple of turns as my next 2 draws were a Kor Firewalker and then a Lightning Helix, but a top-decked Rift Bolt finished him off.
Round 3: Amulet "Bloom" (0-2)
Lost the die roll and was on the draw. Wasn't expecting an amulet player. Obviously there were no Summer blooms involved, but it still seemed like a solid deck against us. Game 1 he just comboed off too fast because I had no interaction with his T1 Amulet into T2 Azusa, into a T3 Titan with a stronghold. All in all Game 1 felt bad. Game 2 I probably kept a questionable 6. 4 Land D-Rev and a random spell. T1 I played whatever spell I had, T2 I d-reved his Amulet, but that only slowed him down a bit. Probably saw 4-5 Radiant fountain triggers. (Vesuvas and bounce lands etc.) Managed to deal with his prime time in a terrible 3 for 1, but it didn't matter as he played 2 Thragtusks and just blew me out. I had him down to 1 when he played his first tusk. The match still feels really bad.
Round 4: UW Control (2-0)
Not too much to say here, Burn is just too fast, especially when you land 2-3 creatures early. He had to drop a snap on my T3 to block an Eidolon, letting through a Guide and Swiftspear pumped with a prowess. Not too sure what else to really say about the match.
All in all, it felt really good to throw slag in peoples faces again. Burn was the first Modern deck I played, so it will always hold a spot in my roster. About the only thing I would consider changing is cutting green from the board and maybe trying to find room for an Ensnaring Bridge or 2 if the Amulet player keeps playing Amulet, and just bank on the inevitabiliy that I will draw enough burn to kill him.
Love the primer. Great job! I used to play nacatl burn a few years ago, finally went back to the RWg version. I love it. Now if only I could finish foiling out the deck I would be happy. With the RWg version I have been unsure on what creature to play first between guide or swiftspear. With your awesome script now I know always jam guide down first!
March 2018 opposing hate analysis
The following is a lot of data that's tough to digest, but it might be helpful to you to know what kind of lifegain to expect at various times and what counterspells people are playing. This analysis comes from MTGGoldfish data with some cleaning procedure applied to it to try to clean up any bad deck names. I then go through these deck lists and find instances of "counter target", "lifelink", and "gain N life"/"gains N life" in the card text. On top of that, I search for Leyline of Sanctity, Oketra's Last Mercy, Chalice of the Void, Phyrexian Unlife, and Spellskite. The March 2018 deck population is 1223 decks. Cards that show up less than 0.5% of the time are not printed, and I've also removed some cards that don't affect us like Disdainful Stroke and Ceremonious Rejection. Per card splits: Go here if you want to find a list of what decks play specific cards.
2.000 0.001 0.00082 Other
1.933 0.441 0.02780 Humans
1.143 0.538 0.01063 WG Hatebears
1.667 0.857 0.00572 WUG Hatebears
1.000 0.333 0.00736 WR
1.000 0.080 0.02044 Vizier Company
3.000 0.037 0.02208 BGx Midrange
1.667 0.005 0.00899 Other
1.000 0.105 0.01554 Eldrazi Tron
1.000 0.001 0.00082 Other
1.176 0.895 0.01554 Eldrazi Tron
1.000 0.001 0.00082 Other
1.000 0.025 0.03271 G Tron
1.000 0.003 0.00327 Other
1.000 0.211 0.01554 Eldrazi Tron
1.000 0.138 0.02371 WU Control
2.000 0.001 0.00082 Other
1.176 0.586 0.02371 WU Control
1.375 0.400 0.01635 Eldrazi and Taxes
1.125 0.667 0.00981 WURG Knightfall
2.286 0.875 0.00654 Bant Company
1.750 0.400 0.00818 Domain Zoo
1.000 0.077 0.02126 WUR Control
1.000 0.095 0.01717 Mardu Pyromancer
1.500 0.286 0.00572 WUR
2.000 0.111 0.00736 WR
2.000 0.040 0.02044 Vizier Company
2.000 0.037 0.02208 BGx Midrange
2.000 0.077 0.01063 WG Hatebears
3.000 0.031 0.02617 Bogles
1.448 0.024 0.05151 Other
3.842 1.000 0.01554 Eldrazi Tron
4.000 1.000 0.01063 Colorless Eldrazi
4.000 1.000 0.00572 U/R Prison
2.000 0.571 0.00572 U
2.000 0.087 0.03761 Affinity
4.000 0.273 0.00899 R
4.000 0.125 0.01308 Merfolk
4.000 0.111 0.00736 WR
3.000 0.125 0.00654 RG
2.143 0.006 0.00654 Other
1.500 0.857 0.00572 U
3.000 0.154 0.01063 Grishoalbrand
2.000 0.167 0.00981 Red-Green Eldrazi
3.000 0.025 0.03271 G Tron
4.000 0.125 0.00654 RG
1.000 0.022 0.03761 Affinity
1.000 0.083 0.00981 Amulet Titan
2.000 0.011 0.01145 Other
2.129 0.912 0.02780 B/R Hollow One
2.000 0.810 0.01717 Mardu Pyromancer
2.100 0.370 0.02208 BGx Midrange
1.125 0.107 0.06132 Jund
2.250 0.571 0.00572 BG Tron
1.333 0.231 0.01063 UBRG Death's Shadow
1.500 0.154 0.01063 Grishoalbrand
1.000 0.042 0.01962 Dredge
4.000 0.125 0.00654 Bant Company
2.000 0.026 0.03598 Other
1.930 0.947 0.06132 Jund
1.909 0.917 0.01962 UBR Death's Shadow
1.286 0.618 0.02780 B/R Hollow One
1.500 0.857 0.01717 Mardu Pyromancer
2.833 0.750 0.01962 Dredge
1.250 0.923 0.01063 Grishoalbrand
1.833 0.923 0.01063 UBRG Death's Shadow
1.909 0.407 0.02208 BGx Midrange
1.100 0.769 0.01063 Lantern Control
2.300 0.625 0.01308 UBR Control
2.200 0.714 0.00572 BG Tron
1.333 0.158 0.01554 Ad Nauseam
2.000 0.200 0.00818 Domain Zoo
2.000 0.050 0.01635 Elves
3.000 0.036 0.02289 Living End
1.867 0.037 0.04906 Other
1.000 0.001 0.00245 Other
1.667 0.231 0.02126 WUR Control
1.000 0.200 0.01226 Blue Moon
1.000 0.143 0.00572 Jeskai Breach
2.000 0.062 0.01308 UBR Control
1.000 0.002 0.00164 Other
1.000 0.250 0.01308 UBR Control
1.000 0.001 0.00245 Other
1.429 0.438 0.01308 UBR Control
2.000 0.111 0.02208 BGx Midrange
1.000 0.125 0.01962 UBR Death's Shadow
1.000 0.154 0.01063 UBRG Death's Shadow
1.556 0.007 0.00981 Other
1.250 0.923 0.01063 G/R Land Destruction
2.000 0.240 0.02044 Vizier Company
1.167 0.500 0.00981 Amulet Titan
2.000 0.625 0.00654 Bant Company
2.000 0.333 0.00981 WURG Knightfall
1.000 0.125 0.00654 RG
1.000 0.013 0.06132 Jund
1.903 0.025 0.03925 Other
1.500 0.167 0.00981 Amulet Titan
1.000 0.125 0.00654 Bant Company
2.862 1.000 0.02371 WU Control
3.038 1.000 0.02126 WUR Control
2.867 1.000 0.01226 Blue Moon
3.077 1.000 0.01063 UR Control
3.462 0.812 0.01308 UBR Control
3.778 1.000 0.00736 URG Scapeshift
2.750 0.296 0.02208 BGx Midrange
2.714 1.000 0.00572 WUR
3.143 1.000 0.00572 WURG Scapeshift
3.714 1.000 0.00572 Jeskai Breach
2.500 0.214 0.02289 Living End
2.000 0.429 0.00572 U
2.622 0.030 0.04007 Other
1.000 0.034 0.02371 WU Control
2.000 0.001 0.00082 Other
3.571 0.875 0.01308 Merfolk
4.000 1.000 0.02617 Bogles
1.000 0.001 0.00082 Other
1.556 0.931 0.02371 WU Control
1.696 0.885 0.02126 WUR Control
1.286 0.667 0.01717 UG Infect
1.857 0.875 0.01308 UBR Control
1.846 0.812 0.01308 Merfolk
2.000 0.923 0.01063 UR Control
2.500 0.800 0.01226 Blue Moon
1.500 0.370 0.02208 BGx Midrange
1.556 0.281 0.02617 UR Gifts Storm
2.000 1.000 0.00572 WURG Scapeshift
2.286 0.778 0.00736 URG Scapeshift
3.143 1.000 0.00572 Jeskai Breach
1.600 0.714 0.00572 WUR
2.000 0.143 0.02289 Living End
2.000 0.429 0.00572 U
1.000 0.105 0.01554 Ad Nauseam
1.500 0.083 0.01962 UBR Death's Shadow
2.000 0.040 0.02044 Vizier Company
2.000 0.125 0.00654 Bant Company
1.787 0.038 0.05151 Other
3.000 0.286 0.00572 WUR
2.000 0.125 0.01308 UBR Control
3.333 0.002 0.00409 Other
2.000 0.036 0.02289 Living End
2.000 0.001 0.00082 Other
1.000 0.095 0.01717 Mardu Pyromancer
2.500 0.182 0.00899 R
2.000 0.133 0.01226 Blue Moon
3.000 0.021 0.03843 Burn
1.000 0.125 0.00654 RG
2.000 0.037 0.02208 BGx Midrange
4.000 0.143 0.00572 U
2.000 0.077 0.01063 UR Control
2.000 0.062 0.01308 UBR Control
2.800 0.004 0.00491 Other
4.000 0.001 0.00327 Other
3.000 0.037 0.02208 BGx Midrange
1.500 0.011 0.01226 Other
1.000 0.001 0.00082 Other
1.000 0.857 0.00572 WURG Scapeshift
1.000 0.005 0.00736 Other
1.000 0.417 0.01962 Dredge
1.250 0.143 0.02289 Living End
4.000 1.000 0.01063 Grishoalbrand
4.000 0.042 0.01962 Dredge
2.500 0.003 0.00654 Other
3.500 0.571 0.02289 Living End
3.917 1.000 0.00981 Red-Green Eldrazi
1.250 0.333 0.00981 Amulet Titan
2.000 0.125 0.00654 BRG
3.474 0.016 0.01962 Other
1.000 0.250 0.00654 RG
2.000 0.074 0.02208 BGx Midrange
1.000 0.154 0.01063 G/R Land Destruction
1.000 0.013 0.06132 Jund
2.000 0.125 0.00654 BRG
1.750 0.003 0.01145 Other
1.000 0.120 0.06132 Jund
1.000 0.036 0.02289 Living End
1.000 1.000 0.01063 Lantern Control
1.429 1.000 0.00572 U/R Prison
1.000 0.025 0.03271 G Tron
1.000 0.022 0.03761 Affinity
1.857 0.011 0.01881 Other
1.333 0.857 0.00572 WURG Scapeshift
2.833 0.857 0.00572 Jeskai Breach
1.600 0.556 0.00736 URG Scapeshift
2.200 0.333 0.01226 Blue Moon
1.500 0.154 0.01063 UR Control
1.800 0.008 0.01390 Other
2.000 0.037 0.02208 BGx Midrange
1.667 0.111 0.02208 BGx Midrange
1.000 0.188 0.01308 UBR Control
1.000 0.013 0.06132 Jund
2.000 0.002 0.00409 Other
1.429 0.667 0.01717 Mardu Pyromancer
1.625 0.400 0.01635 Eldrazi and Taxes
1.750 0.118 0.02780 Humans
1.000 0.286 0.00572 WUG Hatebears
2.000 0.037 0.02208 BGx Midrange
1.625 0.007 0.01063 Other
3.875 0.640 0.02044 Vizier Company
2.000 0.103 0.02371 WU Control
3.000 0.250 0.00654 RG
1.000 0.154 0.01063 WG Hatebears
1.000 0.027 0.06132 Jund
1.500 0.167 0.00981 WURG Knightfall
3.000 0.100 0.00818 Domain Zoo
2.000 0.050 0.01635 Eldrazi and Taxes
3.000 0.037 0.02208 BGx Midrange
3.000 0.077 0.01063 G/R Land Destruction
2.154 0.011 0.01717 Other
1.623 0.813 0.06132 Jund
2.636 0.524 0.01717 UG Infect
1.400 0.500 0.01635 Elves
2.444 0.692 0.01063 G/R Land Destruction
1.800 0.625 0.00654 Bant Company
2.250 0.200 0.01635 Eldrazi and Taxes
2.333 0.111 0.02208 BGx Midrange
1.667 0.250 0.00981 Red-Green Eldrazi
2.000 0.250 0.00981 WURG Knightfall
3.000 0.250 0.00654 RG
1.500 0.080 0.02044 Vizier Company
2.000 0.100 0.00818 Domain Zoo
2.000 0.034 0.02371 WU Control
2.000 0.125 0.00654 BRG
1.882 0.028 0.04170 Other
2.057 0.745 0.03843 Burn
2.000 0.240 0.02044 Vizier Company
1.500 0.100 0.01635 Eldrazi and Taxes
1.500 0.059 0.02780 Humans
2.000 0.077 0.01063 WG Hatebears
2.000 0.007 0.02289 Other
3.812 1.000 0.02617 Bogles
1.000 0.069 0.02371 WU Control
4.000 1.000 0.01554 Ad Nauseam
2.000 1.000 0.01063 Lantern Control
3.800 0.357 0.02289 Living End
4.000 0.615 0.01063 Grishoalbrand
2.250 0.085 0.03843 Burn
3.333 0.075 0.03271 G Tron
2.333 0.103 0.02371 WU Control
1.000 0.100 0.00818 Domain Zoo
2.000 0.037 0.02208 BGx Midrange
4.000 0.083 0.00981 Red-Green Eldrazi
1.000 0.031 0.02617 Bogles
3.000 0.083 0.00981 WURG Knightfall
2.941 0.014 0.02617 Other
3.864 0.936 0.03843 Burn
2.920 0.962 0.02126 WUR Control
4.000 0.900 0.00818 Domain Zoo
3.400 0.714 0.00572 WUR
2.000 0.095 0.01717 Mardu Pyromancer
4.000 0.037 0.02208 BGx Midrange
2.000 0.143 0.00572 Jeskai Breach
2.267 0.012 0.02044 Other
2.000 0.286 0.00572 WUR
1.000 0.021 0.03843 Burn
1.667 0.005 0.00818 Other
2.077 1.000 0.02126 WUR Control
1.136 0.759 0.02371 WU Control
1.900 0.625 0.01308 UBR Control
1.200 0.385 0.01063 UR Control
1.750 0.267 0.01226 Blue Moon
2.000 0.429 0.00572 WUR
1.667 0.111 0.02208 BGx Midrange
2.000 0.143 0.00572 Jeskai Breach
2.250 0.010 0.02289 Other
1.000 0.034 0.02371 WU Control
1.000 0.077 0.01063 UR Control
1.667 0.002 0.00409 Other
1.600 0.517 0.02371 WU Control
1.800 0.385 0.02126 WUR Control
1.667 0.375 0.01308 UBR Control
1.400 0.185 0.02208 BGx Midrange
2.000 0.308 0.01063 UR Control
1.000 0.286 0.00572 WUR
2.000 0.071 0.02289 Living End
1.000 0.133 0.01226 Blue Moon
1.727 0.009 0.01881 Other
4.000 0.062 0.01308 Merfolk
4.000 0.007 0.00818 Other
1.091 0.759 0.02371 WU Control
1.000 0.500 0.02126 WUR Control
1.400 0.312 0.01308 UBR Control
1.000 0.111 0.02208 BGx Midrange
1.000 0.143 0.00572 WUR
2.000 0.143 0.00572 Jeskai Breach
1.000 0.067 0.01226 Blue Moon
1.000 0.001 0.00245 Other
1.500 0.759 0.02371 WU Control
1.200 0.577 0.02126 WUR Control
2.500 0.625 0.01308 Merfolk
1.625 0.889 0.00736 URG Scapeshift
1.375 0.533 0.01226 Blue Moon
1.571 0.259 0.02208 BGx Midrange
2.286 1.000 0.00572 WURG Scapeshift
1.143 0.538 0.01063 UR Control
2.000 0.625 0.00654 Bant Company
1.000 0.571 0.00572 WUR
1.000 0.250 0.01308 UBR Control
1.333 0.250 0.00981 WURG Knightfall
1.500 0.062 0.02617 UR Gifts Storm
1.000 0.286 0.00572 U
2.000 0.048 0.01717 UG Infect
1.000 0.143 0.00572 Jeskai Breach
1.560 0.020 0.04170 Other
1.000 0.034 0.02371 WU Control
3.000 0.037 0.02208 BGx Midrange
2.000 0.036 0.02289 Living End
2.000 0.071 0.02289 Living End
3.000 0.143 0.00572 U
1.000 0.077 0.01063 UR Control
2.000 0.005 0.00491 Other
1.000 0.053 0.01554 RG Titanshift
1.000 0.125 0.00654 RG
1.000 0.003 0.00818 Other
2.333 0.947 0.01554 RG Titanshift
1.909 0.917 0.00981 Amulet Titan
1.444 0.120 0.06132 Jund
1.375 0.615 0.01063 G/R Land Destruction
3.125 0.889 0.00736 URG Scapeshift
2.000 1.000 0.00572 WURG Scapeshift
1.750 0.500 0.00654 RG
2.000 0.037 0.02208 BGx Midrange
1.000 0.125 0.00654 BRG
1.516 0.025 0.03761 Other
2.842 1.000 0.01554 Ad Nauseam
1.000 0.917 0.00981 Amulet Titan
1.000 0.034 0.02371 WU Control
1.000 0.077 0.01063 UR Control
1.000 0.001 0.00082 Other
1.071 0.737 0.01554 Ad Nauseam
2.615 1.000 0.01063 Grishoalbrand
1.000 0.167 0.00981 Amulet Titan
3.895 1.000 0.01554 Ad Nauseam
3.333 0.375 0.00654 RG
1.000 0.231 0.01063 G/R Land Destruction
2.125 0.007 0.01472 Other
1.000 0.158 0.01554 RG Titanshift
1.000 0.083 0.00981 Amulet Titan
1.800 0.238 0.01717 UG Infect
1.000 0.222 0.00736 URG Scapeshift
1.000 0.053 0.01554 RG Titanshift
1.000 0.083 0.00981 Red-Green Eldrazi
1.000 0.125 0.00654 WG Tron
1.000 0.002 0.00572 Other
1.000 1.000 0.00981 Amulet Titan
1.333 0.429 0.00572 U
1.000 0.001 0.00082 Other
2.581 0.969 0.02617 UR Gifts Storm
3.308 1.000 0.01063 UR Control
4.000 0.733 0.01226 Blue Moon
3.889 1.000 0.00736 URG Scapeshift
4.000 1.000 0.00572 WURG Scapeshift
3.714 1.000 0.00572 Jeskai Breach
1.200 0.192 0.02126 WUR Control
3.200 0.179 0.02289 Living End
4.000 0.571 0.00572 WUR
2.000 0.250 0.01308 UBR Control
3.333 0.429 0.00572 U
1.000 0.034 0.02371 WU Control
1.000 0.037 0.02208 BGx Midrange
3.120 0.041 0.04742 Other
2.667 1.000 0.06132 Jund
1.000 0.760 0.02044 Vizier Company
2.000 1.000 0.00654 Bant Company
1.625 0.667 0.00981 Red-Green Eldrazi
2.000 0.583 0.00981 WURG Knightfall
3.000 0.148 0.02208 BGx Midrange
2.250 0.308 0.01063 WG Hatebears
4.000 0.375 0.00654 RG
1.500 0.154 0.01063 G/R Land Destruction
1.755 0.040 0.05151 Other
1.200 0.750 0.01635 Elves
1.143 0.560 0.02044 Vizier Company
1.000 0.583 0.00981 WURG Knightfall
1.750 0.308 0.01063 G/R Land Destruction
1.667 0.375 0.00654 RG
1.333 0.250 0.00981 Red-Green Eldrazi
1.000 0.027 0.06132 Jund
1.000 0.250 0.00654 Bant Company
1.000 0.021 0.03843 Burn
1.000 0.048 0.01717 Mardu Pyromancer
1.000 0.048 0.01717 UG Infect
1.000 0.077 0.01063 UBRG Death's Shadow
1.581 0.025 0.03925 Other
2.455 0.550 0.01635 Eldrazi and Taxes
3.500 0.148 0.02208 BGx Midrange
2.750 0.010 0.01145 Other
1.375 0.762 0.01717 UG Infect
1.889 0.562 0.01308 Merfolk
1.000 0.154 0.01063 UR Control
3.000 0.034 0.02371 WU Control
1.000 0.067 0.01226 Blue Moon
1.750 0.003 0.00327 Other
1.556 0.587 0.03761 Affinity
1.824 0.810 0.01717 UG Infect
2.600 0.417 0.00981 Amulet Titan
1.000 0.250 0.01308 Merfolk
2.000 0.286 0.00572 WUR
1.000 0.069 0.02371 WU Control
1.000 0.083 0.01962 UBR Death's Shadow
3.000 0.031 0.02617 UR Gifts Storm
1.000 0.036 0.02289 Living End
1.000 0.111 0.00736 URG Scapeshift
1.000 0.083 0.00981 WURG Knightfall
2.000 0.001 0.00082 Other
1.118 0.654 0.02126 WUR Control
1.500 0.552 0.02371 WU Control
1.615 1.000 0.01063 UR Control
1.500 0.800 0.01226 Blue Moon
1.333 0.562 0.01308 UBR Control
1.000 0.714 0.00572 WUR
2.000 0.074 0.02208 BGx Midrange
2.000 0.036 0.02289 Living End
1.000 0.143 0.00572 Jeskai Breach
1.765 0.014 0.01554 Other
1.000 0.231 0.01063 UR Control
2.000 0.043 0.03761 Affinity
1.000 0.133 0.01226 Blue Moon
1.000 0.111 0.00736 URG Scapeshift
1.333 0.002 0.00245 Other
1.250 0.381 0.01717 UG Infect
1.000 0.080 0.02044 Vizier Company
2.000 0.022 0.03761 Affinity
1.000 0.003 0.00736 Other
1.500 0.571 0.01717 UG Infect
2.000 1.000 0.00572 U/R Prison
1.000 0.300 0.01635 Elves
1.250 0.087 0.03761 Affinity
1.000 0.158 0.01554 Eldrazi Tron
1.000 0.094 0.02617 Bogles
1.000 0.050 0.03271 G Tron
1.000 0.182 0.00899 R
1.000 0.111 0.00736 WR
1.000 0.062 0.01308 Merfolk
1.000 0.037 0.02208 BGx Midrange
1.000 0.077 0.01063 Lantern Control
1.000 0.143 0.00572 U
2.000 0.013 0.06132 Jund
1.000 0.125 0.00654 Bant Company
1.143 0.017 0.03352 Other
3.000 1.000 0.01962 UBR Death's Shadow
2.700 0.769 0.01063 UBRG Death's Shadow
2.750 0.007 0.00654 Other
1.059 0.708 0.01962 UBR Death's Shadow
1.545 0.846 0.01063 UBRG Death's Shadow
1.500 0.130 0.03761 Affinity
1.889 0.007 0.00818 Other
1.714 1.000 0.00572 U/R Prison
2.000 0.143 0.00572 U
3.000 0.002 0.00899 Other
2.000 0.417 0.00981 Amulet Titan
1.000 0.053 0.01554 Ad Nauseam
2.000 0.036 0.02289 Living End
3.000 0.002 0.00164 Other
3.286 0.006 0.00818 Other
1.000 0.211 0.01554 RG Titanshift
1.000 0.125 0.00654 WG Tron
1.222 0.007 0.01554 Other
2.553 0.950 0.03271 G Tron
2.250 1.000 0.00654 WG Tron
1.714 0.250 0.02289 Living End
2.143 1.000 0.00572 BG Tron
1.333 0.316 0.01554 RG Titanshift
1.000 0.417 0.00981 Amulet Titan
1.000 0.154 0.01063 G/R Land Destruction
1.500 0.222 0.00736 URG Scapeshift
1.500 0.167 0.00981 Red-Green Eldrazi
1.000 0.050 0.01635 Elves
1.000 0.125 0.00654 RG
1.500 0.010 0.01881 Other
1.600 0.172 0.02371 WU Control
1.000 0.001 0.00327 Other
1.389 0.621 0.02371 WU Control
1.000 0.111 0.02208 BGx Midrange
1.000 0.077 0.02126 WUR Control
3.500 0.071 0.02289 Living End
2.000 0.100 0.00818 Domain Zoo
2.000 0.050 0.01635 Eldrazi and Taxes
1.000 0.143 0.00572 WURG Scapeshift
2.100 0.008 0.01226 Other
1.900 1.000 0.03271 G Tron
1.875 1.000 0.00654 WG Tron
1.857 1.000 0.00572 BG Tron
1.000 0.105 0.01554 Eldrazi Tron
1.455 0.009 0.00899 Other
1.000 0.053 0.01554 Eldrazi Tron
2.333 0.002 0.01063 Other
3.000 1.000 0.00654 Bant Company
2.750 0.667 0.00981 WURG Knightfall
2.000 0.080 0.02044 Vizier Company
2.000 0.125 0.01308 Merfolk
2.375 0.013 0.01962 Other
3.913 1.000 0.03761 Affinity
2.000 0.421 0.01554 Eldrazi Tron
1.000 0.001 0.00409 Other
1.962 0.650 0.03271 G Tron
2.500 0.526 0.01554 Eldrazi Tron
1.800 0.625 0.00654 WG Tron
1.667 0.429 0.00572 BG Tron
1.000 0.077 0.01063 Colorless Eldrazi
2.200 0.004 0.00491 Other
2.925 1.000 0.03271 G Tron
1.000 0.579 0.01554 Eldrazi Tron
3.500 1.000 0.00654 WG Tron
2.714 1.000 0.00572 BG Tron
1.000 0.077 0.01063 UR Control
2.000 0.009 0.00899 Other
1.000 0.263 0.01554 Eldrazi Tron
1.000 0.025 0.03271 G Tron
1.000 0.125 0.00654 RG
1.000 0.143 0.00572 WUR
1.000 0.037 0.02208 BGx Midrange
1.474 0.016 0.01799 Other
Card fractions: This is averaged over the whole meta and is the fraction of decks that play the card in the maindeck/sideboard without taking into account how many copies they play. These give a general idea of what cards to expect from a randomly chosen deck. Maindeck: The top cards are Cryptic Command (14.72%), Scavenging Ooze (14.64%), Remand (12.35%), Collective Brutality (8.91%), Lightning Helix (8.34%), Spell Snare (7.60%), Logic Knot (7.03%).
Compare to the top cards from last month Cryptic Command (15.24%), Scavenging Ooze (11.21%), Lightning Helix (10.97%), Spell Snare (10.97%), Remand (10.81%), Collective Brutality (9.84%), Logic Knot (8.71%).
Hate cards by meta decks: Go here if you want to see what kind of hate cards specific decks play.
The first column is the average copies per deck of this archetype if the deck plays this card, so that this number is not affected by a deck that doesn't play the card. The second column is the fraction of decks of this archetype playing this card, and this number is affected by decks that don't play the card.
Meta composition: This is just a core dump of the fraction of decks out of the total for this month with each name. Some of these deck names might be fuzzy, so the results are approximate.
This is just a core dump of the fraction of decks out of the total for this month with each name.
6.13% Jund
3.84% Burn
3.76% Affinity
3.27% G Tron
2.78% Humans
2.78% B/R Hollow One
2.62% UR Gifts Storm
2.62% Bogles
2.37% WU Control
2.29% Living End
2.21% BGx Midrange
2.13% WUR Control
2.04% Vizier Company
1.96% Dredge
1.96% UBR Death's Shadow
1.72% Mardu Pyromancer
1.72% UG Infect
1.64% Elves
1.64% Eldrazi and Taxes
1.55% Eldrazi Tron
1.55% RG Titanshift
1.55% Ad Nauseam
1.31% Merfolk
1.31% UBR Control
1.23% Blue Moon
1.06% Grishoalbrand
1.06% Lantern Control
1.06% WG Hatebears
1.06% G/R Land Destruction
1.06% UR Control
1.06% Colorless Eldrazi
1.06% UBRG Death's Shadow
0.98% Red-Green Eldrazi
0.98% Amulet Titan
0.98% WURG Knightfall
0.90% R
0.82% Domain Zoo
0.74% WR
0.74% URG Scapeshift
0.65% RG
0.65% Bant Company
0.65% BRG
0.65% WG Tron
0.57% WUR
0.57% WUG Hatebears
0.57% U
0.57% BG Tron
0.57% WURG Scapeshift
0.57% Jeskai Breach
0.57% U/R Prison
0.49% Ironworks Combo
0.49% Mono U Tron
0.49% WURG Humans Company
0.49% WUBRG
0.49% Kiki Chord
0.41% WU
0.41% WUB
0.41% WRG Hatebears
0.41% Ponza
0.41% RG Tron
0.41% URG Control
0.41% BRG Death's Shadow
0.41% Hollow One
0.33% WG
0.33% WB
0.33% Death and Taxes
0.33% WUG Knightfall
0.33% WURG Copycat
0.33% Zoo
0.33% UR
0.33% Abzan
0.33% URG Gifts Storm
0.33% WUR Copycat
0.33% Rg Eldrazi
0.33% Goodstuff 3c
0.33% Rg Ponza
0.33% Bant Eldrazi
0.25% UBR
0.25% Mill
0.25% WUG Control
0.25% Ponza Land Destruction
0.25% 8-Rack
0.25% 5c Humans
0.25% W
0.25% WBRG
0.25% G/W Company
0.25% Taking Turns
0.25% Sultai Midrange
0.25% URG Ascension
0.25% Gruul Land Loss
0.25% U/B Faeries
0.16% BR
0.16% Restore Balance
0.16% Titan Breach
0.16% Eldrazi Aggro
0.16% U Control
0.16% WUBR Death's Shadow
0.16% UBRG Scapeshift
0.16% ThopterSword
0.16% WUB Death's Shadow
0.16% WBRG Death's Shadow
0.16% WUR Ascension
0.16% Sultai Tezzeret
0.16% WUBRG Kiki-Resto
0.16% U/G Eldrazi
0.08% Collected Bant
0.08% 5 Color Humans
0.08% Kci
0.08% Gifts 4c
0.08% Alexander Feige
0.08% WB Control
0.08% UWr Midrange
0.08% Hollow Vine
0.08% Eldra Tron
0.08% Ur Breach
0.08% American Breach
0.08% URG Delver
0.08% Jeskai Geist
0.08% UBR Delver
0.08% WUG
0.08% Esper Taxes
0.08% Wilted Abzan
0.08% Br Pack Rat
0.08% G/B Company
0.08% Soul Flayer
0.08% Rakdos Hollow One
0.08% WR Kiki-Resto
0.08% Shardless Rug
0.08% Skred
0.08% Ur Breach
0.08% Jund HollowVine
0.08% Snow Red
0.08% WUBRG Humans Company
0.08% Grixis Pyromancer
0.08% Gruul Zoo
0.08% Twinless Exarch
0.08% UB Death's Shadow
0.08% W/R Prison
0.08% WUR Storm
0.08% UG
0.08% GLL
0.08% WRG Titanshift
0.08% Goodstuff 4c
0.08% Br Hollow One
0.08% Wb Midrange
0.08% Bloomless Titan
0.08% Wb Eldrazi
0.08% Through the Breach
0.08% Temur Blade
0.08% WURG Control
0.08% WUBRG Death's Shadow
0.08% Temporal Bant
0.08% B/r Hollow One
0.08% UBRG
0.08% Counters Company
0.08% WUG Humans Company
0.08% Walks
0.08% Instant Reanimator
0.08% WBRG Hatebears
0.08% WUB Delver
0.08% Tezzerator
0.08% WBG
0.08% URG
0.08% WUBG Humans Company
0.08% Humans
0.08% Ur Breach
0.08% WU Storm
0.08% Ub Faeries
0.08% Wb Gideons
0.08% Mono White Humans
0.08% Green Taxes
0.08% UW Miracles
0.08% WURG Kiki-Resto
0.08% Temur Moon
0.08% UB
0.08% Grixis Reanimator
Enchantments:
Maindeck: The top cards are Blood Moon (9.73%), Search for Azcanta (8.09%), Courser of Kruphix (5.40%), Spreading Seas (5.23%), Eidolon of the Great Revel (3.76%), Utopia Sprawl (3.27%), Rancor (3.03%).
Sideboard: The top cards are Stony Silence (17.91%), Rest in Peace (16.19%), Blood Moon (9.98%), Eidolon of Rhetoric (7.03%), Leyline of Sanctity (6.70%), Ghirapur Aether Grid (5.31%), Leyline of the Void (4.74%).
The first column is the average copies per deck of this archetype if the deck plays this card, so that this number is not affected by a deck that doesn't play the card. The second column is the fraction of decks of this archetype playing this card, and this number is affected by decks that don't play the card.
Link to previous month: February 2018 (apologies if it goes to the wrong spot on the page, it's post 963). The old links were broken as a result of the restructuring of the Modern forums. They should work again.
Basically, it uses Serum Powder to dig aggressively for explosive hands, and takes advantage of the synergy between exile-from-hand cards (it also plays 3 Gemstone Cavern) along with Eternal Scourge. It's reminiscent of the Colorless Eldrazi deck from Eldrazi Winter.
What's our plan against the new-ish Serum Power Eldrazi deck? Is it similar enough to Eldrazi Tron that I should board the same way?
I'd say they're fairly similar. You're still worried about Chalice and Reality Smasher, so I'd focus more on DRev and Bridge. Molten Rain is also pretty good if you get it in early enough.
What's our plan against the new-ish Serum Power Eldrazi deck? Is it similar enough to Eldrazi Tron that I should board the same way?
I'd say they're fairly similar. You're still worried about Chalice and Reality Smasher, so I'd focus more on DRev and Bridge. Molten Rain is also pretty good if you get it in early enough.
I assume Searing Blaze still comes out? And probably a couple Rift Bolts or Lava Spikes, to make room?
EDIT: Actually, how good is Eidolon in this matchup? I think it's better than it is against ETron, but still not great.
I think they're quite similar, though I think Blaze might be better in that matchup than against regular ETron. I would cut Eidolon for DRevs because of Chalice and that's all. I don't play Bridge or Molten Rain, personally. At 3 mana, I don't think Molten Rain is going to cut it against a deck like this.
Just a question to Burn players. If you have Eidolon in hand. Do you always cast it turn 2, or it depends on the situation?
Asking... because right now. I plan to buy a set of Eidolons from SCG. Already have them on my cart to revive my Burn deck.
Just a question to Burn players. If you have Eidolon in hand. Do you always cast it turn 2, or it depends on the situation?
Asking... because right now. I plan to buy a set of Eidolons from SCG. Already have them on my cart to revive my Burn deck.
Most of the times, yes it's the correct play. Sometimes, it's better to hold on to them. Against combo decks, turn 2 Eidolon is great. Against Control deck, it's ok. Against Midrange, it's good too. But against Aggro, it could be different : you might want to bolt the bird sometimes and being the ''control'' deck and then proceed according to the gameplan. I'd say above 80% of the times, T2 Eidonlon is the right one, but sometimes, it's not (especially post-board)!
Modern: Storm
Legacy: ANT
Also what are the best cards for the mirror match and generally what is my sideboard plan for the mirror? I'm starting on RW. when I have enough fetchlands I might go into Naya.
@Robo_Memer on Twitter, Twitch, Reddit, and YouTube
Feel free to PM me about Affinity decks in any format!
Thalia, Meddling Mage, Champion of the Parish. Mantis Rider maybe, because it's a strong clock on its own.
Eldrazi Tron and Ad Nauseam are close to unwinnable. Bogles is very hard, especially if they're playing maindeck Leylines. Soul Sisters basically exists solely to be a thorn in our side. You should be in good shape as a slight favorite against BGx decks in general and UTron should be very much in your favor (pretty much all Tron flavors are except for ETron).
I side out Eidolon for the mirror, and I'd bring in my last Blaze and some Paths to deal with any Firewalkers. If I played Firewalkers, then I'd bring those in, too, but I don't like it that much because it's so narrow.
Went to a weekly local tournament yesterdy and ended up going 3-1.
Round 1: Burn (2-0)
Game 1 was a typical mirror match. I won the die roll to go first. My opponent got off 1 Helix, and I had a skullcrack for the second one on his next turn which probably won me the game. Game 2 with my opponent on the play, I cut my Eidolons and brought in 2 Kor Firewalkers and 2 Paths for my opponents probable Firewalkers. Neither of us saw them, and I ended up seeing 3 Helixes without a Skullcrack to turn off healing securing my win.
Round 2: Mardu Pyromancer (2-0)
Won the roll again here. I pretty much only turned my burn spells to the ground to deal with Pyromancers. I think I had a game 1 Eidolon which stopped a lot of action from my opponent. Game 2 was more or less the same. I think my opponent got off 2 Collective Brutalities which slowed me down, and put down a Blood Moon on turn 4 or 5 which actually ended up buying him a couple of turns as my next 2 draws were a Kor Firewalker and then a Lightning Helix, but a top-decked Rift Bolt finished him off.
Round 3: Amulet "Bloom" (0-2)
Lost the die roll and was on the draw. Wasn't expecting an amulet player. Obviously there were no Summer blooms involved, but it still seemed like a solid deck against us. Game 1 he just comboed off too fast because I had no interaction with his T1 Amulet into T2 Azusa, into a T3 Titan with a stronghold. All in all Game 1 felt bad. Game 2 I probably kept a questionable 6. 4 Land D-Rev and a random spell. T1 I played whatever spell I had, T2 I d-reved his Amulet, but that only slowed him down a bit. Probably saw 4-5 Radiant fountain triggers. (Vesuvas and bounce lands etc.) Managed to deal with his prime time in a terrible 3 for 1, but it didn't matter as he played 2 Thragtusks and just blew me out. I had him down to 1 when he played his first tusk. The match still feels really bad.
Round 4: UW Control (2-0)
Not too much to say here, Burn is just too fast, especially when you land 2-3 creatures early. He had to drop a snap on my T3 to block an Eidolon, letting through a Guide and Swiftspear pumped with a prowess. Not too sure what else to really say about the match.
All in all, it felt really good to throw slag in peoples faces again. Burn was the first Modern deck I played, so it will always hold a spot in my roster. About the only thing I would consider changing is cutting green from the board and maybe trying to find room for an Ensnaring Bridge or 2 if the Amulet player keeps playing Amulet, and just bank on the inevitabiliy that I will draw enough burn to kill him.
WRBurnRW
URGifts StormRU
RGoblinsR
The following is a lot of data that's tough to digest, but it might be helpful to you to know what kind of lifegain to expect at various times and what counterspells people are playing. This analysis comes from MTGGoldfish data with some cleaning procedure applied to it to try to clean up any bad deck names. I then go through these deck lists and find instances of "counter target", "lifelink", and "gain N life"/"gains N life" in the card text. On top of that, I search for Leyline of Sanctity, Oketra's Last Mercy, Chalice of the Void, Phyrexian Unlife, and Spellskite. The March 2018 deck population is 1223 decks. Cards that show up less than 0.5% of the time are not printed, and I've also removed some cards that don't affect us like Disdainful Stroke and Ceremonious Rejection.
Per card splits: Go here if you want to find a list of what decks play specific cards.
Maindeck: The top cards are Cryptic Command (14.72%), Scavenging Ooze (14.64%), Remand (12.35%), Collective Brutality (8.91%), Lightning Helix (8.34%), Spell Snare (7.60%), Logic Knot (7.03%).
Compare to the top cards from last month Cryptic Command (15.24%), Scavenging Ooze (11.21%), Lightning Helix (10.97%), Spell Snare (10.97%), Remand (10.81%), Collective Brutality (9.84%), Logic Knot (8.71%).
Compare to the top cards from last month Collective Brutality (24.76%), Dispel (16.85%), Negate (12.02%), Thragtusk (7.90%), Leyline of Sanctity (7.02%), Warping Wail (5.16%), Kitchen Finks (5.08%).
The first column is the average copies per deck of this archetype if the deck plays this card, so that this number is not affected by a deck that doesn't play the card. The second column is the fraction of decks of this archetype playing this card, and this number is affected by decks that don't play the card.
This is just a core dump of the fraction of decks out of the total for this month with each name.
6.13% Jund
3.84% Burn
3.76% Affinity
3.27% G Tron
2.78% Humans
2.78% B/R Hollow One
2.62% UR Gifts Storm
2.62% Bogles
2.37% WU Control
2.29% Living End
2.21% BGx Midrange
2.13% WUR Control
2.04% Vizier Company
1.96% Dredge
1.96% UBR Death's Shadow
1.72% Mardu Pyromancer
1.72% UG Infect
1.64% Elves
1.64% Eldrazi and Taxes
1.55% Eldrazi Tron
1.55% RG Titanshift
1.55% Ad Nauseam
1.31% Merfolk
1.31% UBR Control
1.23% Blue Moon
1.06% Grishoalbrand
1.06% Lantern Control
1.06% WG Hatebears
1.06% G/R Land Destruction
1.06% UR Control
1.06% Colorless Eldrazi
1.06% UBRG Death's Shadow
0.98% Red-Green Eldrazi
0.98% Amulet Titan
0.98% WURG Knightfall
0.90% R
0.82% Domain Zoo
0.74% WR
0.74% URG Scapeshift
0.65% RG
0.65% Bant Company
0.65% BRG
0.65% WG Tron
0.57% WUR
0.57% WUG Hatebears
0.57% U
0.57% BG Tron
0.57% WURG Scapeshift
0.57% Jeskai Breach
0.57% U/R Prison
0.49% Ironworks Combo
0.49% Mono U Tron
0.49% WURG Humans Company
0.49% WUBRG
0.49% Kiki Chord
0.41% WU
0.41% WUB
0.41% WRG Hatebears
0.41% Ponza
0.41% RG Tron
0.41% URG Control
0.41% BRG Death's Shadow
0.41% Hollow One
0.33% WG
0.33% WB
0.33% Death and Taxes
0.33% WUG Knightfall
0.33% WURG Copycat
0.33% Zoo
0.33% UR
0.33% Abzan
0.33% URG Gifts Storm
0.33% WUR Copycat
0.33% Rg Eldrazi
0.33% Goodstuff 3c
0.33% Rg Ponza
0.33% Bant Eldrazi
0.25% UBR
0.25% Mill
0.25% WUG Control
0.25% Ponza Land Destruction
0.25% 8-Rack
0.25% 5c Humans
0.25% W
0.25% WBRG
0.25% G/W Company
0.25% Taking Turns
0.25% Sultai Midrange
0.25% URG Ascension
0.25% Gruul Land Loss
0.25% U/B Faeries
0.16% BR
0.16% Restore Balance
0.16% Titan Breach
0.16% Eldrazi Aggro
0.16% U Control
0.16% WUBR Death's Shadow
0.16% UBRG Scapeshift
0.16% ThopterSword
0.16% WUB Death's Shadow
0.16% WBRG Death's Shadow
0.16% WUR Ascension
0.16% Sultai Tezzeret
0.16% WUBRG Kiki-Resto
0.16% U/G Eldrazi
0.08% Collected Bant
0.08% 5 Color Humans
0.08% Kci
0.08% Gifts 4c
0.08% Alexander Feige
0.08% WB Control
0.08% UWr Midrange
0.08% Hollow Vine
0.08% Eldra Tron
0.08% Ur Breach
0.08% American Breach
0.08% URG Delver
0.08% Jeskai Geist
0.08% UBR Delver
0.08% WUG
0.08% Esper Taxes
0.08% Wilted Abzan
0.08% Br Pack Rat
0.08% G/B Company
0.08% Soul Flayer
0.08% Rakdos Hollow One
0.08% WR Kiki-Resto
0.08% Shardless Rug
0.08% Skred
0.08% Ur Breach
0.08% Jund HollowVine
0.08% Snow Red
0.08% WUBRG Humans Company
0.08% Grixis Pyromancer
0.08% Gruul Zoo
0.08% Twinless Exarch
0.08% UB Death's Shadow
0.08% W/R Prison
0.08% WUR Storm
0.08% UG
0.08% GLL
0.08% WRG Titanshift
0.08% Goodstuff 4c
0.08% Br Hollow One
0.08% Wb Midrange
0.08% Bloomless Titan
0.08% Wb Eldrazi
0.08% Through the Breach
0.08% Temur Blade
0.08% WURG Control
0.08% WUBRG Death's Shadow
0.08% Temporal Bant
0.08% B/r Hollow One
0.08% UBRG
0.08% Counters Company
0.08% WUG Humans Company
0.08% Walks
0.08% Instant Reanimator
0.08% WBRG Hatebears
0.08% WUB Delver
0.08% Tezzerator
0.08% WBG
0.08% URG
0.08% WUBG Humans Company
0.08% Humans
0.08% Ur Breach
0.08% WU Storm
0.08% Ub Faeries
0.08% Wb Gideons
0.08% Mono White Humans
0.08% Green Taxes
0.08% UW Miracles
0.08% WURG Kiki-Resto
0.08% Temur Moon
0.08% UB
0.08% Grixis Reanimator
Enchantments:
Maindeck: The top cards are Blood Moon (9.73%), Search for Azcanta (8.09%), Courser of Kruphix (5.40%), Spreading Seas (5.23%), Eidolon of the Great Revel (3.76%), Utopia Sprawl (3.27%), Rancor (3.03%).
The first column is the average copies per deck of this archetype if the deck plays this card, so that this number is not affected by a deck that doesn't play the card. The second column is the fraction of decks of this archetype playing this card, and this number is affected by decks that don't play the card.
Link to previous month: February 2018 (apologies if it goes to the wrong spot on the page, it's post 963). The old links were broken as a result of the restructuring of the Modern forums. They should work again.
Basically, it uses Serum Powder to dig aggressively for explosive hands, and takes advantage of the synergy between exile-from-hand cards (it also plays 3 Gemstone Cavern) along with Eternal Scourge. It's reminiscent of the Colorless Eldrazi deck from Eldrazi Winter.
I'd say they're fairly similar. You're still worried about Chalice and Reality Smasher, so I'd focus more on DRev and Bridge. Molten Rain is also pretty good if you get it in early enough.
Jonathan Job played this to an 11th place finish at the Dallas SCG Open last month:
4 Chalice of the Void
4 Dismember
4 Eldrazi Mimic
4 Eldrazi Temple
4 Eternal Scourge
3 Gemstone Caverns
4 Ghost Quarter
4 Matter Reshaper
2 Mutavault
4 Reality Smasher
2 Scavenger Grounds
2 Sea Gate Wreckage
4 Serum Powder
4 Simian Spirit Guide
1 Smuggler's Copter
4 Thought-Knot Seer
2 Wastes
2 Gut Shot
4 Ratchet Bomb
4 Relic of Progenitus
2 Sorcerous Spyglass
2 Spatial Contortion
1 Surgical Extraction
This might be what he means.
I assume Searing Blaze still comes out? And probably a couple Rift Bolts or Lava Spikes, to make room?
EDIT: Actually, how good is Eidolon in this matchup? I think it's better than it is against ETron, but still not great.
Aggro: Naya Burn RWG
Combo: Scapeshift RG
Control: Jeskai Control UWR
Legacy
Control: Miracles UW
Aggro: Burn R
Asking... because right now. I plan to buy a set of Eidolons from SCG. Already have them on my cart to revive my Burn deck.
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Want to play a UW control deck in modern, but don't have jace or snaps?
Please come visit us at the Emeria Titan control thread
Most of the times, yes it's the correct play. Sometimes, it's better to hold on to them. Against combo decks, turn 2 Eidolon is great. Against Control deck, it's ok. Against Midrange, it's good too. But against Aggro, it could be different : you might want to bolt the bird sometimes and being the ''control'' deck and then proceed according to the gameplan. I'd say above 80% of the times, T2 Eidonlon is the right one, but sometimes, it's not (especially post-board)!
Aggro: Naya Burn RWG
Combo: Scapeshift RG
Control: Jeskai Control UWR
Legacy
Control: Miracles UW
Aggro: Burn R
Nexus MTG News // Nexus - Magic Art Gallery // MTG Dual Land Color Ratios Analyzer // MTG Card Drawing Odds Calculator
Want to play a UW control deck in modern, but don't have jace or snaps?
Please come visit us at the Emeria Titan control thread