I think a lot of the argument against Proph is rooted in his D1 play being "too clean"/TMI influenced - and while I've seen this pan out before, I don't think I necessarily agree with it here. A lot of the reads Proph's been criticized for were pretty consensus - ZDS town, CropCircles wolf, etc etc - and I think Proph's general tone, while HR described it as "timid", actually comes across so calmly as to appear very assured in his conclusions, which is always gonna set off TMI alarm bells whether or not it's correct.
My read on Silver is essentially that he went from a wolf essentially having given up when he realized he wasn't gonna be able to get me over, to grasping at any straw he could find trying to push Proph over the top. If I'm correct, HR's renewed push towards Proph was basically a lifeline for him - BUT (and I have to give Grape credit for this one) Silver's wolfread on Proph is preeeeetty level one, and it's odd to go from what's essentially a negative space read on me to a level 1 read on Proph. Plus I personally don't think the scenario Proph thought was happening with the votes was all that outlandish, given that I think the setup he described is pretty standard on MC - and yeah, he maybe shoulda checked, but I don't think it's suspicious for him to not have? Villagers are lazy, it happens.
I'm prepared to be wrong, and I'll congratulate Proph and buckle down for F3 if I am, but I think Silver's the more likely hit here (and Grape agrees with me).
i think this is a miss but i'd rather not wind up not eliminating anyone
Why vote ZDS instead of Joe Terry, whom you had previously voted to avoid no lynch, when they had the same amount of votes on them?
I'll reread to see if I can confirm this in either direction, but if I recall correctly (and it was like a month ago, so bear with me) I was townreading both JT and ZDS at the time; I suspect that I felt my reason to townread JT was stronger/less susceptible to being wrong, and thus preferred to vote ZDS isntead.
There's also a chance I didn't realize JT was a viable wagon - I recall having wrist issues around that time and making a conscious effort to spend as little time in thread as I could get away with - but I'm not sure if that's accurate or not. Long phase games, man.