Well consider my original prediction was correct so far they will most likely hit $25 or so after this GP weekend. I think that would Ben close to their bottom give or take a couple bucks. Could go lower depending on how many people draft this set and shops that continue to buy this product.
Though looking at the expensive mma1 cards, not a lot are 4 ofs in popular decks. Maybe about half of them you need a playset.
Looking at the current 10 top prices cards, They are all 3 or 4 ofs. I think needing 4 ofs from these cards should really drive down the price of fringe rares and the uncommons. The 4 ofs will be where the bulk of the set is located, which lowers the price of the cards not as high in demand. http://www.goatbots.com/prices-mm2.php
I'll try to get my hierarchs around 8 tix. Opal is a lot harder to guess, since there's no MMA1 analogue. I also think the price of the SOM one was severely inflated from speculators. The only deck that played opal for the longest time was modern affinity. It hovered around 40-50 tix, which is out outrageous, opal goes into a lot less decks than goyf or liliana. Then it blew up to 80 tix because of vintage. The SOM one is at 38 tix where the MMA2 one is at ~22. I guess 15 will be the lowest price for opal.
The thing with Affinity was that it was *the* budget Modern competitive deck, and Opals were the limiting factor. I think that is what pushed it up in price so much.
I wouldn't be surprised if it crashes hard and I can buy in at sub-10.
If you want to compare to MMA1, they have a lot to drop.
https://web.archive.org/web/20130703142358/http://www.goatbots.com/prices.php
Though looking at the expensive mma1 cards, not a lot are 4 ofs in popular decks. Maybe about half of them you need a playset.
Looking at the current 10 top prices cards, They are all 3 or 4 ofs. I think needing 4 ofs from these cards should really drive down the price of fringe rares and the uncommons. The 4 ofs will be where the bulk of the set is located, which lowers the price of the cards not as high in demand.
http://www.goatbots.com/prices-mm2.php
Another thing is that they added non phantom sealed, which should help lower prices more.
https://twitter.com/MagicOnline/status/604058679881678848
I'll try to get my hierarchs around 8 tix. Opal is a lot harder to guess, since there's no MMA1 analogue. I also think the price of the SOM one was severely inflated from speculators. The only deck that played opal for the longest time was modern affinity. It hovered around 40-50 tix, which is out outrageous, opal goes into a lot less decks than goyf or liliana. Then it blew up to 80 tix because of vintage. The SOM one is at 38 tix where the MMA2 one is at ~22. I guess 15 will be the lowest price for opal.
I wouldn't be surprised if it crashes hard and I can buy in at sub-10.
that's not a good sign of it hitting 10 tix
looks like the SOM opal dropped today, it's at 33
http://www.mtggoldfish.com/price/Scars of Mirrodin/Mox Opal#online