One of my Magic Origins packs had in it a Pyromancer's Goggles, as well as a foil Pyromancer's Goggles, which I found very amusing. It got me wondering, what are the odds of pulling a mythic along with the same foil mythic in a single pack?

This is fun. Let's see... (doing this on the fly)

There are 16 mythic rares in the set. On average regular mythics appear once every 8 packs, and foil mythics appear every 216 packs.

So the odds of having a particular foil mythic are already 1 in 3,456 (16 x 216).

The odds of having a particular non-foil mythic are 1 in 128 (16 x 8).

So I would say the answer is 1 in 128 x 3,456, or 1 in 442,368! Wow!

I have gotten that with Utvara Hellkite but had never thought of how rare it was! Time to buy a lottery ticket :p.

Well, for every one Powerball winner there will be 396 people who pull same mythic/foil mythic in the same pack, at least in Magic Origins. But more local lottery games with smaller prizes often have odds in the same range as that sort of booster pack!

In Return to Ravnica the odds of such a pack are slightly higher at 1 in 388,800 due to there being 15 instead of 16 mythic rares.

As the packing method isnt completly random, you could argue its a higher chance, as not every possible combination is even possible or equally likely.

One of my Magic Origins packs had in it a Pyromancer's Goggles, as well as a foil Pyromancer's Goggles, which I found very amusing. It got me wondering, what are the odds of pulling a mythic along with the same foil mythic in a single pack?

This is fun. Let's see... (doing this on the fly)

There are 16 mythic rares in the set. On average regular mythics appear once every 8 packs, and foil mythics appear every 216 packs.

So the odds of having a particular foil mythic are already 1 in 3,456 (16 x 216).

The odds of having a particular non-foil mythic are 1 in 128 (16 x 8).

So I would say the answer is 1 in 128 x 3,456, or 1 in 442,368! Wow!

Divided by 16 since you're not looking for a particular mythic appearing twice.

One of my Magic Origins packs had in it a Pyromancer's Goggles, as well as a foil Pyromancer's Goggles, which I found very amusing. It got me wondering, what are the odds of pulling a mythic along with the same foil mythic in a single pack?

This is fun. Let's see... (doing this on the fly)

There are 16 mythic rares in the set. On average regular mythics appear once every 8 packs, and foil mythics appear every 216 packs.

So the odds of having a particular foil mythic are already 1 in 3,456 (16 x 216).

The odds of having a particular non-foil mythic are 1 in 128 (16 x 8).

So I would say the answer is 1 in 128 x 3,456, or 1 in 442,368! Wow!

Divided by 16 since you're not looking for a particular mythic appearing twice.

Right. I was thinking of the odds of getting the Pyromancer's Goggles regular and foil.. but I guess he just asked what the odds are of getting a mythic and the same mythic foil.

I've been playing Magic for about six months and have opened 26 boosters in that time. I've never opened a mythic. Anyone got the odds on that?

Every 8th booster is a mythic (approximatly).

If you buy a display and open all the boosters from that, you will most likely have 2 mythics at least , its pretty much guaranteed (give or take).

However, if you just buy boosters by themself, from multiple displays, you do not have such a ~2 mythic guarantee, but you invest that in the chance to pull multiple mythics if you are lucky.

I've been playing Magic for about six months and have opened 26 boosters in that time. I've never opened a mythic. Anyone got the odds on that?

If I did my permutations correctly... odds of randomly pulling a booster from a fresh 36 count box 26 times without getting a mythic is 3.1% The chance that you pull 26 boosters from a single fresh box that ultimately has 4 mythics in it (rounding the average 4.5 mythics per box down) is approximately 0.4%.

Your actual chance of having accomplished this feat will vary with the number of packs you pulled from each box and some other factors, but I think 0.4% to 3.1% is about as best as we can estimate with the information given.

I've been playing Magic for about six months and have opened 26 boosters in that time. I've never opened a mythic. Anyone got the odds on that?

It doesn't seem that impossible. Roll an eight sided die 26 times. See if there's any number that you never rolled. If you hit them all, try it again. I feel like it wouldn't be that hard to roll it 26 times while missing one number.

Anyways, I believe cml73264 is correct. The odds of Not getting a mythic in a single pack are 87.5%. That's pack 1. Multiply that by 87.5% to get the odds of not pulling a mythic in two packs. Multiply THAT by 87.5% to get your odds for no mythic in three packs, etc, etc, etc. You do 0.875 x 0.875 x 0.875 x 0.875 26 times, and you get 3.1% chance of not getting a mythic in 26 packs.

So the odds are 1 in 32.26. Unlikely, but not that unlikely.

This is fun. Let's see... (doing this on the fly)

There are 16 mythic rares in the set. On average regular mythics appear once every 8 packs, and foil mythics appear every 216 packs.

So the odds of having a particular foil mythic are already 1 in 3,456 (16 x 216).

The odds of having a particular non-foil mythic are 1 in 128 (16 x 8).

So I would say the answer is 1 in 128 x 3,456, or 1 in 442,368! Wow!

Well, for every one Powerball winner there will be 396 people who pull same mythic/foil mythic in the same pack, at least in Magic Origins. But more local lottery games with smaller prizes often have odds in the same range as that sort of booster pack!

In Return to Ravnica the odds of such a pack are slightly higher at 1 in 388,800 due to there being 15 instead of 16 mythic rares.

But i cant varify that.

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I calculated the odds of getting any regular shock with any foil shock in the same pack as 1 in 4,625.

Divided by 16 since you're not looking for a particular mythic appearing twice.

Right. I was thinking of the odds of getting the Pyromancer's Goggles regular and foil.. but I guess he just asked what the odds are of getting a mythic and the same mythic foil.

Every 8th booster is a mythic (approximatly).

If you buy a display and open all the boosters from that, you will most likely have 2 mythics at least , its pretty much guaranteed (give or take).

However, if you just buy boosters by themself, from multiple displays, you do not have such a ~2 mythic guarantee, but you invest that in the chance to pull multiple mythics if you are lucky.

Parts of this signature have been removed.

If I did my permutations correctly... odds of randomly pulling a booster from a fresh 36 count box 26 times without getting a mythic is 3.1% The chance that you pull 26 boosters from a single fresh box that ultimately has 4 mythics in it (rounding the average 4.5 mythics per box down) is approximately 0.4%.

Your actual chance of having accomplished this feat will vary with the number of packs you pulled from each box and some other factors, but I think 0.4% to 3.1% is about as best as we can estimate with the information given.

It doesn't seem that impossible. Roll an eight sided die 26 times. See if there's any number that you never rolled. If you hit them all, try it again. I feel like it wouldn't be that hard to roll it 26 times while missing one number.

Anyways, I believe cml73264 is correct. The odds of Not getting a mythic in a single pack are 87.5%. That's pack 1. Multiply that by 87.5% to get the odds of not pulling a mythic in two packs. Multiply THAT by 87.5% to get your odds for no mythic in three packs, etc, etc, etc. You do 0.875 x 0.875 x 0.875 x 0.875 26 times, and you get 3.1% chance of not getting a mythic in 26 packs.

So the odds are 1 in 32.26. Unlikely, but not that unlikely.