I'm not entirely sure if this is the correct place for this question, and someone tell me if it isn't, but I have a question about MM2015 foil printings. I know every pack will have a foil, but is every foil for the set produced equally? Like is it a 1/249 chance of opening a certain foil? (EG the chance of pulling a specific common is the same chance as pulling a specific mythic) or are foil versions of commons and uncommons printed more than foil versions of rares and mythics? thanks!
The closest thing to information we ever got on MM1 was a comment from WotC on the expected number of foil Tarmogoyfs to be opened at GP Las Vegas, which implied (without proof) that foil Gofys were 15 times as rare as normal ones (so 1 in 121 to get a Goyf, 1 in 1815 for a foil one).
It's a reasonable hypothesis that foil commons and uncommons follow the same line (so if Lightning Bolt is uncommon in this set, for every 15 bolts printed there'd be a 16th one which is foil)
Edit: Disregard any 'statistics' posted unless they come from someone that opened more than five thousand boosters of MM1. Even 5k is not statistically significant.
Again not statistically significant, but I actually speed watched a few MM1 box openings to see if i could confirm a distribution. The four I saw all followed around what Shaka stated. This is essentially the expected asfan rarity if you took some standard boosters, foiled them, and distributed them among the other MM boosters as the extra foil card. Also, it just makes sense from a production standpoint that the distribution is the same as well.
Again not statistically significant, but I actually speed watched a few MM1 box openings to see if i could confirm a distribution. The four I saw all followed around what Shaka stated. This is essentially the expected asfan rarity if you took some standard boosters, foiled them, and distributed them among the other MM boosters as the extra foil card. Also, it just makes sense from a production standpoint that the distribution is the same as well.
A counterpoint though - normal sets do not follow that rarity pattern or anything close to it. Foil commons are *much* rarer in normal sets than this guess would imply.
In a small set, 80 packs gets (average) 1 of each mythic, 2 of each rare, 4 of each uncommon and (about) 11 of each common.
80*36 packs, however, gets something closer to 1 of each foil mythic, 2 of each foil rare, 2.7 of each foil uncommon and 4.5 of each foil common.
The facts are - we don't know the answer. We will never know unless WotC release information, or one of the few dealers that open a statistically relevant number of packs discloses their findings, or statistics are taken in an organised fashion at one of the GPs.
I did a bit of reasearch on this and the best I can figure is that distribution matches non-foils closely, indicating the following number of cards per case;
It's a reasonable hypothesis that foil commons and uncommons follow the same line (so if Lightning Bolt is uncommon in this set, for every 15 bolts printed there'd be a 16th one which is foil)
Edit: Disregard any 'statistics' posted unless they come from someone that opened more than five thousand boosters of MM1. Even 5k is not statistically significant.
A counterpoint though - normal sets do not follow that rarity pattern or anything close to it. Foil commons are *much* rarer in normal sets than this guess would imply.
In a small set, 80 packs gets (average) 1 of each mythic, 2 of each rare, 4 of each uncommon and (about) 11 of each common.
80*36 packs, however, gets something closer to 1 of each foil mythic, 2 of each foil rare, 2.7 of each foil uncommon and 4.5 of each foil common.
The facts are - we don't know the answer. We will never know unless WotC release information, or one of the few dealers that open a statistically relevant number of packs discloses their findings, or statistics are taken in an organised fashion at one of the GPs.
1344 base cards;
960 commons
288 uncommons
84 rares
12 mythics
96 foils;
68.571 commons
20.571 uncommons
6 rares
.857 mythics.