If the store owner says that I can't trade in the premises, I'll just go outside. If he says that I can't trade within 10m of his premises, I'll go to 11 meters. If he says that he doesn't want to see me trading, I will put a basket over his head and continue trading.
Yes, he's a local legend. He's only known to take his clothes off before he goes into the Ladies' Lockerroom. Nobody knows what he does in there because he's invisible, but it's almost certainly tons of masturbating.
Is now a good time to grab a few copies of Ash Zealot? They seems better than the value given to them at the moment.
Pick up your playset now. I am getting them as throw in from friends who are not on RDW. Just take a look a the price history of Stromkirk Noble. And that is with inclusion in an intro pack and not much success in standard for RDW. I am not predicting anything huge, but they are value right now.
I'm not sure where your compiling your data, but when I look online and go to my local stores, Rakdo's return is already at around $10 since pre-release so it hasn't gone down or up. Lol Troll is still around $10 due to high demand. I do agree that Deathrite Shaman has definitely been climbing up in price and demand. I've been grabbing as many copies as I can since pre-release.
About Ash Zealot, I disagree we will have another "RDW" deck since there's already one, but its B/R zombies and the "lightning bolt" is hilariously Bump in the Night.
If the store owner says that I can't trade in the premises, I'll just go outside. If he says that I can't trade within 10m of his premises, I'll go to 11 meters. If he says that he doesn't want to see me trading, I will put a basket over his head and continue trading.
Yes, he's a local legend. He's only known to take his clothes off before he goes into the Ladies' Lockerroom. Nobody knows what he does in there because he's invisible, but it's almost certainly tons of masturbating.
Ash zealot and deathrite shaman are my favorite cards from RtR and the first cards I aggressively traded to get playsets of. I don't think there value will explode by any means but I will say that they are both a blast to play with and are quality cards that should be popular for some time.
Deathrite Shaman has gone from $5 to $7 in the 24 hours since my last update. I sold completely out today.
As for Rakdos's Return, being a 2-of in one particular deck, to combat one specific board situation (opponent tapped out for Tamiyo in the late game) against one particular deck, doesn't warrant $9 (or the $15 SCG is charging). A mythic needs to be a 3-of or 4-of in multiple decks to maintain $9. If that's really the only justification for the price, it's coming down..... WAY down.
Deathrite Shaman has gone from $5 to $7 in the 24 hours since my last update. I sold completely out today.
As for Rakdos's Return, being a 2-of in one particular deck, to combat one specific board situation (opponent tapped out for Tamiyo in the late game) against one particular deck, doesn't warrant $9 (or the $15 SCG is charging). A mythic needs to be a 3-of or 4-of in multiple decks to maintain $9. If that's really the only justification for the price, it's coming down..... WAY down.
Yeah, all the Modern Jund decks were packing Deathrite Shaman in large numbers. Nivmagus Elemental should be on the rise, too, though that deck is likely going to be a flash in the pan.
Yeah, I really don't get Rakdos's Return either. The next most comparable spell in total, and in the same colors, is Blightning. At 2BR, RR is less effective than Blightning, but it has the option to scale up. Blightning costs about $0.10 - $0.20 each. RR is $9 - $15. Yeeeaahhh... The deck that uses it that way has to expect a late game, and have a mana base to back it up, has to face an opponent playing a particular style, using a specific class of card (Planeswalkers), and be in a particular board state for it to be useful. Oh, and it's only useful in Standard. Maybe EDH, but it would have been a shoe in if it was all opponents, and this is just one, so there it's even iffy. I don't understand why this spell wasn't uncommon - definitely not common, limited would be thrashed - but as a Mythic, it just seems bad. I say if you have them, dump them quick.
Private Mod Note
():
Rollback Post to RevisionRollBack
Decks
Commander
Ezuri, Renegade Leader (Aggro/Combo - Favorite) Skullbriar, the Walking Grave (Sac and Grave hijinks) Azusa, Lost but Seeking (Landfall hijinks) Kaalia of the Vast (Heavily modded)
Hmmm, Nivmagus Elemental just shot up from $1 and tons available on eBay to $2.50 and about 1/4 that amount available.... in 24 hours. I'd recommend keeping a close eye on that one! It crashed from $4 and hugely hyped before the prerelease almost to nothing yesterday.... and now seems to be getting snapped up like crazy. Which makes sense... the card has many things going for it.
Yeah, I really don't get Rakdos's Return either. The next most comparable spell in total, and in the same colors, is Blightning. At 2BR, RR is less effective than Blightning, but it has the option to scale up. Blightning costs about $0.10 - $0.20 each. RR is $9 - $15. Yeeeaahhh... The deck that uses it that way has to expect a late game, and have a mana base to back it up, has to face an opponent playing a particular style, using a specific class of card (Planeswalkers), and be in a particular board state for it to be useful. Oh, and it's only useful in Standard. Maybe EDH, but it would have been a shoe in if it was all opponents, and this is just one, so there it's even iffy. I don't understand why this spell wasn't uncommon - definitely not common, limited would be thrashed - but as a Mythic, it just seems bad. I say if you have them, dump them quick.
Its a mind shatter that can burn a player or a walker.
It will be good as long as walker control (bant and American miracles) are decks to beat.
Its a mind shatter that has to target an opponent*, and is mythic instead of rare, and lets the opponent choose the discard(s), that can burn a player or a walker.
fixed
* Not that you'd ever want to make yourself discard, but let's lay it all out there if we're comparing.
At first I thought Rakdos's Return was a bad Blightning, but Blightning was a pretty strong common in the time of Jund cascade in that it makes you discard while taking damage or killing a planeswalker.
Rakdos basically shoots Tamiyo/Jace and makes them discard as a mid to late game finisher.
As for Rakdos's Return, being a 2-of in one particular deck, to combat one specific board situation (opponent tapped out for Tamiyo in the late game) against one particular deck, doesn't warrant $9 (or the $15 SCG is charging). A mythic needs to be a 3-of or 4-of in multiple decks to maintain $9. If that's really the only justification for the price, it's coming down..... WAY down.
Entreat the Angels begs to differ. It hasn't been $9 since pre-release of AVR.
I can easily imagine that Entreat has a much higher casual appeal than RR, especially if a Blightning (which is a common) will usually do essentially the same for a casual player as RR, and I doubt a casual player will spend $10 for a RR when he can get 10 playsets of Blightnings for the same amount of money.
Private Mod Note
():
Rollback Post to RevisionRollBack
"Petals within petals within petals, tadpole. The truth lurks below an opulence of illusion."
—Neerdiv, fallowsage
I can easily imagine that Entreat has a much higher casual appeal than RR, especially if a Blightning (which is a common) will usually do essentially the same for a casual player as RR, and I doubt a casual player will spend $10 for a RR when he can get 10 playsets of Blightnings for the same amount of money.
meh I would say it stayed $10ish due to its potential (everyone knew it was a good card without a home) and it saw legacy play.
Return is likely to stay 10ish, 10ish isn't that unreasonable for a mythic that sees play as 2 of in a popular archtype.
A mythic needs to be 3-4 in multiple decks to be worth $10 is bs, that is a card like huntmaster, aristocrat, and tamiyo who are all around 15ish plus.
Originally Posted by ElricJC
Blightning costs about $0.10 - $0.20 each. RR is $9 - $15. Yeeeaahhh...
This is one of the most ridiculous comparisons I've ever seen in this sub forum. Why are you comparing the value of a non standard common that saw loads of play in a format where instants and sorceries were better to a mythic rare that has shown it's power in standard? Is Dreadbore overpriced at 8$ because terminate is arguably as good and is 1$?
Originally Posted by rancored_elf
Rakdos's Return is the hot card this update, although I'm not sure why. It jumped from $6.50 to $9 (StarCityGames has it for $15). In my opinion, it could be a common. There's nothing complicated, legendary, abusive-in-multiples, or powerful about it. It's extremely inefficient (and narrow) burn, and mediocre discard at best. What a disgrace of a design, and for some reason massively overpriced right now!
I've seen you be way off the mark with your card and value evaluating skills, saying "vorapede, a 3$ mythic, is comparable to thragtusk and doesn't see play", "lavalanche a 1$ rare is comparable to bonfire of the damned and never saw play". Since you don't play standard competitively, you have to be open to the possibility that you can't evaluate a card properly in the context of that format. And anyone who played it in limited knows it would have been backbreaking at anything lower than mythic.
Originally Posted by Umezete
Its a mind shatter that has to target an opponent*, and is mythic instead of rare, and lets the opponent choose the discard(s), that can burn a player or a walker.
fixed
Originally Posted by rancored_elf
* Not that you'd ever want to make yourself discard, but let's lay it all out there if we're comparing.
We can interrupt each other all day with pointless nitpicking like this. I don't think you'd appreciate it if someone did it to you either.
This card will be the worst rare in RTR and less remembered than skaab ruibator in three months. It struggles to be on the same power level as mass of ghouls, even in limited.
That its not simply "not good enough for competitive", or underpowered. But that this is offensively bad, the real stinker tier.
Still, my best evaluation is that its approximately on the same power level as a 4/4 for 4 vanilla beater.
You do really need to be familiar with standard to correctly call these cards. I mean, in a vacuum, Olivia a month ago is no different than Olivia today, but her power level has changed substantially for several key reasons (snag, image, slagstorm all gone).
Mythics are pretty pricy right now. If it's a 4 of it can go as high as 40$. Which is sort of crazy..
Remember that rancored_elf is doing a service as the lynchpin to this thread. Being a businessman (evaluating from a sellers perspective) he probably doesn't spend as much time keeping up with Standard decklists. People go back to his old posts and posit them as present arguments which isn't fair; many points are made by opinion and even though wrong sometimes, his are at least intelligently backed by analysis (and he is right about a lot).
General outlook presently:
I do believe that Ash Zealot will be a solid one moving to better than where it's at around $2-$3. Deathrite Shaman will be in the top 10 more than likely when all is said and done; or possibly top 6 if the duals drop, and the shiny mythics loosen up their hold (even though I think Angel of Serenity will stay high). Chromatic Lantern is one of those cards that can do so much, in so many decks, and be so much fun; so, I expect it's so-so presence to be left behind. Underworld Connections seems incredibly abusable, and Mana Bloom has interesting applications.
I've seen you be way off the mark with your card and value evaluating skills
Of course you have, because I've given my opinion on literally thousands of cards in the last few years in my running tally threads. Every card printed gets a review from me, sometimes 2 or 3, or more. But this isn't a competition - you seem to be missing that. This is where we give opinions. If you want to check my track record, go for it, I've done extremely well for myself for the past decade or more. I don't usually brag when I get it right, though I will often point out when I've been off. For you to also point out where I've been off isn't useful for anyone, except maybe to you, if attempting to hurt other people's feelings is how you make yourself feel good. Go ahead, if that's your thing, I really don't care. I've already point out most of the cards I've ever been off on, but you can echo me all you like!
We're just a bunch of Magic players/collectors/dealers/fans discussing prices and trends, and giving our opinions. You try giving 5000 opinions in public without ever being wrong. Not possible.
If you don't like reading free writeups and opinions about MTG singles prices and trends, you're in the wrong thread. This isn't "get angry at people when their opinion is wrong, meanwhile not giving your own opinion very often for fear of being criticized in return". I've never presented my opinions here as coming from somebody who plays Standard regularly. To point out that I don't play Standard regularly is kinda moot.
We can interrupt each other all day with pointless nitpicking like this.
Use the report post button if you think I'm breaking the forum rules. Otherwise, I'll say what I want.
My comparison wasn't pointless at all. Small differences in card design can translate to huge differences in price, which is exactly what we discuss in this thread. Rakdos' Return is NOT Mind Shatter with X damaged added on for free, so I pointed it out.
You do really need to be familiar with standard to correctly call these cards.
Apparently not! It's certainly helpful, and so are a fundamental understanding of supply and demand (you could learn about those concepts for 10 years and still not know enough), a long history of playing Magic, a long history of trading/buying/selling singles, ability to analyze price charts, connections with good players and other dealers who follow Standard, and having carefully followed the price of every Magic single in the current sets without a break for years. Playing (or at least closely following) Standard is an asset for price prediction but not the only one. Very few people make a living from Magic singles price prediction, but I'm one of them. Ask any successful trader or businessman if he's ever made a bad call. They'll tell you that's how they learn and how they get/stay on top.
I sold Tarmogoyfs for five bucks, everybody! Yup, sold right out at $5 and then it went to $40 or whatever the next week. And Arcbound Ravagers for $2. Laugh it up! I won't tell you about the cards I bought for $1 and sold for $28, or the cards I sold for $10 when everybody else was asking $15, right before it dropped to $2.
Opinions are welcome in this thread. Right, wrong, totally bizarre, go ahead. But remember, it's not a competition. And if you don't like other people's opinions, everything you paid to read this thread will be refunded in full when you leave.
EDIT: Thanks, VS. By the way, good analysis IMO, although I'm not sold on the enchant land. As for Deathrite it's already up to $7 which would be good enough for 13th spot if I redid the tally right now.
I sold Tarmogoyfs for five bucks, everybody! Yup, sold right out at $5 and then it went to $40 or whatever the next week. And Arcbound Ravagers for $2. Laugh it up! I won't tell you about the cards I bought for $1 and sold for $28, or the cards I sold for $10 when everybody else was asking $15, right before it dropped to $2.
I bet you sold JTMS for $25 too!!
Overall, thanks for keeping the thread going and taking the time to post your updates. I don't post in these threads too often, but I always read all the posts. Most of us appreciate your efforts.
In summation.....Star Trek wins a prolonged naval battle against superior, yet less technologically advanced, numbers, with Picard leading the assault, while Kirk takes your soul by laying out Solo and probably his manservant Chewy as well, before impregnating and ditching your Princess.
Regarding the RR-discussion, both parties have at least something right. But I mean, it sees play, it will continue to see play (naturally while it's standard-playable), so I don't think 10$ apiece is anything odd, really. I mean, from what I have gathered Jund Midrange *is* indeed quite played deck, and 95% of the lists play 1-3 Rakdos's Returns. Tamiyo doesn't see tons of play, but even she is 15$ or so, like previously stated, so why can't RR be ten bucks. Of course its price will crash when it loses standard appeal/rotates, but that's nothing unusual for expensive cards.
The key is RR is a very powerful effect, and a mythic rare. Whenever a card is those two types of things and the standard meta has a deck in the right colors there is a good chance it will be an expensive card. Most standard decks I see besides zombies are good-stuff decks. Control decks are just piles of sweepers and mythics(Aangel, Revelation, Planeswalkers), Jund is just a good-stuff deck. Hell most deck are splashing green for a 5 CMC water buffalo. If ever there was a format crying our for discard thsi is it.
The key is RR is a very powerful effect, and a mythic rare. Whenever a card is those two types of things and the standard meta has a deck in the right colors there is a good chance it will be an expensive card. Most standard decks I see besides zombies are good-stuff decks. Control decks are just piles of sweepers and mythics(Aangel, Revelation, Planeswalkers), Jund is just a good-stuff deck. Hell most deck are splashing green for a 5 CMC water buffalo. If ever there was a format crying our for discard thsi is it.
Indeed, the card isn't that amazing in a vacuum, but in the current early meta... well, it is quite amazing. There's a deck that LOVES to play this card and there's a deck that CRUMBLES in sight of it.
This is one of the most ridiculous comparisons I've ever seen in this sub forum. Why are you comparing the value of a non standard common that saw loads of play in a format where instants and sorceries were better to a mythic rare that has shown it's power in standard? Is Dreadbore overpriced at 8$ because terminate is arguably as good and is 1$?
Why am I? Because I consider formats other than Standard. Blightning wasn't so long ago, and people, before Cascade was a thing, Blightning was considered sub-par. I know, I was playing tournaments in that time, and people criticized me for using it, and then all of a sudden it was awesome with Bloodbraid Elf in Jund, and kaboom, it became legend. That time was not long ago, and when evaluating the value of a card as a speculator and trader, as I am more now, I look at a card's long term projections, and this thing is just a Standard object that maintains value as long as those particular circumstances that make it good exist. But when you look at the whole of Magic, it's not that good, it's an unstable item, and if I am spending $10+ on a card, it must be something that holds value for me, or it is something I can flip. Because in the end when these cards leave Standard, their value as Modern/Legacy/Casual cards has to be evaluated. If they hold little to no value in Modern or Legacy while they are in standard, and will not have any when it leaves Standard, and Casual won't spring that much money for them when better, cheaper options are available, the price will crash until it reaches a comfort level.
I look at this, I don't see something with long term value. It's not a Doubling Season either, which is casual only but SUPER popular and holds big value even now, and so its price will drop until it reaches a long-term value. After leaving standard? $2. $3-4 if it becomes an EDH darling.
Private Mod Note
():
Rollback Post to RevisionRollBack
Decks
Commander
Ezuri, Renegade Leader (Aggro/Combo - Favorite) Skullbriar, the Walking Grave (Sac and Grave hijinks) Azusa, Lost but Seeking (Landfall hijinks) Kaalia of the Vast (Heavily modded)
It punishes control for tapping out for a walker if you ramp. Kill a jayce/tamiyo and mind shatter them? That is a blowout.
Its not quite as good but a fair comparison is how bonfire blowout midrange matchups. A well timed return will blowout the control matchup.
You can't really lose tbh. Id buy a couple. Even if they dont explode in value, they will still be played.
Pick up your playset now. I am getting them as throw in from friends who are not on RDW. Just take a look a the price history of Stromkirk Noble. And that is with inclusion in an intro pack and not much success in standard for RDW. I am not predicting anything huge, but they are value right now.
About Ash Zealot, I disagree we will have another "RDW" deck since there's already one, but its B/R zombies and the "lightning bolt" is hilariously Bump in the Night.
As for Rakdos's Return, being a 2-of in one particular deck, to combat one specific board situation (opponent tapped out for Tamiyo in the late game) against one particular deck, doesn't warrant $9 (or the $15 SCG is charging). A mythic needs to be a 3-of or 4-of in multiple decks to maintain $9. If that's really the only justification for the price, it's coming down..... WAY down.
.
Yeah, all the Modern Jund decks were packing Deathrite Shaman in large numbers. Nivmagus Elemental should be on the rise, too, though that deck is likely going to be a flash in the pan.
Commander
Ezuri, Renegade Leader (Aggro/Combo - Favorite)
Skullbriar, the Walking Grave (Sac and Grave hijinks)
Azusa, Lost but Seeking (Landfall hijinks)
Kaalia of the Vast (Heavily modded)
Standard
Waiting for Innistrad...
Extended
Hah!
Modern
Living End Cascade (RGB)
Legacy
Burn
Vintage
None
Casual
WB Aggro-Control
Green Stompy
Pink Floyd (UWr Wall Control)
Lunch Box (Fatty ramp)
D-Bag (White Control)
Level 13 Task Mage
Hmmm, Nivmagus Elemental just shot up from $1 and tons available on eBay to $2.50 and about 1/4 that amount available.... in 24 hours. I'd recommend keeping a close eye on that one! It crashed from $4 and hugely hyped before the prerelease almost to nothing yesterday.... and now seems to be getting snapped up like crazy. Which makes sense... the card has many things going for it.
.
Its a mind shatter that can burn a player or a walker.
It will be good as long as walker control (bant and American miracles) are decks to beat.
At least in standard
fixed
* Not that you'd ever want to make yourself discard, but let's lay it all out there if we're comparing.
.
Rakdos basically shoots Tamiyo/Jace and makes them discard as a mid to late game finisher.
Entreat the Angels begs to differ. It hasn't been $9 since pre-release of AVR.
I can easily imagine that Entreat has a much higher casual appeal than RR, especially if a Blightning (which is a common) will usually do essentially the same for a casual player as RR, and I doubt a casual player will spend $10 for a RR when he can get 10 playsets of Blightnings for the same amount of money.
—Neerdiv, fallowsage
meh I would say it stayed $10ish due to its potential (everyone knew it was a good card without a home) and it saw legacy play.
Return is likely to stay 10ish, 10ish isn't that unreasonable for a mythic that sees play as 2 of in a popular archtype.
A mythic needs to be 3-4 in multiple decks to be worth $10 is bs, that is a card like huntmaster, aristocrat, and tamiyo who are all around 15ish plus.
This is one of the most ridiculous comparisons I've ever seen in this sub forum. Why are you comparing the value of a non standard common that saw loads of play in a format where instants and sorceries were better to a mythic rare that has shown it's power in standard? Is Dreadbore overpriced at 8$ because terminate is arguably as good and is 1$?
I've seen you be way off the mark with your card and value evaluating skills, saying "vorapede, a 3$ mythic, is comparable to thragtusk and doesn't see play", "lavalanche a 1$ rare is comparable to bonfire of the damned and never saw play". Since you don't play standard competitively, you have to be open to the possibility that you can't evaluate a card properly in the context of that format. And anyone who played it in limited knows it would have been backbreaking at anything lower than mythic.
We can interrupt each other all day with pointless nitpicking like this. I don't think you'd appreciate it if someone did it to you either.
You do really need to be familiar with standard to correctly call these cards. I mean, in a vacuum, Olivia a month ago is no different than Olivia today, but her power level has changed substantially for several key reasons (snag, image, slagstorm all gone).
Mythics are pretty pricy right now. If it's a 4 of it can go as high as 40$. Which is sort of crazy..
General outlook presently:
I do believe that Ash Zealot will be a solid one moving to better than where it's at around $2-$3. Deathrite Shaman will be in the top 10 more than likely when all is said and done; or possibly top 6 if the duals drop, and the shiny mythics loosen up their hold (even though I think Angel of Serenity will stay high). Chromatic Lantern is one of those cards that can do so much, in so many decks, and be so much fun; so, I expect it's so-so presence to be left behind. Underworld Connections seems incredibly abusable, and Mana Bloom has interesting applications.
That's true, it was only $9 until RTR was released, when it went up to $25+. Might be seeing a bit more play at the moment?
Of course you have, because I've given my opinion on literally thousands of cards in the last few years in my running tally threads. Every card printed gets a review from me, sometimes 2 or 3, or more. But this isn't a competition - you seem to be missing that. This is where we give opinions. If you want to check my track record, go for it, I've done extremely well for myself for the past decade or more. I don't usually brag when I get it right, though I will often point out when I've been off. For you to also point out where I've been off isn't useful for anyone, except maybe to you, if attempting to hurt other people's feelings is how you make yourself feel good. Go ahead, if that's your thing, I really don't care. I've already point out most of the cards I've ever been off on, but you can echo me all you like!
We're just a bunch of Magic players/collectors/dealers/fans discussing prices and trends, and giving our opinions. You try giving 5000 opinions in public without ever being wrong. Not possible.
If you don't like reading free writeups and opinions about MTG singles prices and trends, you're in the wrong thread. This isn't "get angry at people when their opinion is wrong, meanwhile not giving your own opinion very often for fear of being criticized in return". I've never presented my opinions here as coming from somebody who plays Standard regularly. To point out that I don't play Standard regularly is kinda moot.
Use the report post button if you think I'm breaking the forum rules. Otherwise, I'll say what I want.
My comparison wasn't pointless at all. Small differences in card design can translate to huge differences in price, which is exactly what we discuss in this thread. Rakdos' Return is NOT Mind Shatter with X damaged added on for free, so I pointed it out.
Apparently not! It's certainly helpful, and so are a fundamental understanding of supply and demand (you could learn about those concepts for 10 years and still not know enough), a long history of playing Magic, a long history of trading/buying/selling singles, ability to analyze price charts, connections with good players and other dealers who follow Standard, and having carefully followed the price of every Magic single in the current sets without a break for years. Playing (or at least closely following) Standard is an asset for price prediction but not the only one. Very few people make a living from Magic singles price prediction, but I'm one of them. Ask any successful trader or businessman if he's ever made a bad call. They'll tell you that's how they learn and how they get/stay on top.
I sold Tarmogoyfs for five bucks, everybody! Yup, sold right out at $5 and then it went to $40 or whatever the next week. And Arcbound Ravagers for $2. Laugh it up! I won't tell you about the cards I bought for $1 and sold for $28, or the cards I sold for $10 when everybody else was asking $15, right before it dropped to $2.
Opinions are welcome in this thread. Right, wrong, totally bizarre, go ahead. But remember, it's not a competition. And if you don't like other people's opinions, everything you paid to read this thread will be refunded in full when you leave.
EDIT: Thanks, VS. By the way, good analysis IMO, although I'm not sold on the enchant land. As for Deathrite it's already up to $7 which would be good enough for 13th spot if I redid the tally right now.
.
I bet you sold JTMS for $25 too!!
Overall, thanks for keeping the thread going and taking the time to post your updates. I don't post in these threads too often, but I always read all the posts. Most of us appreciate your efforts.
Youtube Channel
Indeed, the card isn't that amazing in a vacuum, but in the current early meta... well, it is quite amazing. There's a deck that LOVES to play this card and there's a deck that CRUMBLES in sight of it.
Youtube Channel
Why am I? Because I consider formats other than Standard. Blightning wasn't so long ago, and people, before Cascade was a thing, Blightning was considered sub-par. I know, I was playing tournaments in that time, and people criticized me for using it, and then all of a sudden it was awesome with Bloodbraid Elf in Jund, and kaboom, it became legend. That time was not long ago, and when evaluating the value of a card as a speculator and trader, as I am more now, I look at a card's long term projections, and this thing is just a Standard object that maintains value as long as those particular circumstances that make it good exist. But when you look at the whole of Magic, it's not that good, it's an unstable item, and if I am spending $10+ on a card, it must be something that holds value for me, or it is something I can flip. Because in the end when these cards leave Standard, their value as Modern/Legacy/Casual cards has to be evaluated. If they hold little to no value in Modern or Legacy while they are in standard, and will not have any when it leaves Standard, and Casual won't spring that much money for them when better, cheaper options are available, the price will crash until it reaches a comfort level.
I look at this, I don't see something with long term value. It's not a Doubling Season either, which is casual only but SUPER popular and holds big value even now, and so its price will drop until it reaches a long-term value. After leaving standard? $2. $3-4 if it becomes an EDH darling.
Commander
Ezuri, Renegade Leader (Aggro/Combo - Favorite)
Skullbriar, the Walking Grave (Sac and Grave hijinks)
Azusa, Lost but Seeking (Landfall hijinks)
Kaalia of the Vast (Heavily modded)
Standard
Waiting for Innistrad...
Extended
Hah!
Modern
Living End Cascade (RGB)
Legacy
Burn
Vintage
None
Casual
WB Aggro-Control
Green Stompy
Pink Floyd (UWr Wall Control)
Lunch Box (Fatty ramp)
D-Bag (White Control)
Level 13 Task Mage