The Magic Market Index for December 16, 2016

 

Welcome to The Magic Market Index. This article series documents the price changes of cards currently in print. This article will track how cards go from release to its time out of Standard, and as long as deemed necessary for non-Standard sets, as well as offer insight into what cards to invest in and what to ignore. The Magic market is a dangerous place, and this article is here to help guide players and speculators through the murky waters to greater returns.

 

This article will be updated once a week. Currently, this article series is tracking Battle for Zendikar Block (Oath of the Gatewatch, Battle for Zendikar, and Zendikar Expeditions), Shadows over Innistrad Block (Shadows over Innistrad and Eldritch Moon) and the Kaladesh Block (Kaladesh and Kaladesh Inventions). There are no current plans to track any promo sets, pack foils, or non-set releases. Otherwise, if it can be opened in a pack, it will be covered.

 

The Magic Market Index is a collaborative effort between the MTGSalvation staff. This week's edition is brought to you by accountant and MTGS content manager Alexandra Haggstrom.

Card Name 12/15
Price
12/08
Price
12/01
Price
11/24
Price
Change:
12/08 to 12/15
Change:
11/24 to 12/15
Comments
Chandra, Torch of Defiance $19.98 $19.96 $19.99 $19.57 +$0.02 +$0.41 Anyone with large quantities of the card Panharmonicon might be able to realize some gains from Kaladesh proper this week. As it stands for everything else, we're seeing a larger tumble than expected. Total box EV collapsed another 3%, the result of set-wide losses. Curiously, this actually puts Kaladesh's EV slightly below Eldritch Moon's. The set's overall floor shouldn't be too farther off now.
Torrential Gearhulk $14.31 $15.00 $16.00 $16.49 -$0.69 -$2.18
Smuggler's Copter $11.29 $11.68 $12.58 $13.00 -$0.39 -$1.71
Verdurous Gearhulk $7.99 $8.69 $9.99 $10.92 -$0.70 -$2.93
Spirebluff Canal $7.87 $8.22 $8.74 $8.86 -$0.35 -$0.99
Aetherworks Marvel $7.32 $8.00 $4.93 $5.07 -$0.68 +$2.25
Nissa, Vital Force $6.37 $6.77 $7.38 $7.99 -$0.40 -$1.62
Noxious Gearhulk $5.97 $6.29 $6.70 $6.90 -$0.32 -$0.93
Skysovereign, Consul Flagship $5.70 $6.05 $6.49 $6.87 -$0.35 -$1.17
Saheeli Rai $5.00 $5.21 $5.47 $6.11 -$0.21 -$1.11
Inspiring Vantage $4.71 $4.90 $5.21 $5.42 -$0.19 -$0.71
Panharmonicon $4.65 $4.27 $3.60 $3.50 +$0.38 +$1.15
Dovin Baan $4.60 $4.99 $5.50 $5.99 -$0.39 -$1.39
Combustible Gearhulk $3.82 $3.94 $4.09 $4.16 -$0.12 -$0.34
Angel of Invention $3.70 $3.68 $3.71 $3.49 +$0.02 +$0.21
Blooming Marsh $3.66 $3.81 $3.99 $3.99 -$0.15 -$0.33
Concealed Courtyard $3.55 $3.60 $3.76 $3.75 -$0.05 -$0.20
Botanical Sanctum $2.99 $3.17 $3.39 $3.49 -$0.18 -$0.50
Metallurgic Summonings $2.90 $2.81 $2.94 $3.00 +$0.09 -$0.10
Aether Hub $2.59 $2.70 $2.88 $2.97 -$0.11 -$0.38
Scrapheap Scrounger $2.29 $2.38 $2.50 $2.51 -$0.09 -$0.22
Cataclysmic Gearhulk $2.21 $2.46 $2.87 $3.06 -$0.25 -$0.85
Rare Slot Average: $1.89 $1.96 $2.04 $2.11 -$0.07 -$0.22
Rare Slot Deviation: $3.00 $3.09 $3.20 $3.27 -$0.09 -$0.28
Total Set Value: $195.08 $201.29 $207.22 $213.21 -$6.21 -$18.13
Booster Box EV: $96.09 $100.22 $104.89 $108.80 -$4.13 -$12.71

 

Card Name 12/15
Price
12/08
Price
12/01
Price
11/24
Price
Change:
12/08 to 12/15
Change:
11/24 to 12/15
Comments
Mana Crypt $134.97 $135.55 $136.49 $136.49 -$0.58 -$1.52 Compared to its parent set, Kaladesh Inventions is actually holding value relatively well. There are a few assorted losses, but nothing on the level of Kaladesh's tumble. Total set value declined by less than one percent. Much of the movement in this set is due to noise rather than significant market value shifts.
Sol Ring $134.85 $131.00 $130.00 $124.91 +$3.85 +$9.94
Mana Vault $129.99 $131.25 $144.99 $145.88 -$1.26 -$15.89
Mox Opal $108.93 $108.59 $115.16 $115.11 +$0.34 -$6.18
Crucible of Worlds $99.09 $99.97 $99.99 $97.98 -$0.88 +$1.11
Aether Vial $95.01 $98.45 $99.99 $99.99 -$3.44 -$4.98
Sword of Fire and Ice $84.00 $83.95 $85.49 $86.43 +$0.05 -$2.43
Sword of Feast and Famine $82.00 $83.45 $84.20 $83.24 -$1.45 -$1.24
Sword of Light and Shadow $78.02 $79.24 $78.00 $78.00 -$1.22 +$0.02
Lotus Petal $75.00 $76.94 $80.72 $82.53 -$1.94 -$7.53
Chromatic Lantern $59.99 $59.57 $59.98 $56.81 +$0.42 +$3.18
Solemn Simulacrum $56.94 $57.50 $57.75 $56.78 -$0.56 +$0.16
Torrential Gearhulk $55.51 $56.95 $57.00 $57.58 -$1.44 -$2.07
Lightning Greaves $50.99 $50.00 $50.99 $50.45 +$0.99 +$0.54
Scroll Rack $50.00 $50.98 $53.47 $52.65 -$0.98 -$2.65
Steel Overseer $49.44 $49.72 $49.88 $49.55 -$0.28 -$0.11
Rings of Brighthearth $45.99 $46.36 $46.99 $44.96 -$0.37 +$1.03
Chrome Mox $44.97 $44.99 $45.00 $47.00 -$0.02 -$2.03
Verdurous Gearhulk $44.93 $48.39 $49.80 $51.48 -$3.46 -$6.55
Noxious Gearhulk $44.81 $44.83 $44.80 $43.52 -$0.02 +$1.29
Painter's Servant $40.99 $40.91 $41.93 $42.71 +$0.08 -$1.72
Combustible Gearhulk $37.83 $39.99 $39.99 $39.99 -$2.16 -$2.16
Gauntlet of Power $36.97 $36.90 $37.17 $37.49 +$0.07 -$0.52
Cloudstone Curio $36.46 $37.42 $38.64 $36.85 -$0.96 -$0.39
Hangarback Walker $35.81 $35.97 $35.58 $35.00 -$0.16 +$0.81
Sculpting Steel $34.95 $34.99 $34.95 $34.95 -$0.04 +$0.00
Mind's Eye $31.58 $32.13 $32.64 $32.69 -$0.55 -$1.11
Cataclysmic Gearhulk $30.77 $30.41 $30.17 $32.40 +$0.36 -$1.63
Static Orb $28.53 $29.34 $29.99 $29.99 -$0.81 -$1.46
Champion's Helm $26.12 $26.12 $27.00 $26.42 +$0.00 -$0.30
Invention Average: $62.18 $62.73 $63.96 $63.66 -$0.55 -$1.48
Invention Deviation: $32.09 $31.96 $33.30 $33.03 +$0.12 -$0.95
KLD Box EV: $15.55 $15.68 $15.99 $15.92 -$0.14 -$0.37
Total Set Value: $1,865.44 $1,881.86 $1,918.75 $1,909.83 -$16.42 -$44.39

 

Card Name 12/15
Price
12/08
Price
12/01
Price
11/24
Price
Change:
12/08 to 12/15
Change:
11/24 to 12/15
Comments
Liliana, the Last Hope $39.86 $39.99 $40.76 $40.00 -$0.13 -$0.14 Eldritch Moon is this week's surprise, sporting not only a minimal drop in total set value of less than a percent, but also sporting the highest box EV for the week. Movements according to the whims of Standard are nothing new, of course, but Eldritch Moon comprises a good portion of one of Standard's marquee decks, so if you're delirious about that deck's prospects, there could be some room for speculation here.
Grim Flayer $21.77 $20.82 $21.49 $21.19 +$0.95 +$0.58
Emrakul, the Promised End $19.46 $19.16 $18.67 $18.48 +$0.30 +$0.98
Tamiyo, Field Researcher $10.25 $10.64 $10.95 $10.77 -$0.39 -$0.52
Gisela, the Broken Blade $10.22 $10.05 $9.99 $9.99 +$0.17 +$0.23
Ishkanah, Grafwidow $9.05 $8.51 $8.10 $8.00 +$0.54 +$1.05
Selfless Spirit $8.96 $9.38 $9.87 $8.89 -$0.42 +$0.07
Spell Queller $7.00 $7.00 $7.00 $6.93 +$0.00 +$0.07
Collective Brutality $6.13 $6.18 $6.22 $6.08 -$0.05 +$0.05
Thalia, Heretic Cathar $2.72 $2.77 $2.89 $2.90 -$0.05 -$0.18
Tree of Perdition $2.62 $2.62 $2.75 $2.85 +$0.00 -$0.23
Elder Deep-Fiend $2.31 $2.50 $2.74 $2.93 -$0.19 -$0.62
Eldritch Evolution $2.31 $2.50 $2.83 $3.10 -$0.19 -$0.79
Summary Dismissal $2.14 $2.12 $2.24 $2.23 +$0.02 -$0.09
Bedlam Reveler $2.08 $2.19 $2.33 $2.38 -$0.11 -$0.30
Rare Slot Average: $2.22 $2.25 $2.32 $2.30 -$0.03 -$0.08
Rare Slot Deviation: $5.19 $5.16 $5.24 $5.13 +$0.03 +$0.06
Total Set Value: $205.47 $206.08 $210.51 $209.45 -$0.61 -$3.98
Booster Box EV: $96.41 $97.13 $99.70 $100.00 -$0.72 -$3.59

 

Card Name 12/15
Price
12/08
Price
12/01
Price
11/24
Price
Change:
12/08 to 12/15
Change:
11/24 to 12/15
Comments
Archangel Avacyn $20.80 $20.50 $20.86 $19.99 +$0.30 +$0.81 Shadows over Innistrad doesn't tie itself as closely to one deck as does Eldritch Moon, but it has a few solid cards going for it, and those cards serve as the linchpins of several decks. As predicted, Fevered Visions fell off the list, and there's still some potential for upward mobility from everyone's favourite Boros flip card Archangel Avacyn, especially if Aether Revolt keeps White as good as it's been this past season.
Nahiri, the Harbinger $17.96 $17.98 $17.96 $18.00 -$0.02 -$0.04
Jace, Unraveler of Secrets $10.17 $9.81 $8.92 $7.99 +$0.36 +$2.18
Thing in the Ice $7.70 $7.84 $7.99 $8.15 -$0.14 -$0.45
Arlinn Kord $7.02 $7.09 $7.37 $7.82 -$0.07 -$0.80
Sorin, Grim Nemesis $5.33 $5.50 $5.90 $6.28 -$0.17 -$0.95
Relentless Dead $5.02 $5.48 $5.99 $6.79 -$0.46 -$1.77
Declaration in Stone $5.00 $5.13 $5.35 $5.51 -$0.13 -$0.51
Tireless Tracker $4.31 $4.27 $4.30 $4.24 +$0.04 +$0.07
Game Trail $3.83 $3.80 $3.74 $3.50 +$0.03 +$0.33
Port Town $3.49 $3.35 $3.37 $3.00 +$0.14 +$0.49
Foreboding Ruins $3.21 $3.19 $3.32 $3.19 +$0.02 +$0.02
Prized Amalgam $3.04 $3.18 $3.33 $3.69 -$0.14 -$0.65
Westvale Abbey $2.95 $2.95 $2.97 $3.10 +$0.00 -$0.15
Traverse the Ulvenwald $2.81 $2.90 $3.03 $3.33 -$0.09 -$0.52
Olivia, Mobilized for War $2.43 $2.50 $2.72 $3.07 -$0.07 -$0.64
Rare Slot Average: $1.34 $1.36 $1.39 $1.43 -$0.02 -$0.09
Rare Slot Deviation: $2.10 $2.10 $2.10 $2.10 +$0.00 +$0.00
Total Set Value: $189.22 $190.64 $194.03 $197.30 -$1.42 -$8.08
Booster Box EV: $64.38 $64.82 $65.58 $68.56 -$0.44 -$4.18

 

Card Name 12/15
Price
12/08
Price
12/01
Price
11/24
Price
Change:
12/08 to 12/15
Change:
11/24 to 12/15
Comments
Kalitas, Traitor of Ghet $20.68 $20.94 $20.99 $20.99 -$0.26 -$0.31 Oath of the Gatewatch puts up a disappointing week, with situational sweeper Kozilek's Return posting a 5% loss. Losses elsewhere were primarily minimal, but still resulted in an aggregate 1.6% total set value loss. Unless the Eldrazi make a serious comeback after Aether Revolt, there isn't as much room for growth in this set as there is in others.
Kozilek's Return $8.49 $8.96 $9.49 $10.00 -$0.47 -$1.51
Wandering Fumarole $5.75 $5.75 $5.99 $5.99 +$0.00 -$0.24
Thought-Knot Seer $5.41 $5.42 $5.40 $5.41 -$0.01 +$0.00
Nissa, Voice of Zendikar $5.28 $5.41 $5.50 $5.65 -$0.13 -$0.37
Chandra, Flamecaller $4.98 $5.38 $5.93 $6.42 -$0.40 -$1.44
Eldrazi Displacer $4.68 $4.70 $4.76 $4.76 -$0.02 -$0.08
Needle Spires $3.75 $3.92 $4.09 $4.28 -$0.17 -$0.53
Kozilek, the Great Distortion $3.45 $3.50 $3.57 $3.65 -$0.05 -$0.20
Hissing Quagmire $3.33 $3.33 $3.36 $3.34 +$0.00 -$0.01
World Breaker $3.18 $3.19 $3.29 $3.37 -$0.01 -$0.19
Reality Smasher $2.94 $3.02 $3.15 $3.23 -$0.08 -$0.29
Crush of Tentacles $2.80 $2.85 $2.99 $3.00 -$0.05 -$0.20
Sylvan Advocate $2.72 $2.98 $3.20 $3.50 -$0.26 -$0.78
Linvala, the Preserver $2.20 $2.20 $2.21 $2.25 +$0.00 -$0.05
Rare Slot Average: $1.53 $1.56 $1.61 $1.65 -$0.03 -$0.12
Rare Slot Deviation: $2.59 $2.64 $2.69 $2.72 -$0.05 -$0.13
Total Set Value: $126.12 $128.41 $131.61 $134.01 -$2.29 -$7.89
Booster Box EV: $75.84 $77.05 $79.41 $80.67 -$1.21 -$4.83

 

Card Name 12/15
Price
12/08
Price
12/01
Price
11/24
Price
Change:
12/08 to 12/15
Change:
11/24 to 12/15
Comments
Gideon, Ally of Zendikar $28.49 $28.74 $29.45 $29.65 -$0.25 -$1.16

Dragon's Maze is as highly skewed towards the top as ever, with its iconic top-shelf mythic rare taking up over a fifth of the set's value by itself. The second most valuable card in the set, also a mythic rare, is the only other thing on the list worth more than pack MSRP, meaning there are some cool but niche rares you don't want to open but are still perfectly playable. If only Wizards hadn't been so constrained by its themes and cycles, there could've been more room to grow set value, but as it is, Dragon's Maze will likely go down in history as a set with fine flavour but little competitive value excitement.

Ulamog, the Ceaseless Hunger $13.42 $13.10 $13.46 $13.82 +$0.32 -$0.40
Ob Nixilis Reignited $3.75 $3.89 $3.95 $4.32 -$0.14 -$0.57
Smoldering Marsh $3.71 $3.59 $3.72 $3.72 +$0.12 -$0.01
Cinder Glade $3.65 $3.67 $3.67 $3.63 -$0.02 +$0.02
Prairie Stream $3.62 $3.51 $3.49 $3.51 +$0.11 +$0.11
Drana, Liberator of Malakir $3.49 $3.57 $3.70 $4.00 -$0.08 -$0.51
Part the Waterveil $3.44 $3.45 $3.49 $3.51 -$0.01 -$0.07
Shambling Vent $3.10 $3.12 $3.10 $3.00 -$0.02 +$0.10
Sunken Hollow $2.79 $2.79 $2.81 $2.83 +$0.00 -$0.04
Kiora, Master of the Depths $2.59 $2.62 $2.69 $2.91 -$0.03 -$0.32
Dragonmaster Outcast $2.05 $2.04 $2.07 $2.12 +$0.01 -$0.07
Canopy Vista $2.00 $2.05 $2.19 $2.36 -$0.05 -$0.36
Rare Slot Average: $1.22 $1.22 $1.24 $1.27 +$0.00 -$0.05
Rare Slot Deviation: $2.91 $2.92 $2.99 $3.02 -$0.01 -$0.11
Total Set Value: $137.69 $138.06 $140.51 $143.42 -$0.37 -$5.73
Booster Box EV: $71.21 $71.37 $73.29 $75.86 -$0.16 -$4.65

 

Card Name 12/15
Price
12/08
Price
12/01
Price
11/24
Price
Change:
12/08 to 12/15
Change:
11/24 to 12/15
Comments
Scalding Tarn $230.99 $230.99 $233.09 $231.74 +$0.00 -$0.75 With a little under 0.7% loss, Dragon's Maze Expeditions remains slightly more stable than Kaladesh Inventions, though frankly neither movement is worth getting worked up over. The tango lands are the only things not to concern yourselves with as far as immediate collecting goes, though it's still worth keeping a few around in case they pick up in Modern in a few years, or if Frontier becomes an official format.
Polluted Delta $208.22 $202.36 $208.22 $209.99 +$5.86 -$1.77
Misty Rainforest $193.45 $195.42 $197.99 $194.15 -$1.97 -$0.70
Verdant Catacombs $174.99 $179.84 $175.32 $173.99 -$4.85 +$1.00
Flooded Strand $153.60 $155.00 $155.47 $150.89 -$1.40 +$2.71
Arid Mesa $119.33 $119.99 $119.95 $118.75 -$0.66 +$0.58
Wasteland $115.24 $116.18 $119.99 $124.57 -$0.94 -$9.33
Windswept Heath $109.97 $110.25 $114.99 $112.05 -$0.28 -$2.08
Wooded Foothills $109.97 $111.92 $115.25 $116.54 -$1.95 -$6.57
Ancient Tomb $108.22 $109.05 $112.58 $105.80 -$0.83 +$2.42
Bloodstained Mire $105.95 $109.26 $107.09 $105.90 -$3.31 +$0.05
Horizon Canopy $97.91 $97.67 $99.37 $99.95 +$0.24 -$2.04
Marsh Flats $95.00 $96.22 $98.38 $101.97 -$1.22 -$6.97
Steam Vents $92.67 $92.25 $94.49 $93.58 +$0.42 -$0.91
Godless Shrine $83.44 $83.99 $84.94 $83.24 -$0.55 +$0.20
Overgrown Tomb $79.88 $79.97 $81.82 $81.92 -$0.09 -$2.04
Stomping Ground $76.95 $76.95 $79.57 $79.56 +$0.00 -$2.61
Breeding Pool $74.93 $74.95 $74.95 $74.93 -$0.02 +$0.00
Watery Grave $73.21 $73.49 $73.42 $73.39 -$0.28 -$0.18
Sacred Foundry $69.20 $69.58 $69.80 $65.54 -$0.38 +$3.66
Strip Mine $68.94 $69.95 $70.33 $69.95 -$1.01 -$1.01
Temple Garden $64.99 $65.00 $69.95 $64.99 -$0.01 +$0.00
Blood Crypt $62.97 $62.99 $64.28 $62.99 -$0.02 -$0.02
Hallowed Fountain $62.92 $62.98 $63.94 $62.99 -$0.06 -$0.07
Eye of Ugin $59.99 $60.12 $61.90 $60.01 -$0.13 -$0.02
Twilight Mire $59.95 $59.95 $60.00 $59.95 +$0.00 +$0.00
Mana Confluence $47.87 $47.37 $48.94 $47.50 +$0.50 +$0.37
Cascade Bluffs $47.02 $48.38 $49.95 $48.38 -$1.36 -$1.36
Fetid Heath $46.12 $47.95 $47.99 $47.97 -$1.83 -$1.85
Flooded Grove $45.99 $46.27 $48.02 $48.59 -$0.28 -$2.60
Mystic Gate $44.96 $44.79 $45.72 $45.60 +$0.17 -$0.64
Sunken Ruins $42.00 $42.79 $42.93 $43.43 -$0.79 -$1.43
Fire-Lit Thicket $39.75 $40.66 $42.51 $42.51 -$0.91 -$2.76
Wooded Bastion $36.29 $36.74 $37.59 $37.31 -$0.45 -$1.02
Rugged Prairie $34.99 $34.99 $35.00 $37.64 +$0.00 -$2.65
Graven Cairns $34.95 $34.97 $35.09 $34.99 -$0.02 -$0.04
Dust Bowl $34.49 $34.93 $34.95 $34.93 -$0.44 -$0.44
Forbidden Orchard $33.46 $33.89 $33.93 $34.37 -$0.43 -$0.91
Tectonic Edge $32.99 $33.60 $34.95 $34.99 -$0.61 -$2.00
Cinder Glade $32.97 $32.83 $34.13 $33.45 +$0.14 -$0.48
Kor Haven $32.20 $32.16 $33.43 $33.95 +$0.04 -$1.75
Prairie Stream $31.03 $31.85 $32.62 $32.99 -$0.82 -$1.96
Sunken Hollow $30.30 $31.80 $32.55 $33.22 -$1.50 -$2.92
Canopy Vista $29.64 $30.79 $31.95 $32.03 -$1.15 -$2.39
Smoldering Marsh $27.11 $28.04 $29.89 $30.00 -$0.93 -$2.89
BFZ Average: $95.75 $96.35 $97.76 $96.83 -$0.60 -$1.08
OGW Average: $53.17 $53.62 $54.76 $54.62 -$0.45 -$1.45
BFZ Box EV: $23.94 $24.09 $24.44 $24.21 -$0.15 -$0.27
OGW Box EV: $13.29 $13.41 $13.69 $13.65 -$0.11 -$0.36
Total Set Value: $3,457.01 $3,481.12 $3,539.22 $3,513.18 -$24.11 -$56.17

 

 

Overall Summary

 

There isn't much to say about Standard in the lull before spoiler season kicks into high gear. Kaladesh's surprising drop in value is the only thing of note, and even then, it's not that the set's value dropped but that it dropped a bit more than expected. Beyond that, hopefully everyone's Standard Showdowns went well. I hope everyone's enjoyed this Standard season so far, and I hope everyone enjoys the next one just as much. Any Standard where R/W has access to significant card selection and card draw is one worth remembering.

 

Editor's Note: Due to the Christmas weekend, there may not be a December 23 edition of The Magic Market Index.

Comments

  • To post a comment, please or register a new account.
Posts Quoted:
Reply
Clear All Quotes