I found a website where people can upload their draft picks (here), and seems to be active. Unfortunately, it has no information about what the win-rate for the decks are, which I think is useful information to estimate the strength of draft picks.
Is there a repository where I can look at MTGO users draft picks? I'm planning to make an AI bot for drafting, and it'd be really useful to have some draft pick data, specially from decks that went 3-0 or 2-1. Is it possible to get this information (or something similar)?
Are there any regularly held tournaments for limited play in the US that are below GP level but above FNM level? I'd like to play for a bit larger stakes than the usual LGS draft, but without having to travel too far.
We'll see how the AER/KLD format plays out, but Aether Herder seems like filler to me. Playable, but worse than most of the other green creatures at common.
Yeah, one thing I regretted was not playing the Countless Gears Renegade over one of the 5 drops (either tiger or the 4/4 trample). More so since the 5 drops plus Lifecrafter's Bestiary were really clunky. Also, I think those Renegade Rallier were not great in my deck; I think you need to be really aggressive for them to be good.
To be fair, I honestly didn't give enough consideration to blue. Those removals in blue seem so bad. Is 4 mana bounce a permanent actually good in this format? (Honest question, not trying to argue). To be fair, in limited I usually like playing RB decks with a bunch of 2-3 drops and tons of removal, so I do have a hard time evaluating effects like Leave in the Dust.
I was wondering if I could get some feedback on my pre-release sealed pool. I went 1-3 with my pool, and I thought my deck was decent, but seems like I misjudged its quality or built it wrong. I ended up going GW (deck below), trying to get value early and survive to my more powerful late game, but that didn't work out too well. The lack of removal in my pool made it really hard for me to deal with trouble creatures, specially fliers. I would like to see what more experienced players would have built with this pool.
What's your experience against Dredge with Corey's list? g1 seems almost impossible, but after board I always have the feeling that if I would have made one or two different plays I'd have had a shot. In the end, I usually just end up losing in 2 games. Has your experience been the same?
So here's the thing about that. Tarn is pretty high now, yes. It's probably not going to get significantly higher. If you sell them now, you're looking at probably 2017 before you can buy them back after a reprint. 2017 is probably also when we get the next Modern Masters, which should hopefully contain Snapcaster Mage. So if you're looking at waiting until then anyway, I'd look at doing something else with the cash.
Again, we have no knowledge that either of these two cards will be reprinted very soon, just hunches. So please take my advice with that caveat in mind.
I think I'd be happy with buying them back at a cheaper price even before a reprint (say $60-70 each). My sense is that this price surge is due to them not being spoiled in Oath of the Gatewatch.
Am I mistaken in assuming they'll drop later this year, even with no reprint in sight?
It was stated publicly by WOTC (on MaRo's Tumblr, if I recall) that enemy fetches would not be reprinted in BFZ Block. I think that this announcement came out in August? So they've been through the roof for several months now. They got pushed down last year because allied fetches were reprinted and were suddenly Modern legal, releasing some of the pressure on enemy fetches. I can't see them dropping $30 - that would herald either a decrease in demand (like people being able to use allied fetches) or an increase in supply (reprint) in the next year.
I wasn't aware about that statement by MaRo, my bad. Still, why the sudden $20 increase in price for Tarn in the past 2 weeks? I mean, they were at $77 for all of BFZ time.
So here's the thing about that. Tarn is pretty high now, yes. It's probably not going to get significantly higher. If you sell them now, you're looking at probably 2017 before you can buy them back after a reprint. 2017 is probably also when we get the next Modern Masters, which should hopefully contain Snapcaster Mage. So if you're looking at waiting until then anyway, I'd look at doing something else with the cash.
Again, we have no knowledge that either of these two cards will be reprinted very soon, just hunches. So please take my advice with that caveat in mind.
I think I'd be happy with buying them back at a cheaper price even before a reprint (say $60-70 each). My sense is that this price surge is due to them not being spoiled in Oath of the Gatewatch.
Am I mistaken in assuming they'll drop later this year, even with no reprint in sight?
4x Scalding Tarn (3 NM 1 SP) for $360-$380 (thinking about selling)
Sell now?
Seems pretty reasonable. If you're not using them, I'd move them. They will be reprinted eventually, probably in the next couple years, so you'll want to move them before that happens. But only if you're not using them.
I'm building a Grixis Delver deck but I'm missing other cards (4x Snapcaster and most of the sideboard), so I figure I'd be trading these lands for the other cards I'm missing and then pick them up again when the price drops. Scalding Tarn seems to be at an all time high right now.
Is there a repository where I can look at MTGO users draft picks? I'm planning to make an AI bot for drafting, and it'd be really useful to have some draft pick data, specially from decks that went 3-0 or 2-1. Is it possible to get this information (or something similar)?
EDIT: Or information about limited tournaments in general.
Any suggestions?
Yeah, one thing I regretted was not playing the Countless Gears Renegade over one of the 5 drops (either tiger or the 4/4 trample). More so since the 5 drops plus Lifecrafter's Bestiary were really clunky. Also, I think those Renegade Rallier were not great in my deck; I think you need to be really aggressive for them to be good.
To be fair, I honestly didn't give enough consideration to blue. Those removals in blue seem so bad. Is 4 mana bounce a permanent actually good in this format? (Honest question, not trying to argue). To be fair, in limited I usually like playing RB decks with a bunch of 2-3 drops and tons of removal, so I do have a hard time evaluating effects like Leave in the Dust.
I was wondering if I could get some feedback on my pre-release sealed pool. I went 1-3 with my pool, and I thought my deck was decent, but seems like I misjudged its quality or built it wrong. I ended up going GW (deck below), trying to get value early and survive to my more powerful late game, but that didn't work out too well. The lack of removal in my pool made it really hard for me to deal with trouble creatures, specially fliers. I would like to see what more experienced players would have built with this pool.
1x Thriving Ibex
1x Countless Gears Renegade
1x Audacious Infiltrator
1x Dawnfeather Eagle
1x Aether Inspector
1x Restoration Specialist
1x Trusty Companion
1x Deadeye Harpooner
1x Conviction
1x Aerial Modification
1x Decommission
1x Pressure Point
1x Fragmentize
1x Aegis Automaton
Green
2x Aether Herder
2x Renegade Rallier
1x Scrounging Bandar
1x Lifecraft Cavalry
1x Ridgescale Tusker
1x Riparian Tiger
1x Aetherwind Basker
1x Highspire Artisan
1x Sage of Shaila's Claim
1x Heroic Intervention
1x Ornamental Courage
1x Natural Obsolescence
1x Prey Upon
1x Freejam Regent
1x Sweatworks Brawler
1x Frontline Rebel
2x Embraal Gear-Smasher
1x Reckless Racer
1x Defiant Salvager
1x Wrangle
1x Renegade Tactics
Black
1x Fen Hauler
1x Night Market Aeronaut
1x Ovalchase Daredevil
1x Ironclad Revolutionary
1x Ambitious Aetherborn
1x Fourth Bridge Prowler
1x Morbid Curiosity
1x Live Fast
Blue
1x Thriving Turtle
1x Thriving Grubs
1x Gearseeker Serpent
1x Hinterland Drake
1x Shipwreck Moray
1x Bastion Inventor
1x Curio Vendor
2x Leave in the Dust
1x Failed Inspection
1x Ice Over
1x Era of Innovation
1x Lifecrafter's Bestiary
1x Renegade Map
1x Mobile Garrison
1x Renegade Freighter
1x Aradara Express
1x Implement of Malice
1x Consulate Dreadnought
1x Fireforger's Puzzleknot
2x Implement of Combustion
1x Universal Solvent
2x Verdant Automaton
1x Eager Construct
1x Treasure Keeper
1x Consulate Skygate
1x Metalwork Colossus
1x Crackdown Construct
1x Augmenting Automaton
1x Merchant's Dockhand
1x Filigree Crawler
1x Watchful Automaton
Gold
1x Cloudblazer
2x Tezzeret's Touch
Lands
1x Spirebluff Canal
2x Aether Herder
2x Renegade Rallier
1x Scrounging Bandar
1x Lifecraft Cavalry
1x Ridgescale Tusker
1x Riparian Tiger
1x Aetherwind Basker
1x Highspire Artisan
1x Treasure Keeper
1x Audacious Infiltrator
1x Dawnfeather Eagle
1x Restoration Specialist
1x Trusty Companion
1x Deadeye Harpooner
1x Lifecrafter's Bestiary
1x Renegade Map
1x Mobile Garrison
1x Renegade Freighter
1x Heroic Intervention
1x Decommission
1x Prey Upon
Lands
9x Forest
8x Plains
1x Universal Solvent
1x Sage of Shaila's Claim
1x Countless Gears Renegade
1x Aegis Automaton
1x Thriving Ibex
1x Eager Construct
1x Natural Obsolescence
1x Ornamental Courage
1x Pressure Point
1x Fragmentize
Agree wholeheartedly. I think it still merits a MD slot (I'd start with 2 copies), but it doesn't really solve the biggest problems this deck has.
3x Crumble to Dust (foil)
1x Thought-Knot Seer (foil)
Pile B:
1x Marsh Flats
I wasn't aware about that statement by MaRo, my bad. Still, why the sudden $20 increase in price for Tarn in the past 2 weeks? I mean, they were at $77 for all of BFZ time.
I think I'd be happy with buying them back at a cheaper price even before a reprint (say $60-70 each). My sense is that this price surge is due to them not being spoiled in Oath of the Gatewatch.
Am I mistaken in assuming they'll drop later this year, even with no reprint in sight?
I'm building a Grixis Delver deck but I'm missing other cards (4x Snapcaster and most of the sideboard), so I figure I'd be trading these lands for the other cards I'm missing and then pick them up again when the price drops. Scalding Tarn seems to be at an all time high right now.
Sell now?