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  • posted a message on Ultimate Masters & Box Topper Promos + PSA regarding sealed Box Topper Boosters
    Quote from dietl »
    Quote from RedGauntlet »
    Quote from tronix »
    Quote from RedGauntlet »
    Woow they increase the price.

    Mods please let me insult themw ith all sorts of names....


    yeah but look at the value in the set. i have to believe the EV per box is higher than previous sets, even with the higher cost. then add on the promos (which will be extremely scarce with 40 potentials).

    we will have to see the rarity on all the cards to see for sure though.


    Value in the set? It costs the same for wizards to print a Grizzly Bears as to print Karn. The other Master Sets shouldn't have costed 10 dollars a pack. not everyone cana fford to get those promo foils so increasing the price of product jsut because of those is ridiculous from my point of view.



    The paint and canvas of the Mona Lisa also isn't worth Millions. Money is just paper yaddy yadda...welcome to capitalism.

    Most products are worth far less than the materials that are put into making them,that's because the process/technology to reshape the materials into the final product make up a majority of the cost. Money has legal power backing up their worth. The Mono Lisa in addition to taking many hours from one of the most skilled painters, is a unique item.

    Magic cards poses none of these qualities, they are a cheaply massed produced product which some of have value due to artificial scarcity. But if you still think you Mona-Lisa comparison is actually valid, then I'll happily sell you a mass-produced modern made Mona-lisa for only tens of thousands of dollars.
    Posted in: The Rumor Mill
  • posted a message on The State of Modern Thread (B&R 10/02/18)
    Quote from Lord Seth »
    Quote from itachiitachi »
    Also lots of the why Jace won't be a problem in Modern arguments remind me of the Jace won't be a problem in standard Arguments.
    But wouldn't those arguments regarding him not being a Standard be correct? Such arguments would obviously have to take place prior to him officially entering the format (or at least shortly thereafter), and Jace wasn't a problem for a while. Sure, he was good, but he didn't become a true monster until after rotation when a lot of cards that were effective against him rotated out, which obviously would not occur in Modern.

    Actually Jace was seeing affinity levels of top 8's even before Jund rotated out and at that time people where making the same arguments they where making now. Even after jund rotated they printed many hate cards that targeted planes walkers but his share of the meta just grew. Also worth pointing out that Jace was considered too slow for Legacy for a quite a while as well.
    Posted in: Modern Archives
  • posted a message on The State of Modern Thread (B&R 10/02/18)
    Quote from axman »
    Quote from pierrebai »
    My fear in all these case of unbans or new powerful mythics is not the power-level or price of the card per-se, but that it would make even more tier-1 expensive. The ultimate horror is when all tier-1 are expensive, making Modern even more pay-to-win. (Or more precisely for nit-pickers, pay-to-not-be-severely-disadvantaged.)

    The existence of decks like storm or burn were a balm in the current meta, making somewhat affordable decks playable without shame. The existence of Jund deck and traverse shadow, with the liliana of the vail and tarmogoyf represent the opposite end of the spectrum. UW control unfortunately, falls in the expensive end, with colonade, Command, Snapcaster and now Jace.

    The way Wizards chooses to handle reprints by sometimes pushing staple rares to mythics (staple commons to uncommons, too) just goes with the trend. So, to me the unban of JtMS fuel the fear that top-tier blue deck would require a super-expensive card.


    Magic has always been an expensive hobby. Any hobby... sport.. or like activity could technically be considered "pay-to-not-be-severely-disadvantaged" if you stare at it long enough.

    As Someone who has been playing magic for nearly 20 years I can tell you that magic has not always been an "expensive hobby", and as someone who plays lots of sports calling "buying basic sports equipment that's actually needed to play" "pay-to-not-be-severely-disadvantaged" is disingenuous at best.

    Also lots of the why Jace won't be a problem in Modern arguments remind me of the Jace won't be a problem in standard Arguments.
    Posted in: Modern Archives
  • posted a message on Christine Sprankle and Harassment in the MTG Community
    As with most big debates on this forum the mods manage to be in the wrong, even if they main point they are trying to make is correct.

    I don't know much about the Jeremy guy or this situation, he seems to be in the wrong and the only thing that makes think he may not be guilty is they heavy handed way the leftest are handling this discussion.

    I also want to point out the Irony the many of the people who are in the "words hurt" category are the same people who don't bat an eye at calling people nazis, altright, misogynist, racists and other deliberate mischareteraztions.

    The the only reason I'm actually bothering to post here is to correct the gross mischaracterization that seems to have gone undressed.


    Quote from Teia Rabishu »


    Quote from BlueTronFTW »
    You're in Canada, what do you think the good Professor Jordan Peterson would say about stating that we should always believe accusations without evidence, hell putting proof in quotation marks as if its some vague concept.


    I'm going to be very blunt here: What the **** should I care about what someone who stridently opposed the bill (C-16, for the record) that would grant me equal rights at the federal level thinks? The man is an example of scaremongering from someone who opposes equal treatment for minority groups, nothing more.

    He opposes compelled speech, not peoples rights, characterizing him that way just shows your unwillingness to understand any view point that opposes yours.
    Posted in: Magic General
  • posted a message on State of Modern Thread: bans, format health, reprints, new cards, and more!
    Quote from Heenock »
    Quote from KTROJAN »
    Jitte will never be unbanned, have you ever played with it??



    True, the standard era with Jitte was really "wtf".

    All decks were playing it even the control just for destroy the Jitte opponents with the old rule of legends.

    That's hyperbolic, jitte was in less than 40% of top 8 decks at the time.
    Posted in: Modern Archives
  • posted a message on The Legacy Price Discussion Thread
    Quote from Ebonclaw »
    On the contrary, I would argue that more players=higher print runs= more supply= equals lower prices (mainly post-rotation).
    At launch of a new set, many powerful mythics are going to have a higher price tag until the set gets drafted and opened enough for supply to catch up and then these cards fall most of the time. Very rarely do they stick at their initial pricetags and most often settle in the $10-$15 range, so maybe my $10 estimate was a little off, but not by much. Yeah, there are a few annoying exceptions to that, but by and large the cost to complete an entire deck has fallen. It sucks when $100 of a $400 deck is occupied by a playset of a certain card, but I'd rather be in that boat than the "all cards are under $30, but every card in the deck is at LEAST $10 and the deck costs $700 to build.

    Those both sound like terrible situations. I think we'll see more of both as more and better staples get printed at mythic.

    Quote from Ebonclaw »

    I am ALL about reprints being done in modern sets for a variety of reasons. It helps slow down power creep, it causes prices of those cards to drop, etc.

    Prices hardly dropped at all for anything in MM the only thing that really dropped where causal cards and uncommons. I'm sure EMA will have an effect as legacy cards prices are more about scarcity than demand and people are buying this set based on hype/lottery tickets despite it being a losing proposition.

    Quote from Ebonclaw »

    But the reprints also need to be done with care. We like reprints, but we also like to see new cards and some cards are just really hard to reprint in standard because they're either too powerful, or they make no sense lore-wise. You can't reprint Karakas on Zendikar, and you can't open a Rishadan Port on Innistrad. Additionally, Wizards has deemed certain cards as antagonistic to standard and won't print cards like them in a standard environment anymore. Winter Orb is an example, and so are 4 mana wraths, and Armageddon at 4 mana. 3 mana or less land destruction is also deemed "unfun." To address these cards and get them reprinted, expedition versions wouldn't help. Not that Winter Orb is expensive or anything, but Rishadan Port is a better example.

    Which is why they can go the expeditions route as stated earlier.


    Quote from Ebonclaw »

    EMA/MMA style sets lets Wizards reprint a bunch of cards that could not be printed in standard for one reason or another and have control over how many new Force of Wills enter the wild since the set is limited in print run. It makes for a very tasty apple to dangle that someone is gonna buy, because hey, foil Force of Will, amiright?

    If the selling point of the set is a lottery ticket it's a poorly designed set. EMA/MMA is just WOTC way to cash in on the secondary market.


    Quote from Ebonclaw »

    Personally I think EMA should have been a little more aggressive in the EV, I agree with you there. This is the first time WoTC has done a Legacy-based set, and I suspect they're being very careful not to cause the sky to fall too much. I think next year, EMA2 will probably be a little more aggressive in what they reprint. But EMA will do more to help drop card values of non RL cards than, say, an expedition Bitterblossom or whatever. Expeditions are so rare that the increased supply has pretty much zero bearing on the card's pricetag. Out of all the expedition lands printed, did ANY of them drop?

    I doubt WOTC will increase the EV until the sets stop selling. No the last round of expeditions didn't affect their prices but that was only one sets worth of printing. Also I think that there were about one per case, I'm thinking they should be one per booster-box .

    Quote from Ebonclaw »

    I'm not saying that EMA is a GREAT solution to the problem, or that this EMA is not without its faults and should have been done a little differently, but I AM saying it's probably the BEST course of action. EMA having EV =<box cost is a tactic to compensate for the limited print run. If the EV was >= box cost, stores would just crack the boxes to sell the singles and any product that hit the floor would sell out instantly and that owuld be that. By easing the value off, stores are going to want to actually sell the product instead of opening it, and players are not going to buy out inventory of a limited run product on day 1, giving everyone the chance to buy a pack or two.

    Well we saw how well that worked for MM2, after the initial hype it stopped selling, last time I checked you can still buy a box of it for retail. I don't get this mentality on this forum of "it's better to be able buy something you don't want than to have a shot at something you do want". For MM1 none of my LGS hoarded any of the product or raised the price and some of them are scummy stores, nor would it be hard for Wotc to crack down on such behavior.
    Posted in: Market Street Café
  • posted a message on The Legacy Price Discussion Thread
    Quote from Ebonclaw »
    Quote from itachiitachi »
    Quote from Ebonclaw »
    Quote from itachiitachi »
    Quote from Ebonclaw »


    If you want to see Legacy go back to those price points, you'll also need to see standard go back to those price points. $400 seems to be about the going rate for a T1 Standard deck, right now. It used to be more, remember how much Caw-Blade cost to build? One of the main reasons you're seeing a huge drive in prices is that you're seeing a large rise in playerbase. WOTC has done a very good job at making standard more affordable and more accessible these days, and I'd like to think the days of $1000 standard decks are behind us.

    Standard prices have nothing to do with the size of the player base, increasing the number of players doesn't affect the price of boosters. The increased cost of standard comes from the increase in the number of cards printed each year, mythic rares, rarity upticks and the faster rotation of cards. Nor would I praise the price of current standard when we just had a card going for nearly $400 a playset. They could address both problems with one simple step. Reprinting staples of older formats in standard sets, which both increases supply and drops standard prices by eating into the box ev. But wotc has decided to do the opposite.



    Player base has a LOT to do with standard prices. This is basic supply/demand. Increasing the number of players wanting a specific card drives the price of that card. This is supply and demand.

    1. Supply of standard product can and almost always is printed to meet demand.
    2. If it really where a supply/demand issue we'd see a rise in the EV of booster boxes, we don't


    Quote from Ebonclaw »

    As far as a quicker rotation leading to a higher price, I'd argue that because cards rotate more frequently, buyers are more hesitant to plunk down as much money for a card that will only see play throughout a shorter life.

    Do you have any evedince to back this up or is it baseless conjuncture?

    Quote from Ebonclaw »

    What drives cards through the roof (like JVP) is when WoTC prints something that's good enough to keep seeing play past it's standard life. Now people want that card not just because it's obviously a powerhouse, but also because it's a card that has eternal value. JVP is the exception to the rule these days, and aside from the occasional "oops mythic", standard cards, particularly ones that are ONLY good enough for standard, are $10 or less most of the time. Every single time a card breaks the $20 mark, it is almost exclusively because the card is good in other formats. And this is ok. There's an attached value to a card that has value past its life in standard, especially when that card is a proven powerhouse (like the reprint of Thoughtseize).
    These days, most rares, unless they're a reprint of something that's already worth a sizable chunk of change, are $5-$10, tops. Most mythics won't break $10 once their price settles. There are always exceptions, outliers if you will, but aside from the occasional JVP or Dragonlord Ojutai, standard is by and large more affordable.

    Really let's take a look at the expensive cards from last year, That where over $10 (most over $20) and have little to - no eternal vaule
    Elspeth
    Courser of Kruphix
    Nissa, Worldwaker
    Ugin, the Spirit Dragon (has causal value for sure)
    Den Protector
    Deathmist Raptor
    Stormbreath Dragon
    Goblin Rabblemaster
    Xenagos, the Reveler
    Sarkhan, the Dragonspeaker

    This is not a full list, these are just cards from the first two decklists I saw.

    Also what standard staple mythic settled below $10 while still seeing play?
    Quote from Ebonclaw »

    Reprinting old format staples in standard is something that WoTC has done here and there, but it's not always been the best idea, as the cards that need the reprints need the reprints because they're expensive, and they're expensive because they're powerful. Tarmogoyf, for example, could really use an en masse printing, but can you imagine what Tarmogoyf would do to standard? Or jamming Rishadan Port into standard?

    You realize that cards being powerful in eternal =/= card being powerful in standard. We had goyf in standard, it wasn't a problem, sure it was good but it was fine. Sure there are some cards that shouldn't be in standard and for them the can get the expedition treatment. Problem solved.


    1) I think we're having some miscommunication in regards to what you're trying to say about supply/demand. If supply is meeting demand, then prices are determined by playability of the card, not artificial scarcity by underprinting. Larger print runs= greater supply. Like RTR's shocklands, or Khans' fetches, during their lifetime we took cards that were originally $20+ and got them to $10ish. If you needed a playset of a particular land, it wasn't hard to get at all, and their pricetags, despite being the hallmark cards of the sets, were relatively low compared to their values before the reprints. When a set isn't opened much for whatever reason, and the print run is correspondingly lower, any cards that ARE desirable in that set get pricey quick. Like Voice of Resurgence. DGM was a crap set that was lightly opened, but here we have a card with high color requirements breaking $40 just because there were hardly any floating around because no one wanted to open that stupid set. If Voice had been printed in RTR instead, we'd be looking at MAYBE half that price, almost assuredly. RTR is a good example of what happens when high supply exists. For a while, Thoughtseize was even $15, when before the reprint it was breaking $60. Abrupt Decay is a Legacy/modern staple and it's taken quite a while to get to just $15. During standard and afterwards it was a whopping $7. Anyway, I'm not seeing how having a larger player base=more supply=higher pricing, so I figure that's got to be misworded or I'm reading it wrong.
    2) You're right, there isn't a supply/demand issue for sealed product as a whole, and there aren't usually supply issues for a particular card unless we get a Voice of Resurgence scenario. Hence my argument that a rising playerbase does not= a rise in cost for the player. If you have a set with a perceived high EV, it gets opened like crazy because there IS such value and as long as WoTC keeps printing it, you'll see prices fall until the set goes out of print for a while. Again, look at RTR, there was SO much EV in that set when it released. You could open any number of shocklands or Thoughtseize or Decay or DRS, or Sphinx's Revelation.....the list of cards in that set worth $$$ was just tremendous and card prices ended up being suppressed for most of the set through its standard life with what, Sphinx's Rev carrying the highest pricetag at $20ish? Eventually the supply catches up and the EV of a box falls, but opening RTR was still a winning proposition.

    I wouldn't say my above statement is BASELESS conjecture, though I will say that it's just my opinion. It makes more sense to me that if a card has a shortened lifespan, it runs into the "pre-rotation jitters" more quickly and doesn't live as long at its highest price. But no, I have no hard evidence for this, it is just my opinion. This arguably makes the point that it makes STANDARD more expensive, not necessarily a particular CARD more expensive. Standard has always been a losing proposition for anyone unwilling to flip their stock before rotation arrives, and this just accelerates the process. Even though a card might run into rotation sooner and cause it to live at a higher pricetag for less time as a result, the quickened rotation is what's screwing people, not the actual cost because you don't get to play that card as long.

    Now let's take a look at the cards you've listed:

    Elspeth- Got reprinted in Dual Decks. Was the namesake card during "Elspeth: the Gathering" when literally every single T1 deck ran her. Dominated standard and the only thing that kept her from breaking $40 was the fact that Theros was so heavily opened. This is an outlier and an example of a card that overtook games so easily that it was evident that the easiest way to beat her was to play her. She got a reprint in the deul decks before rotation and even so still carried a $15 pricetag afterwards, which was fair and made her much more obtainable for people still wanting to play her.
    Courser of Kruphix- Got expensive for a little bit, but people recognized this thing was good enough to see Modern play.
    Nissa, Worldwaker- Spiked hard to $40, didn't stick there long. More of her life was spent at $20, then $10 as alternatives to playing her popped up. She still saw play, but her necessity dropped as other alternatives to playing her showed up.
    Ugin, the Spirit Dragon (has causal value for sure)- This is a Dragon Planeswalker that is good enough to see play in Legacy MUD, various tron decks, and modern to boot. His pricetag is high, but it's real and actually fair. There will remain a steady demand for this card for all time and we'll see something akin to Karn, Planeswalker pricing. We knew this while he was in standard and is a rare example of a card that deserves to be a $50 bill.
    Den Protector- Spiked high to what, $15 and quickly settled at $12ish.
    Deathmist Raptor- This was a flash in the pan and everyone knew it. It carried it's $30ish pricetag as long as it could.
    Stormbreath Dragon- One of the best cards in standard at the time. One of the first truly GOOD dragons, and got some Modern love.
    Goblin Rabblemaster- Spiked to what, $20 when he was seeing play in every deck that could make red mana. He settled a bit, no one wanted to pay $20 for a card that wasn't even mythic, but again, he saw play across several different decks.
    Xenagos, the Reveler- Peaked at what, $17 and saw play as like a 2 of?
    Sarkhan, the Dragonspeaker- Ended up being sub $10 while still in standard. He spiked for a bit when he actually got played, but I remember him being $15 avg. That's not that bad, especially considering he was never a 4x.
    Most of these cards are non-issues, even if they exhibited a temporarily high pricetag, a decent chunk of them were never a 4x. Deathmist, Stormbreath, and Rabblemaster might be exceptopn.

    Most of these cards saw temporary spikes which then eased off, particularly the rares. The only card I found to be a real offender on this list was how long Deathmist Raptor lived at the $35 pricetag. I get that when a card starts doing well it creates a sudden, huge interest in a card that can send its pricetag to unreasonable levels, but if you're willing to wait for the initial rush to subside, I don't feel like asking $12 or even $20 is too much for a card that is a cornerstone of a deck, especially if you only need 2 of them. What I have a problem with is when EVERY card in the deck is $15 and up. Please note I said "most mythics with settle below $10" not "most staple mythics". Even so, again, we see most of the Mythics on that list settling at not much higher than $10, like Elspeth (thanks to the Duel Decks), Sarkhan (ended up right AT $10), and Xenagos. Stormbreath ended up around $15. Again, the only card I take issue with was Deathmist, that card should never have stayed at its pricetag as long as it did.
    Magic has a variety of options when it comes to how much you want to spend on standard and still be competitive. It's ok to have a deck that costs $400 to build, as long as that's not the deck you HAVE to build in order to be competitive. If you're going to have a rotating format like Standard, it is unreasonable, however, to print mistakes that allow decks like Caw-Blade to emerge. That deck was $800 and thre was simply no way to beat it unless you got real lucky, its pilot sucked, or you were also playing it. U/B faeries is another example; at least half the cards in the damn deck were $20. THESE are the offenders. What we're looking at more often than not are decks running a bunch of $5ish cards, maybe a playset or two of some $10 bills, and maybe 6-8 cards in to $20ish range. We see decks like Theros block U/W humans that could be built for less than $50 and win. And we sometimes see things like Mythics.dec, but the important thing is we're not seeing Caw-Blade, or U/B Fae anymore......but I'll grant that JvP I think, was an unfortunate accident.

    As far as to your last statement, I'm well aware that a card being powerful in eternal does not necessarily equal to being powerful in Standard, but then again, for every Force of Will, there's a Necropotence or a JtMS. Furthermore, there are cases where some Legacy staples would sometimes be fine in standard, and sometimes not. Would you want to see Deathrite Shaman in Khans with all the fetches? No, he'd be in every deck. Goyf is probably just strong if he were printed right now, but he'd be a little more insane back in Theros when we Commune and Mulch were seeing heavy play. And then some cards will almost always be busted.
    I like the idea of the Expedition treatment for cards besides lands, but the issue there is that when you start doing this to any card you please, expeditions become less special and start looking more and more like a money grab. "Here's a perfectly average set, not broken but not trash either...... but you COULD open an Expedition Vendilion Clique!"
    EMA is the best way to approach this, but it'll be a process. It'll take a couple EMAs or MMAs to drag the prices down for everything that you want to/can actually impact, you can't just print a set where every rare is a reprint of a $40+ bill in one shot.
    I would rather see WoTC go back to the MPR system personally, those cards were always cool and exciting to get.

    So it sounds like you agree that the increased cost of standard prices has nothing to do with increasing playerbase.

    For all the cards you addressed, It doesn't really matter that they where reprinted ect... the fact is they all held a value above $10 in standard despite having no to little eternal value.

    I did a quick check back through the sets from rtr to dragons of tarkir. Looking at the cards that were over $10 due that had atleast half of there value come from other formats, there where under 20 when you remove reprints from that list it dropped to around 5.

    EMA is the worst way to do it as the EV =< box cost, if you want to drop prices EV >= box cost. It doesn't really matter if expeditions aren't special I think most players would still be happy to open a card that's worth $50-$200. Also note that RTR which you praised for it's high supply good EV and lower than average prices had a good portion of it's EV in reprints.
    Posted in: Market Street Café
  • posted a message on The Legacy Price Discussion Thread
    Quote from Ebonclaw »
    Quote from itachiitachi »
    Quote from Ebonclaw »


    If you want to see Legacy go back to those price points, you'll also need to see standard go back to those price points. $400 seems to be about the going rate for a T1 Standard deck, right now. It used to be more, remember how much Caw-Blade cost to build? One of the main reasons you're seeing a huge drive in prices is that you're seeing a large rise in playerbase. WOTC has done a very good job at making standard more affordable and more accessible these days, and I'd like to think the days of $1000 standard decks are behind us.

    Standard prices have nothing to do with the size of the player base, increasing the number of players doesn't affect the price of boosters. The increased cost of standard comes from the increase in the number of cards printed each year, mythic rares, rarity upticks and the faster rotation of cards. Nor would I praise the price of current standard when we just had a card going for nearly $400 a playset. They could address both problems with one simple step. Reprinting staples of older formats in standard sets, which both increases supply and drops standard prices by eating into the box ev. But wotc has decided to do the opposite.


    Player base has a LOT to do with standard prices. This is basic supply/demand. Increasing the number of players wanting a specific card drives the price of that card. This is supply and demand.

    1. Supply of standard product can and almost always is printed to meet demand.
    2. If it really where a supply/demand issue we'd see a rise in the EV of booster boxes, we don't


    Quote from Ebonclaw »

    As far as a quicker rotation leading to a higher price, I'd argue that because cards rotate more frequently, buyers are more hesitant to plunk down as much money for a card that will only see play throughout a shorter life.

    Do you have any evedince to back this up or is it baseless conjuncture?

    Quote from Ebonclaw »

    What drives cards through the roof (like JVP) is when WoTC prints something that's good enough to keep seeing play past it's standard life. Now people want that card not just because it's obviously a powerhouse, but also because it's a card that has eternal value. JVP is the exception to the rule these days, and aside from the occasional "oops mythic", standard cards, particularly ones that are ONLY good enough for standard, are $10 or less most of the time. Every single time a card breaks the $20 mark, it is almost exclusively because the card is good in other formats. And this is ok. There's an attached value to a card that has value past its life in standard, especially when that card is a proven powerhouse (like the reprint of Thoughtseize).
    These days, most rares, unless they're a reprint of something that's already worth a sizable chunk of change, are $5-$10, tops. Most mythics won't break $10 once their price settles. There are always exceptions, outliers if you will, but aside from the occasional JVP or Dragonlord Ojutai, standard is by and large more affordable.

    Really let's take a look at the expensive cards from last year, That where over $10 (most over $20) and have little to - no eternal vaule
    Elspeth
    Courser of Kruphix
    Nissa, Worldwaker
    Ugin, the Spirit Dragon (has causal value for sure)
    Den Protector
    Deathmist Raptor
    Stormbreath Dragon
    Goblin Rabblemaster
    Xenagos, the Reveler
    Sarkhan, the Dragonspeaker

    This is not a full list, these are just cards from the first two decklists I saw.

    Also what standard staple mythic settled below $10 while still seeing play?
    Quote from Ebonclaw »

    Reprinting old format staples in standard is something that WoTC has done here and there, but it's not always been the best idea, as the cards that need the reprints need the reprints because they're expensive, and they're expensive because they're powerful. Tarmogoyf, for example, could really use an en masse printing, but can you imagine what Tarmogoyf would do to standard? Or jamming Rishadan Port into standard?

    You realize that cards being powerful in eternal =/= card being powerful in standard. We had goyf in standard, it wasn't a problem, sure it was good but it was fine. Sure there are some cards that shouldn't be in standard and for them the can get the expedition treatment. Problem solved.
    Posted in: Market Street Café
  • posted a message on The Legacy Price Discussion Thread
    Quote from Ebonclaw »


    If you want to see Legacy go back to those price points, you'll also need to see standard go back to those price points. $400 seems to be about the going rate for a T1 Standard deck, right now. It used to be more, remember how much Caw-Blade cost to build? One of the main reasons you're seeing a huge drive in prices is that you're seeing a large rise in playerbase. WOTC has done a very good job at making standard more affordable and more accessible these days, and I'd like to think the days of $1000 standard decks are behind us.

    Standard prices have nothing to do with the size of the player base, increasing the number of players doesn't affect the price of boosters. The increased cost of standard comes from the increase in the number of cards printed each year, mythic rares, rarity upticks and the faster rotation of cards. Nor would I praise the price of current standard when we just had a card going for nearly $400 a playset. They could address both problems with one simple step. Reprinting staples of older formats in standard sets, which both increases supply and drops standard prices by eating into the box ev. But wotc has decided to do the opposite.
    Posted in: Market Street Café
  • posted a message on [[Official]] Modern Prices Discussion
    Quote from DrWorm »
    If that's the way you see it then everything Wizards makes is somehow involved in the secondary market. Printing Nahiri in SoI impacts the secondary market- both because how long they print the product impacts the price, and due to the way the meta game shifts to adapt. If you want to define it that broadly then it sort of loses meaning.

    Not really, they didn't change the price of SoI booster packs based on what cards are in the set.
    Posted in: Modern
  • posted a message on [[Official]] Modern Prices Discussion
    Quote from DrWorm »
    Quote from itachiitachi »

    It's also Wotc being involved in the secondary market.

    The secondary market is just that- secondary. It is when product that is no longer factory sealed is sold- often in a piecemeal fashion. Wizards selling factory sealed product is the primary market by definition.

    If they make a tarmogoyf pack that contains 1 card which is tarmogoyf and sell it around market price of a tarmogoyf as a sealed product is that not the same as selling singles? (It is)
    If they keep the price but make it a deck is that different from the above scenario (you know event decks ect..)? (no)
    If they instead take those cards from the deck and separate them into 5 packs that are 1/5th the price of the deck is the scenario now different? (I terms of effect on the secondary market and Wotc making money off it there is no difference)

    There is little difference between Wotc selling reprinted singles to stores and wotc reprinting singles packaging them and then selling them to stores except the fact that many players would perceive it differently because they think arbitrary definitions of "sealed product" is means it can't be targeted at the secondary market.
    Posted in: Modern
  • posted a message on [[Official]] Modern Prices Discussion
    Quote from rcwraspy »
    Quote from itachiitachi »
    Quote from rcwraspy »
    No they absolutely can not. A card shop makes most of its money on singles. The difference in wholesale and retail for packs is not enough to keep the lights on. If WOTC entered the secondary market in any meaningful way it would be disastrous for the game as a whole.

    What do you think the masters series, event decks, clash packs ect... are?
    more sealed product.

    It's also Wotc being involved in the secondary market.
    Posted in: Modern
  • posted a message on [[Official]] Modern Prices Discussion
    Quote from rcwraspy »
    No they absolutely can not. A card shop makes most of its money on singles. The difference in wholesale and retail for packs is not enough to keep the lights on. If WOTC entered the secondary market in any meaningful way it would be disastrous for the game as a whole.

    What do you think the masters series, event decks, clash packs ect... are?
    Posted in: Modern
  • posted a message on [[Official]] Modern Prices Discussion
    Quote from Yatsufusa »
    Quote from itachiitachi »

    1. What's the difference between selling a card for $100 or it taking $100 dollars worth of booster to get?
    2. They basically did that with true-name nemesis

    My point is they are already in the secondary market by the method they handle reprints (basically only printing them in precons, or special sets with jacked up prices). I don't see how getting these reprints from a game store rather than directly from Wotc makes it any better.

    No it's still a bad analogy since the provider can't arbitrarily manipulate the market prices.

    Again no, I pointed out they are basically doing both, just not directly selling reprints to customers but instead through a middle man which really doesn't matter, you said it did matter, I asked why, you provided a really long example to basically say that because if there is a middle man then customers can pay more for better service, I pointed out that that didn't matter and now here we are.


    Okay. I understand the point you're trying to get across, but I think you just used a rather confusing choice of words.

    Wizards has "influential control" over the Secondary Market, because they are the sole provider for the Primary Market. Effectively they can control the prices in the Secondary Market via influencing it from the Primary Market, through the examples you've cited (prints via products).

    However, what you're skipping out on is the Primary Market. WotC is not only the sole provider of the product, the product happens to be randomized most of the time as well. WotC makes a lot of profit through the sheer randomness of the booster pack system, which is the Primary Market. The Secondary Market relies on Primary Market - SCG doesn't just magically get printed foil Tarmogoyf directly from WotC, they still have to go through endless booster cases to get those singles (even if they bought it off someone else, that someone else is also part of the booster opening system).

    If WotC assumed direct control of the Seconary Market (as opposed to influential control), they effectively dissolve the Primary Market they have direct control over and that means huge losses. Who would buy booster packs if they could purchase the card directly from WotC? WotC would have to effectively make the Secondary Market its Primary Market now and not only that effectively disposes of most middleman, it now effectively has no "Secondary Market" to "influence control" over anymore as well. You cannot expect WotC to directly enter the Secondary Market, underprice everyone (because doing anything else is just silly) and expect booster sales to stay at the same levels (especially when the Middleman all stop buying boosters due to being completely lost the competition), which means the move is effectively a net loss for the company.

    The perfect example you've raised is True-Name Nemesis in Commander. WotC was effectively more-or-less the direct controller of the card's prices in the Secondary Market (the card being in a pre-constructed deck instead of a direct single has its implications, but it's still the closest example to a unique single print by WotC that's not a promo of sorts, so for this purposes we would treat the entire deck as though it was the single instead). Initially, the market responded by having that particular deck's price skyrocket (as per normal for the Secondary Market). But WotC "underpriced" them by simply printing more copies of the deck (in comparison to the other decks, a first (or at least a very rare occurrence) they did for a product that came in a variety of 5). So the prices went back down almost in line with other similar products, which sounds all good for us, until one remembers the deck is still a pre-constructed product.

    Now repeat the same scenario with the most expensive card of any given booster set. The same will happen, except now sales of the booster product goes way down, because unlike the pre-constructed decks, the booster products are not tied to the single. Had the pre-constructed deck not be linked to the single (now pretend TNN was sold as a single instead of printing more Mind Seize Commander decks), you'll be sure that the sales of the deck would have plummeted down as well.

    Randomized Boosters is the Primary Market of WotC. WotC was only willing to fix True Name Nemesis because it is tied directly to its product's primary market (and is a corner case where the particular card is probably never bypassing R&D to a booster product anyway). Assuming direct control of the Secondary Market would utterly demolish the Primary Market because it is effectively a transition from "random" to "absolute" and that is a definite loss to the company since we all know randomness makes more money than absolute when you are the sole controller of the product.

    They point is that for reprints they can assume direct control over the secondary market without hurting their primary market.
    Posted in: Modern
  • posted a message on [[Official]] Modern Prices Discussion
    Quote from sealteamfive »
    Quote from itachiitachi »
    Quote from sealteamfive »
    Quote from itachiitachi »
    Quote from sealteamfive »


    Actually it does make a big difference. Yes, Wizards is the only manufacturer of cards and yes, they have some control over the secondary market by being able to reprint cards. But they are not directly involved in the secondary market selling cards themselves. Let me give you an example. Let's say that Wizards is in fact playing in the secondary market and we have Eternal Masters coming out. They know what will be reprinted and what won't. they could easily manipulate the secondary market by selling off cards they currently have in stock that would be reprinted and buy out cards from other retailers that are poised to spike. There was already a major firestorm over this by believing that SCG or ChannelFireball had insider information on EMA and was manipulating buy and sell prices accordingly. This information turned out to be false, but the panic it ensued was not.

    Now imagine if Wizards is playing in the secondary market and doing that? What do you think the reaction from consumers would be?


    How does that even matter, why would they care about their stock, when they can just print all the stock they want? Nor does that even address how having a middle man matters.


    Let me put it another way. Take a look at other industries - power for example. Where I live, EVERYONE gets their power from Centerpoint. They are the sole provider of energy (electricity and natural gas). We, however, have several retailers that sell power to individuals. Gexa, TXU, Pennywise, Tara Energy, etc. All of the power comes from the same place, but there are middlemen that are used that offer different services and charge different rates. TXU is the equivalent of a Channel Fireball or SCG. They have the best service, but the highest prices. Gexa is like an individual seller. Lowest prices, but service is hit or miss. All of the companies play off of one another but what they are selling (electricity) all comes from the same place. It also gives the consumer a choice. You can choose to pay a little more for better service, or a little less and sacrifice something.

    If Centerpoint entered the market firsthand (setting aside monopoly laws for a moment), they could easily just price their competition out of the market. Additionally, they would future knowledge of what is coming up. This would give them the ability to manipulate the market as they see fit. From your perspective, the fact that Wizards controls the supply means the same thing. To that point, Wizards does have a fair amount of it. However, their ability to influence the market is one step removed with middle men that trade off services against differing prices for the same good (Electricity in my first example, specific cards or boxes in the second). There is a subtle yet powerful difference.

    To some up what you said, by having a middleman you can pay more for better services. Which really doesn't change the fact that wotc is the sole supplier of cards and has the most influence over the secondary market. Note your paragraphs off of the energy market comparison is flawed as they don't have the most power in influencing the market.


    ok. Since you are not willing to make the strategic leap into worst case scenario, lets try this one... If Wizards is playing in the secondary market, they could release super power X card and charge $100 ea for it. They could make the card so powerful that it'd have to be played to be the best of the best. They could also NOT put it in booster packs and make it to where if anyone wanted a copy you'd have to get it direct from Wizards.

    1. What's the difference between selling a card for $100 or it taking $100 dollars worth of booster to get?
    2. They basically did that with true-name nemesis
    Quote from sealteamfive »

    Yes, Wizards does have a lot of influence in the secondary market now. Nobody is arguing that point. What I'm saying is that if they enter the market directly, they could completely monopolize it.


    My point is they are already in the secondary market by the method they handle reprints (basically only printing them in precons, or special sets with jacked up prices). I don't see how getting these reprints from a game store rather than directly from Wotc makes it any better.
    Quote from sealteamfive »

    As for the power industry you are partially correct. Everyone gets their power from the same place but do not have the same level of influence due to government regulation. The analogy is appropriate because it is a single source provider of a good that everyone needs. You, however, cannot buy directly from the supplier and must go through a middleman.


    No it's still a bad analogy since the provider can't arbitrarily manipulate the market prices.
    Quote from sealteamfive »

    I think we've been trying to argue two different points. Having influence over the secondary market is not the same as entering the market directly. If you don't see the difference, then I don't know how to explain it another way.

    Again no, I pointed out they are basically doing both, just not directly selling reprints to customers but instead through a middle man which really doesn't matter, you said it did matter, I asked why, you provided a really long example to basically say that because if there is a middle man then customers can pay more for better service, I pointed out that that didn't matter and now here we are.
    Posted in: Modern
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