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Theros: Elspeth's Tragedy
 
The Magic Market Index for July 14th, 2017
 
Treasure Cruisin' with Daxos Enchantress
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    posted a message on MTGSalvation Eternal Masters Prediction Contest - Winner: Zephyr_Scarlet!
    Will be reprinted:
    Jace, the mindsculptor
    Daze
    Rishadan Port
    Ancient Tomb
    Infernal Tutor

    Won't be reprinted:
    Scalding Tarn
    Brainstorm
    Flusterstorm
    Abrupt Decay
    Snapcaster Mage
    Posted in: The Rumor Mill
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    posted a message on [[Official]] Trade Evaluation -- Pile A versus B
    Pile A
    4 x Liliana of the Veil (Inn)

    Pile B
    4 x FOIL Jace, Vyrn Prodigy (Ori)

    Which pile would you prefer?
    Posted in: Market Street Café
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    posted a message on [Deck] UW Control
    Went 3-0 in my local FNM, beating

    1) Grixis Twin 2-1
    2) 8 Rack 2-1
    3) Collected Company 2-0

    and won a MM15 booster (which opened me a...... Endrek Sahr, Master Breeder)



    Thoughts:
    1) Jace, AOT was amazing against Collected Company. Quite happy with him on the list
    2) Elspeth Sun's Champion was clunky, but the expression of your opponent when you land them is that of incredulous. Same for Baneslayer.
    3) White Sun Zenith was surprisingly useful. thought at times, WWW can be a pain to get.
    4) Unsure about the think twice, could possibly be an Anticipate instead
    Posted in: Modern Archives
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    posted a message on UR Twin (2/2015 - 1/2016)
    Which matchup is the Jace, AOT in the board used for?
    Posted in: Modern Archives - Proven
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    posted a message on Uncharted Realms Discussions
    Quote from Barinellos »
    Quote from KZhang »
    Question!

    Timeline wise, would 1200 years in the past been the pre-mending period?

    if it was, what could Sarkhan have possibly done to help Ugin against a fully powered old walker?
    It is indeed, pre-mending.
    And all Sarkhan can really do is pick up the pieces and make sure Ugin doesn't bleed out.


    Thank You!

    Quote from SteamMage »
    Quote from KZhang »
    Question!

    Timeline wise, would 1200 years in the past been the pre-mending period?

    if it was, what could Sarkhan have possibly done to help Ugin against a fully powered old walker?


    Bigger question, will Sarkhan being in the past affect his spark.


    next block. Return of the Old Walkers.
    Posted in: Magic Storyline
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    posted a message on Uncharted Realms Discussions
    Question!

    Timeline wise, would 1200 years in the past been the pre-mending period?

    if it was, what could Sarkhan have possibly done to help Ugin against a fully powered old walker?
    Posted in: Magic Storyline
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    posted a message on How is it possible to make money by being a pro magic player or writing about magic?
    I also mostly agree with Valarin on most things.

    The objective of MTG finance, IMO, is not to live off MTG, but simply for the hobby to be self funding.
    Posted in: Magic General
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    posted a message on How is it possible to make money by being a pro magic player or writing about magic?
    I also mostly agree with Valarin on most things.

    The objective of MTG finance, IMO, is not to live off MTG, but simply for the hobby to be self funding.
    Posted in: Magic General
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    posted a message on Good 6 month spec targets?
    Am planning to offload the modern staples that i'm not using.

    when would be a good time to do so? when does modern season for mtgo start?
    Posted in: Market Street MTGO Café
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    posted a message on Examination of speculation motives
    Quote from cme
    I don't disagree with the content of your post (except perhaps that it's not as clear to me that Chord is overvalued).


    IMHO,

    1) Chord of Calling spiked significantly because GSZ was banned, and it became the de-facto tutor for Pod decks.

    2) When a "fundementally" better card exists, there would be a possibility of a new card that falls in between GSZ and Chord of Calling in terms of power level. That would obsolete CoC. Contrast this to a card like Deathrite Shaman. It is probably as strong as a 1drop utility creature can be printed. You will find it hard to imagine that WoTC will print a stronger version of DRS.

    3) The value of Chord of Calling is highly correlated to the Performance of Pod decks. It is not played in other decks, and does not have a strong casual appeal. This makes it very vulnerable to metagame shifts. On the same note, if it's not a multi-format / multi deck staple, the risks is much higher.

    This is not saying that i don't think Chord is a good card, but rather, at that price, there are far better and safer bets that you can make.


    Quote from Poster X
    The problem is convergence between cards as investments and cards needed to play the game competitively. So far wotc hasn't got it right. Stocks on the market don't have a functional use.
    Your other points are fine. Just remember your "under valued" cards could tank due to reprint or obsolescence. As long as that's Ok.


    If there is no chance in losing, whats the fun in playing? =p
    Posted in: Market Street Café
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    posted a message on Examination of speculation motives
    Personally, i liken speculators to value investors.

    1) you find a card that is under-valued.
    - It may have been hot once, and fell out of favour, but will still be good in the right context (Phyrexian Obliterator, Jace AOT)
    - A card that will likely spike should they be unbanned from a certain format
    (Ancestral Vision, Bitterblossom)
    - Speculators buy-in well before another results or news has been published. They are betting that their analysis of the card and market effects are good.

    eg: i read a post asking whether foil goblin guides are a buy. Personally, i don't think so. Foil's appeal to pimpers. Unless Burn becomes a Tier 1 deck, the type of players playing Burn will typically be restricted to budget players (who would not have the finance to pimp their deck)


    2) You hold and wait for something to happen
    - Once an event causes the card to get attention for whatever reason, (performed well, new card release, unbanned), there will usually be a rush to pick up copies everywhere, thus causing the Price to Spike


    3) Speculators will have already sold on the uptrend.
    - Once a certain ROI is hit, just sell. not need to be greedy for the last few % points.


    Personally, here are a few cards that i feel are undervalued:
    1) Ancestral Vision
    2) Primeval Titan
    3) Most SOM Duals


    Cards that are overvalued
    1) Phyrexian Obliterator
    2) Chord of Calling

    Remember: Price is NOT EQUAL to Value.

    Disclaimer:
    *I speculate not because of making money (its a good way to keep count, and a nice reward), but the enjoyment of making the right market calls

    *Most of my assets are in stock markets.
    Posted in: Market Street Café
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    posted a message on High Quality Counterfeits from China Found in North America
    Even if paper MTG is utterly ruined by this, MODO is 100% secure from this type of attack, and it accounts for 50% of their sales.

    If worst comes to worst, we'll see the game go digital-only. We're not going to see Rosewater forced into homelessness as a result of greedy Chinese printing companies dumping millions of pixel-perfect singles on US shores every month.


    Note that the value of MTGO packs (US$3.99) is backed by redemption of real cards. There is an entire economy of bots and dealers who do nothing buy cards from drafters to complete standard sets.

    If real cards has no value, then MTGO cards also loses significant value, which will drastically reduce value drafters can sell the digital cards, thus reducing the number of MTGO packs being opened. (who will pay US$15 for a draft when at best you can get back US$5)

    Sure they can lower the draft costs, but to what level? Would Wizards continue running MTGO, when there is no money to be made?

    Worst comes to worst, the people you see forced into homelessness will be the workers in the official Wizards printing plants.
    Posted in: Magic General
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    posted a message on High Quality Counterfeits from China Found in North America
    Article from Quiet Speculation, could be useful.

    http://www.quietspeculation.com/2014...potting-fakes/
    Posted in: Magic General
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    posted a message on [Primer] Jeskai Control / UWR Control
    Has anyone tried elspeth, sun's champion in place of Gideon yet?

    Seems like the perfect card to help stablise against aggro and midrange
    Posted in: Modern Archives - Proven
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    posted a message on What decks are good vs blue control?
    Twelve Post is probably UW Miracles worst matchup
    Posted in: Legacy (Type 1.5)
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