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The Magic Market Index for Jan 12, 2018
 
Treasure Cruisin' Tempered Steel
 
The Magic Market Index for Jan 5, 2018
  • posted a message on Evaluate Everything
    I'm struggling to think of a deck that really wants Mahamoti Djinn

    6-drops with no ETB effect and no ramp support (aka... not green)... pretty bad.

    I think it might actually be a bit worse than Air Elemental. Getting to that sixth mana source is ROUGH.

    --

    Hoarding Dragon is probably about as good as Murder of Crows in terms of upside over Air Elemental. Good at very different times, but I think it adds up to about the same.
    Posted in: Pauper & Peasant Discussion
  • posted a message on Evaluate Everything
    Is there any world where "360 cards of the best commons and uncommons" doesn't include it? Sounds like a 4.

    Also, yeah, seeing it in play :p
    Posted in: Pauper & Peasant Discussion
  • posted a message on [RIX] Rivals of Ixalan Testing & Inclusions
    Quote from calibretto »
    Chupacabra is probably the rarest uncommon ever. My group open about 40 packs of RIX this weekend between prereleases and winnings and literally only saw one copy of Chupacabra and it wasn't even foil.


    This line of thinking always comes up when there's a chase uncommon (saw it a lot with Fatal Push) and it's always total nonsense.

    One -- you opened 120 uncommons, and there's 60 in the set. Getting exactly one isn't unlikely at all.

    Two -- you only notice Chupacabra because it's the "chase" uncommon. How many Majestic Heliopterus did you open? How many Highland Lake? They go straight into bulk piles so you have no idea. But whenever the ONE uncommon you want is missing, it's super noteworthy.

    Three -- just think about how the packs are made. Look at print sheets. I haven't seen one for RIX uncommons, but what's more likely -- it being the same as every other print sheet since 1996 with equal printing among the same rarity... or there being some conspiracy where WOTC thinks they need to make Chupacabra more scarce because ???reasons??? and make their printing/pack creation significantly more difficult and expensive in order to accomplish that?

    (anyway, total aside, back to actual card discussion)
    Posted in: Cube New Card Discussion
  • posted a message on [[Peasant]] The Peasant Cube Discussion Thread (C/U/)
    Yeah, I was just about to type something similar in the RIX thread.

    I might still keep one Welkin Tern dude around since there still IS a couple different color pairs that would want it, but I fully think Corsair is a better card and pretty universally a higher pick.

    Also, I'll plug Inkfathom Infiltrator as a good blue and/or black aggro card. Rough mana, yeah, but UU for "2 to your opponent every attack step until they kill it" is still quite strong.
    Posted in: Pauper & Peasant Discussion
  • posted a message on Evaluate Everything
    The problem with Peacock is it's a poorly sized 5-drop that needs you to untap with it, attack AND have a second, substantial creature on board. I think it's like 95% you'd rather have Air Elemental in your draft pool, and if that's rated as a 1...
    Posted in: Pauper & Peasant Discussion
  • posted a message on [[Peasant]] The Peasant Cube Discussion Thread (C/U/)
    Carnivorous Death-Parrot if you're already interested in un-cards. Though I guess it's actually doing something wonky and the Novella isn't

    --

    The problem with Novella and other cards with the same drawback is they all lose a damage race vs any aggro 1-drop or any 3-power 2-drop. Skyskip Plunderer (and the Parrot) go into like 200% more decks because getting to block a Carnophage or Gore-House Chainwalker is so important for midrange and control decks.
    Posted in: Pauper & Peasant Discussion
  • posted a message on Top 10 Cube Cards from Rivals of Ixalan
    Good read!

    Reckless Rage is baaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaad, though. I mean, you'll play (almost happily) it in RIX limited, but even for the lowest power level of Cube setting it's pretty useless.

    You have to already want, like... Bone Splinters, and have your threats be like Phantom Monster for Reckless Rage to be worth considering. It's just miles behind Open Fire or, even from the same set, the 2R unconditional deal-4 (to a creature).
    Posted in: Articles, Podcasts, and Guides
  • posted a message on [RIX] Peasant cube spoilers from Rivals of Ixalan
    Quote from n00b1n8R »
    How big are the rare cubes that a conditional 2/1 for B is a top4 card?
    How bad does that make Rivals?


    Alot

    Alot bad
    Posted in: Pauper & Peasant Discussion
  • posted a message on [RIX] Peasant cube spoilers from Rivals of Ixalan
    If the black “2/1” is not really needed at Peasant, I’m not sure what chance is stands when people can play Grabecrawer or Dread Wanderer or the raid guy from Khans
    Posted in: Pauper & Peasant Discussion
  • posted a message on Evaluate Everything
    if any card in your cube says “gain control of...” then its very real (still narrow) upside

    And anyway the main point that it’s certainly not a 0
    Posted in: Pauper & Peasant Discussion
  • posted a message on Evaluate Everything
    The ratings on Monarch cards here are... interesting.

    I think Palace Jailer is firmly on par with Skinrender, so an absolute staple and a 4.

    Coveted Peacock... probably IS significantly worse than Murder of Crows. It's probably in the "if it was free in my basics box, nobody would ever play it" so down to a 0.

    Sinuous Vermin is versatile enough to get a 2.

    Thorn of the Black Rose is pretty great, I'd give it a 2-3 (it's MILES better than Accursed Witch or Bellowing Saddlebrute which are current 2's, but still doesn't really feel like a 3).

    Domesticated Hydra is pretty badly outclassed by the newly uncommon Heroes Bane, but I guess still worth a 1.

    Leovold's Operative is an EXTREMELY good drafting card. No idea how it ranks, but it's basically always going to be taken 3rd or 4th by competent players.

    --

    Palace Sentinels is a 2. It's way worse than Jailer, but if that card is a Go for the Throat (4) then this is as good as a Last Gasp (2).

    Spectral Grasp is basically a strictly better Pacifism (currently a 2), in case you ever want to Threaten or Mind Control the same target.

    Skittering Crustacean is fine for the same reason that Vermin is. A bit worse starting point, but still worth a 1.

    Typo on Spire Phantasm

    Regicide is wonky but probably works out to be worth an easy 2.

    Crown-Hunter Hireling is worth a 1, maybe a 2. Good card for control decks, but in red and at that cost it's pretty narrow.

    Entourage of Trest is something I play in basically every Llanowar Elves deck and am happy to see like 4th or 5th pick in most drafts. It's REALLY good for green decks. 2, if not a 3. I cut Nessian Asp (current 2) for it and would never consider swapping back.

    (Knights of the Black Rose is basically a worse 2-color Entourage, but it's still fine and worth a 1)
    Posted in: Pauper & Peasant Discussion
  • posted a message on Evaluate Everything
    "See Assassin in your top sixteen cards" isn't at all the same as "cast it and get +5.5% to win", though!

    You have to actually CAST the card. And unless there's an X/1 on the other side of the table or you can use it to tweak combat into your favor, you'll quite often have better things to do with your mana than play out a Gray Ogre. Just look at the Origins commons and see which have the highest win-rate. That should be enough to show you that that single stat is pretty flimsy, unless you really want pick Bone to Ash and Act of Treason over the actual format all-star Topan Freeblade

    And you to even get a chance to cast it, if it's good... you have to put it into your deck! Which means, obviously you're playing black; in the case of 'archetype' it doesn't REALLY matter for Assassin, but there's lots of very good Cube cards which are early picks but can still be left out even when on-color -- Propaganda or Pyroclasm, Carnophage or Keldon Champion.
    Posted in: Pauper & Peasant Discussion
  • posted a message on Evaluate Everything
    Quote from Leelue »
    2.2% isn't absurd, io.


    Do you seriously not see the difference between

    "Draft this card"

    And

    "Draft this card, it's on color, it's relevant to your archetype, you see it in whatever amount of cards you draw before the game ends and get to cast it at a time where it matters"
    Posted in: Pauper & Peasant Discussion
  • posted a message on Evaluate Everything
    Not sure how you want to invoke "degenerate combo" as an archetype then act like Jitte is some kind of game-changer

    Try to use two or four Jitte counters against Grim Monolith'd Consecrated Sphinx, Wildfire, Storm, Channel... sure. Sure, dude.
    Posted in: Pauper & Peasant Discussion
  • posted a message on Evaluate Everything
    I mean if we assume Lightning Bolt is a 4, then a colorless, never-missing-your-deck-always-in-effect card like Power Play seems pretty in line with that. +2.2 win percent just for putting the card into your draft pile is pretty absurd, and that's completely ignoring how much more relevant T1 aggro is in our format (where Savannah Lions is a staple playable for three out of five colors).
    Posted in: Pauper & Peasant Discussion
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