I´m looking for the math on the odds of hitting each landdrop based on the number of lands in your deck with both 6 and 7 card hands.
I know there are plenty around, but they have always the same problem they do not account for mulligan.
That is they tell you the odds to hit the 4th land drop based on a completly random hand. But that is unrealistic, because you will never keep a 0 or 1 lander. I know the odds of having a 0 or 1 lander based on the number of lands.
What im looking for is the odds of hitting your land drops, considering that you are never keeping a 0 or 1 land hand.
Is there such article? I know frank karsten article to create colored mana base, which is amazing, and he has one for mana curves.
But I´m looking for odds table, accounting for mulligan, which surprising seems impossible to find.
I know there are plenty around, but they have always the same problem they do not account for mulligan.
That is they tell you the odds to hit the 4th land drop based on a completly random hand. But that is unrealistic, because you will never keep a 0 or 1 lander. I know the odds of having a 0 or 1 lander based on the number of lands.
What im looking for is the odds of hitting your land drops, considering that you are never keeping a 0 or 1 land hand.
Is there such article? I know frank karsten article to create colored mana base, which is amazing, and he has one for mana curves.
But I´m looking for odds table, accounting for mulligan, which surprising seems impossible to find.