Hi, posting again here after a long time. I've recently gotten back into Modern and Magic in general after 2 years. I've been playing Naya Burn forever, and I made a few changes to bring my deck up to date. However, I have a few questions. I want to fit Inspiring Vantage into my manabase, but I'm not sure what to get rid of. As well, is my sideboard up to date for the current general meta? Thanks!
In an another episode of "Modern Being Modern" I just played a league where I lost 0-2 to Storm and won 2-0 versus Ad Nauseum (he found out the hard way that Angel's Grace still triggers Eidolon before it resolves).
That Storm player had absolutely insane hands. He won both games on the draw on turn 3. The first game he beat a turn 2 Eidolon into a turn 3 Eidolon (that was an interesting line: I had 3 mana available and an Eidolon and Helix in hand staring down a resolved Baral. I opted for the Eidolon and I'm still pretty sure that was correct, but results oriented thinking is sort of messing with me a bit.)
I've been playing in an eclectic meta recently, and I've been noticing an abundance of life gain in a lot of decks. Last week two players were running Emmeria Titan and one of them went 3-0. I've been consistently going 2-1 at my modern nights, usually losing to decks like death & taxes, UW control, and the above mentioned decks. Mixed into the meta are some elves, burn, tron, affinity, dimir shadow, and storm. A dredge player also showed up and creeping chill is a really nasty card. Currently, based on what I've seen, I'm running this deck:
Ever since I saw Loic Le Briand win GP Birmingham with his shrine of burning rage deck, I've been wanting to explore a slower deck with a stronger late game - that's where I always get blown out against the great number of decks I face that can draw things out. I was wondering what you thought of this build. Sideboard stays the same, I up the lands, add another risk factor and only run 3 shrines over 4 eidolons.
As much as I hated doing it, I'm testing out Burn without Eidolon as well. It just feels like cards aren't getting cast at their normal rate anymore, between delve, tron, and recursive graveyard strategies. Or, if they are getting cast at a normal rate, it's aggro decks and we're in the controlling route, so Eidolon is much worse than normal for us and will probably be boarded out. Fair midrange and control strategies where Eidolon most shines are around, but not as omnipresent as they used to be, and we're already favored there, anyways. Again, I love Eidolon, but I'm not sure this is the meta for him.
I don't know what you guys are talking about, eidolon was an absolute house for me this weekend. Went 3-1-1 at a small tournament to get another top 8 placement. Only loss was to bogles (which I was paired against again in the top 8, which led to my just conceding to go meet a friend for halloween). Beat grixis shadow, which is a matchup where eidolon is freakin' great, along with a sultai midrange, jund, and while I drew in round five we played for fun and I would have won 2-1 against death and taxes. Eidolon forces sub-optimal plays that gives the opening for us to pull ahead.
Is there any good reason to play Chained to the Rocks over Path? I mean, they don't get a land but they can randomly blow up your enchantment.
Two reasons for chained - you don't accelerate the opponent and you can cast it with a mountain, meaning you are a little less vulnerable to blood moon and field of ruin turning off your answer to big creatures. I think it would require a very specific meta to get me to play that over path. I think instant speed is really important.
I've been playing burn since 1 year now. I've been playing the Naya version with one stomping ground in order to cast my destructive revelry in sideboard.
The only real reason that i'm playing the destructive revelry is because i'm afraid of leyline of sanctity ....
Should i still play destructive revelry ? What are the current good enchantments that needs to be answered right away ?
Yes Hardened scale is a great enchantment, but i think burn is able to beat it with smash to smithereens instead of destructive revelry (and just destroy any artifact that they will play).
So I'm thinking of replacing the destructive revelry for smash to smithereens (and upgrading to a better manabase) and just close my eyes and try to dodge enchantments ?
I personally like playing RW with Smash to Smithereens. I don't think leyline is particularly common, and you're probably already up a creek without a paddle against the decks that play it (ad nauseam, bogles).
Worship is arguably the more relevant enchantment since the decks that run them are creature decks (spirits and Bant) which we have much more even games against than Leyline decks. Even considering that though, it feels super narrow. DRev and Kor Firewalkers in an open/unknown meta just always feels wrong to me. They’re great cards as targeted hate at an LGS but I fundamentally don’t understand why so many people play either card at big tournaments or online.
Worship is arguably the more relevant enchantment since the decks that run them are creature decks (spirits and Bant) which we have much more even games against than Leyline decks. Even considering that though, it feels super narrow. DRev and Kor Firewalkers in an open/unknown meta just always feels wrong to me. They’re great cards as targeted hate at an LGS but I fundamentally don’t understand why so many people play either card at big tournaments or online.
DRev also blows up artifacts, too. It is literally less narrow than smash to smithereens. I'll also admit, one reason I play burn as opposed to my previous deck, storm, is that there are far fewer times that the opponent goes "I resolve this one thing that means you will not win the game." I'm going to run some enchantment hate, whether wear/tear or DRev, because I at least want to know there is a chance.
Right, but what are the decks running both artifacts and enchantments that take advantage of that flexibility? Ad Nauseum?
Any time you care about artifacts specifically, Smash is just a better card than DRev, and Shattering Spree/Stony Silence let you attack artifacts from different axes as well if you choose to go that route instead.
There are only fifteen sideboard slots. By running DRev, I have my artifact hate that also just so happens to be enchantment hate. It's not about the card being flexible in one game, it's about having a 75 that can do everything I want it to do. The RWg sideboard gives up a little bit of damage output for increased versatility. Straight RW lacks the ability to blow up enchantments AND deal damage on a single card. If a RW enchantment version of Smash were printed I'd drop green immediately.
I think Stony Silence is generally bad for similar reasons that I am very low on RiP right now.
I run 4 Destructive Revelrys in my sideboard, with one Stomping ground in my deck. I've never regretted it or wished I had a different configuration. From what I can tell, people's worry about running DR only comes down to concern over their single Stomping Ground getting Ghost Quartered. From my experience, the decks that run GQ are rarely decks where I'd side in DR. Furthermore, we're playing BURN - I have never needed to cast more than one DR in a game to close the game. DR deals damage to our opponent, bringing us 2 points closer to winning. Burn should never be playing a game where you're hoping to snipe EVERY SINGLE artifact/enchantment that comes down. One DR should take out any pesky Worship or Leyline, then we're free to continue winning the way we want to be. Sure, against Affinity you may hope to see all 4 copies of DR, but again, I've only ever needed to kill one big thing against affinity, and then I usually have Deflecting Palm sided in as backup to negate any other big creature they throw at us.
I really won’t push the issue any further because at the end of the day I’m totally okay with every other Burn pilot running Stomping Grounds in our mirror matches.
To me, there are 2 options: DRev and Smash. If I care about enchantments, I make the sacrifice of a slightly more painful manabase and play DRev. If I don't care about them, it's Smash. I don't even give any consideration to playing wear//tear, personally.
I'm off the opinion that most cases where we fold to an enchantment are cases where we already have a bad matchup and I don't think playing DRev makes the matchup good but rather makes it a little less bad.
I agree with that sentiment on good vs less bad. That being said I also want to swap out skullcrack for atarka's command. I hate sitting on a skullcrack for two turns feeling like its a counterspell. AC has some more proactive uses.
Has anyone else faced Emeria Titan decks? TWO people at my lgs play it, and it’s a pretty bad matchup for burn. The deck just has so many outs and doesn’t really rely on one way to win. One of the guys was really friendly and wanted to help me brainstorm what to sideboard in against it. We figured it would actually make sense to board out Goblin Guides, and possibly all our creatures, since the deck pretty quickly starts to stick 4 toughness creatures that we just can’t get through and don’t want to waste burn removing. Sans creatures we can keep in all of our burn to the face, while also making room for Path, DR, and Relic.
We also discussed rampaging ferocidon as a 1-of in the sideboard. Treating it like an enchantment and just using it to turn off/punish Dredge, token, and Emeria Titan-style strategies.
October 2018 opposing hate analysis
The following is a lot of data that's tough to digest, but it might be helpful to you to know what kind of lifegain to expect at various times, what counterspells people are playing, and what discard spells people are playing. This analysis comes from MTGGoldfish data with some cleaning procedure applied to it to try to clean up any bad deck names. I then go through these deck lists and find instances of "counter target", "lifelink", and "gain N life"/"gains N life" in the card text. On top of that, I search for Leyline of Sanctity, Oketra's Last Mercy, Chalice of the Void, Phyrexian Unlife, and Spellskite. The deck population is 641 decks. Cards that show up less than 0.5% of the time are not printed, and I've also removed some cards that don't affect us like Disdainful Stroke and Ceremonious Rejection. Per card splits: Go here if you want to find a list of what decks play specific cards.
1.893 0.778 0.05616 Humans
2.000 0.286 0.01092 Azorius Spirits
2.000 0.167 0.00936 Death and Taxes
3.000 0.002 0.00312 Other
1.000 0.731 0.04056 WU Control
1.000 0.444 0.01404 WUR Control
1.000 0.400 0.01560 Jeskai
1.000 0.008 0.01092 Other
1.000 0.600 0.00780 Eldrazi Tron
1.000 0.200 0.00780 Eldrazi Tron
1.000 0.002 0.00156 Other
1.500 0.154 0.04056 WU Control
2.000 0.500 0.00936 Death and Taxes
1.000 0.429 0.01092 Azorius Spirits
1.333 0.300 0.01560 Jeskai
1.500 0.006 0.00780 Other
2.500 0.400 0.00780 WG Hatebears
2.000 0.167 0.00936 Death and Taxes
1.333 0.005 0.00468 Other
3.000 1.000 0.01872 Grixis Whir
4.000 0.667 0.01872 Eldrazi Aggro
4.000 0.800 0.00780 Eldrazi Tron
2.750 0.006 0.00624 Other
1.000 1.000 0.01872 Grixis Whir
1.667 0.005 0.00468 Other
2.000 0.850 0.03120 Hollow One
2.167 0.545 0.01716 Mardu Pyromancer
2.000 0.667 0.01404 BGx Midrange
1.333 0.375 0.01248 Eldrazi and Taxes
1.000 0.600 0.00780 Abzan
2.000 0.250 0.00624 Grishoalbrand
2.000 0.056 0.02808 KCI Combo
2.000 0.029 0.05304 Jund
4.000 0.037 0.04212 Goodstuff 3c
1.833 0.009 0.01092 Other
1.938 0.941 0.05304 Jund
1.143 0.778 0.01404 BGx Midrange
1.714 0.583 0.01872 UBR Death's Shadow
2.200 0.116 0.06708 Dredge
1.400 1.000 0.00780 Abzan
1.000 0.750 0.00624 Grishoalbrand
1.667 0.375 0.01248 Eldrazi and Taxes
2.000 0.750 0.00624 UBRG Death's Shadow
1.000 0.100 0.03120 Hollow One
1.000 0.091 0.01716 Mardu Pyromancer
1.000 0.100 0.01560 Ad Nauseam
1.000 0.056 0.02808 KCI Combo
1.867 0.023 0.02808 Other
1.500 0.003 0.00624 Other
1.000 0.250 0.00624 UBRG Death's Shadow
1.750 0.006 0.00624 Other
1.556 1.000 0.01404 Vizier Company
1.167 0.857 0.01092 Gruul Land Destruction
2.000 0.037 0.04212 Goodstuff 3c
3.167 0.009 0.00936 Other
4.000 0.907 0.06708 Dredge
3.120 0.962 0.04056 WU Control
3.400 1.000 0.01560 Jeskai
3.333 1.000 0.01404 WUR Control
4.000 1.000 0.00624 UR Control
3.000 1.000 0.00624 Blue Moon
4.000 0.111 0.01404 BGx Midrange
3.450 0.031 0.03120 Other
4.000 1.000 0.01560 Bogles
3.667 1.000 0.00936 Merfolk
1.885 1.000 0.04056 WU Control
1.778 1.000 0.01404 WUR Control
1.667 0.900 0.01560 Jeskai
1.625 0.727 0.01716 UG Infect
2.000 1.000 0.00624 Blue-Red Spells
1.750 1.000 0.00624 UR Control
1.750 1.000 0.00624 Blue Moon
1.333 0.200 0.02340 UR Gifts Storm
1.000 0.056 0.02808 KCI Combo
1.000 0.143 0.01092 Azorius Spirits
2.000 0.050 0.05148 Other
2.500 0.727 0.01716 Runaway Red
3.000 1.000 0.00624 Blue-Red Spells
2.000 0.097 0.04836 Burn
3.000 0.100 0.03120 Hollow One
2.455 0.017 0.02028 Other
2.000 0.050 0.03120 Hollow One
1.500 0.667 0.01404 BGx Midrange
1.000 0.059 0.05304 Jund
2.000 0.050 0.03120 Hollow One
1.000 0.002 0.00156 Other
2.000 0.006 0.00780 Other
4.000 1.000 0.00624 Grishoalbrand
4.000 0.002 0.00156 Other
3.538 0.722 0.02808 KCI Combo
4.000 0.167 0.01872 Eldrazi Aggro
1.000 0.071 0.02184 Amulet Titan
2.000 0.006 0.00624 Other
1.500 0.286 0.01092 Gruul Land Destruction
2.000 0.002 0.00156 Other
1.100 0.294 0.05304 Jund
1.000 0.083 0.01872 Eldrazi Aggro
1.000 0.005 0.00468 Other
3.781 0.941 0.05304 Jund
2.000 1.000 0.01872 UBR Death's Shadow
3.909 1.000 0.01716 Mardu Pyromancer
3.222 1.000 0.01404 BGx Midrange
3.500 0.750 0.01248 Eldrazi and Taxes
3.200 1.000 0.00780 Abzan
3.500 1.000 0.00624 UBRG Death's Shadow
3.429 0.022 0.03120 Other
1.000 0.125 0.01248 Eldrazi and Taxes
1.000 0.050 0.03120 Hollow One
1.000 0.002 0.00312 Other
2.062 0.889 0.02808 KCI Combo
1.000 1.000 0.01872 Grixis Whir
1.000 0.003 0.00312 Other
4.000 0.750 0.00624 Blue-Red Spells
3.000 0.006 0.00780 Other
1.000 0.333 0.01404 BGx Midrange
1.000 0.200 0.00780 Abzan
1.000 0.029 0.05304 Jund
1.000 0.002 0.00312 Other
1.000 0.529 0.05304 Jund
1.833 0.750 0.01248 Eldrazi and Taxes
1.333 0.333 0.01404 BGx Midrange
1.000 0.091 0.01716 Mardu Pyromancer
1.000 0.200 0.00780 Abzan
2.000 0.002 0.00468 Other
1.000 0.002 0.00156 Other
2.091 1.000 0.01716 Mardu Pyromancer
1.667 0.750 0.01248 Eldrazi and Taxes
1.000 0.167 0.05616 Humans
1.000 0.167 0.00936 Death and Taxes
2.000 0.032 0.04836 Burn
1.000 0.008 0.00936 Other
2.000 0.143 0.01092 Gruul Land Destruction
2.500 0.006 0.00624 Other
1.769 0.382 0.05304 Jund
1.000 0.778 0.01404 Vizier Company
2.500 0.571 0.01092 Gruul Land Destruction
2.500 0.182 0.01716 UG Infect
2.000 0.222 0.01404 BGx Midrange
1.000 0.083 0.01872 Eldrazi Aggro
1.000 0.008 0.00936 Other
3.857 0.972 0.05616 Humans
4.000 0.002 0.00312 Other
1.500 0.444 0.01404 Vizier Company
4.000 0.400 0.00780 WG Hatebears
2.000 0.200 0.00780 Abzan
2.000 0.037 0.04212 Goodstuff 3c
1.375 0.012 0.01248 Other
2.241 0.806 0.05616 Humans
1.833 0.444 0.04212 Goodstuff 3c
1.333 1.000 0.01404 Vizier Company
2.000 0.600 0.00780 Abzan
4.000 0.083 0.01872 Eldrazi Aggro
1.933 0.023 0.02964 Other
2.429 0.226 0.04836 Burn
1.500 0.286 0.01092 Azorius Spirits
1.000 0.167 0.00936 Death and Taxes
3.000 0.038 0.04056 WU Control
2.000 0.111 0.01404 BGx Midrange
3.000 0.200 0.00780 WG Hatebears
4.000 0.002 0.00156 Other
3.556 0.900 0.01560 Bogles
2.000 0.100 0.01560 Ad Nauseam
3.800 1.000 0.01560 Ad Nauseam
1.500 0.400 0.01560 Bogles
4.000 0.500 0.00624 Grishoalbrand
4.000 0.056 0.02808 KCI Combo
3.000 0.200 0.00780 Martyr Proc
3.000 0.100 0.01560 Jeskai
2.000 0.003 0.00312 Other
3.957 0.742 0.04836 Burn
2.900 1.000 0.01560 Jeskai
3.222 1.000 0.01404 WUR Control
2.000 0.455 0.01716 Mardu Pyromancer
2.667 0.009 0.01092 Other
3.000 0.023 0.06708 Dredge
1.000 0.003 0.00624 Other
1.560 0.962 0.04056 WU Control
2.400 1.000 0.01560 Jeskai
2.444 1.000 0.01404 WUR Control
1.000 1.000 0.00624 Blue Moon
1.000 0.500 0.00624 UR Control
1.778 0.014 0.01404 Other
1.000 0.077 0.04056 WU Control
1.000 0.538 0.04056 WU Control
1.000 0.600 0.01560 Jeskai
1.000 0.333 0.01404 WUR Control
1.333 0.009 0.00936 Other
1.222 0.692 0.04056 WU Control
1.000 0.333 0.01404 WUR Control
1.000 0.100 0.01560 Jeskai
1.455 0.017 0.02184 Other
1.000 0.143 0.01092 Azorius Spirits
4.000 0.963 0.04212 Goodstuff 3c
4.000 1.000 0.01092 Azorius Spirits
4.000 0.006 0.00936 Other
3.125 0.930 0.06708 Dredge
3.222 1.000 0.04212 G Tron
3.929 0.778 0.02808 KCI Combo
2.091 1.000 0.01716 UG Infect
3.750 1.000 0.01248 Hardened Scales
2.000 0.778 0.01404 RG Titanshift
3.000 0.200 0.00780 WG Hatebears
2.000 0.100 0.01560 Bogles
4.000 0.091 0.01716 Affinity
1.000 0.071 0.02184 Amulet Titan
3.200 0.016 0.01716 Other
1.120 0.962 0.04056 WU Control
1.000 0.778 0.01404 WUR Control
1.000 0.600 0.01560 Jeskai
1.111 0.014 0.01404 Other
1.238 0.808 0.04056 WU Control
2.250 0.667 0.02808 KCI Combo
1.429 0.700 0.01560 Jeskai
1.200 0.556 0.01404 WUR Control
2.400 0.185 0.04212 Goodstuff 3c
1.250 1.000 0.00624 UR Control
1.000 0.571 0.01092 Azorius Spirits
3.000 0.111 0.01404 BGx Midrange
2.000 0.091 0.01716 Affinity
1.000 0.250 0.00624 Blue Moon
1.520 0.039 0.04524 Other
2.000 0.038 0.04056 WU Control
3.333 0.005 0.00936 Other
1.000 0.071 0.02184 Amulet Titan
2.000 0.002 0.00156 Other
1.385 0.929 0.02184 Amulet Titan
2.625 0.889 0.01404 RG Titanshift
2.250 0.571 0.01092 Gruul Land Destruction
2.000 0.167 0.00936 Elves
2.000 0.083 0.01872 Eldrazi Aggro
1.000 0.111 0.01404 BGx Midrange
2.000 0.009 0.01092 Other
1.000 0.692 0.04056 WU Control
1.000 0.002 0.00156 Other
1.000 0.038 0.04056 WU Control
1.000 0.002 0.00156 Other
1.071 1.000 0.02184 Amulet Titan
2.800 1.000 0.01560 Ad Nauseam
2.500 0.003 0.00312 Other
1.000 0.800 0.01560 Ad Nauseam
2.500 1.000 0.00624 Grishoalbrand
1.000 0.002 0.00156 Other
1.250 0.500 0.01248 Hardened Scales
1.000 0.002 0.00312 Other
3.800 1.000 0.01560 Ad Nauseam
1.000 0.100 0.01560 Ad Nauseam
1.000 1.000 0.02184 Amulet Titan
1.000 0.002 0.00156 Other
2.000 0.083 0.01872 Eldrazi Aggro
1.429 0.933 0.02340 UR Gifts Storm
1.250 0.154 0.04056 WU Control
4.000 1.000 0.00624 UR Control
3.000 1.000 0.00624 Blue Moon
1.000 0.111 0.01404 WUR Control
1.000 0.111 0.01404 BGx Midrange
3.100 0.031 0.03588 Other
3.000 0.067 0.02340 UR Gifts Storm
2.812 0.941 0.05304 Jund
1.143 0.778 0.01404 Vizier Company
3.000 0.778 0.01404 BGx Midrange
2.400 1.000 0.00780 Abzan
2.000 0.400 0.00780 WG Hatebears
1.000 0.083 0.01872 Eldrazi Aggro
1.000 0.143 0.01092 Gruul Land Destruction
1.900 0.031 0.03120 Other
1.429 0.778 0.01404 Vizier Company
1.600 0.714 0.01092 Gruul Land Destruction
1.750 0.667 0.00936 Elves
1.000 0.750 0.00624 UBRG Death's Shadow
1.000 0.083 0.01872 Eldrazi Aggro
1.000 0.005 0.00624 Other
4.000 1.000 0.00780 Martyr Proc
1.000 0.250 0.01248 Eldrazi and Taxes
1.000 0.111 0.01404 Vizier Company
2.000 0.200 0.00780 WG Hatebears
1.333 0.009 0.00936 Other
1.286 0.875 0.01248 Eldrazi and Taxes
2.000 1.000 0.00780 Abzan
2.750 0.667 0.00936 Death and Taxes
2.000 0.111 0.01404 BGx Midrange
1.500 0.006 0.00780 Other
2.375 0.889 0.05616 Humans
2.000 1.000 0.01404 Vizier Company
1.000 0.167 0.00936 Death and Taxes
1.000 0.125 0.01248 Eldrazi and Taxes
1.833 0.009 0.01092 Other
1.000 0.111 0.01404 BGx Midrange
2.000 0.003 0.00312 Other
1.000 0.200 0.00780 Abzan
1.000 0.002 0.00156 Other
1.889 0.818 0.01716 UG Infect
4.000 0.333 0.00936 Merfolk
1.000 0.143 0.01092 Azorius Spirits
2.000 0.002 0.00156 Other
2.800 0.714 0.02184 Amulet Titan
1.333 0.545 0.01716 UG Infect
2.000 0.667 0.00936 Merfolk
1.500 0.182 0.01716 Affinity
1.000 0.143 0.01092 Azorius Spirits
1.800 0.008 0.01092 Other
1.077 0.500 0.04056 WU Control
1.200 0.500 0.01560 Jeskai
1.250 0.444 0.01404 WUR Control
1.250 1.000 0.00624 UR Control
1.000 1.000 0.00624 Blue Moon
1.333 0.014 0.01716 Other
1.000 0.500 0.00624 UR Control
1.000 0.545 0.01716 UG Infect
1.000 0.003 0.00468 Other
3.833 1.000 0.01872 Grixis Whir
1.800 0.909 0.01716 UG Infect
1.000 0.185 0.04212 G Tron
1.000 0.056 0.02808 KCI Combo
1.000 0.091 0.01716 Affinity
3.000 0.071 0.02184 Amulet Titan
1.667 0.014 0.01716 Other
3.000 1.000 0.01872 UBR Death's Shadow
3.000 1.000 0.00624 UBRG Death's Shadow
4.000 0.182 0.01716 Affinity
2.500 0.003 0.00312 Other
1.000 1.000 0.01872 UBR Death's Shadow
2.000 0.364 0.01716 Affinity
3.000 0.083 0.01872 Eldrazi Aggro
2.000 0.006 0.00624 Other
1.667 0.250 0.01872 Grixis Whir
3.000 0.200 0.00780 Eldrazi Tron
1.500 0.444 0.02808 KCI Combo
1.000 0.200 0.01560 Ad Nauseam
2.000 0.071 0.02184 Amulet Titan
1.000 0.002 0.00156 Other
3.250 0.222 0.02808 KCI Combo
1.000 0.056 0.02808 KCI Combo
4.000 1.000 0.01872 Eldrazi Aggro
4.000 1.000 0.01248 Eldrazi and Taxes
4.000 1.000 0.00780 Eldrazi Tron
4.000 0.667 0.00936 Death and Taxes
4.000 0.003 0.00312 Other
2.880 0.926 0.04212 G Tron
2.500 0.003 0.00312 Other
2.147 1.000 0.05304 Jund
4.000 1.000 0.01872 UBR Death's Shadow
3.000 1.000 0.01716 Mardu Pyromancer
3.000 0.889 0.01404 BGx Midrange
2.200 1.000 0.00780 Abzan
4.000 1.000 0.00624 UBRG Death's Shadow
1.000 0.375 0.01248 Eldrazi and Taxes
3.000 0.056 0.02808 KCI Combo
3.286 0.022 0.02808 Other
2.379 0.674 0.06708 Dredge
2.800 0.750 0.03120 Hollow One
1.778 0.900 0.01560 Ad Nauseam
1.400 0.625 0.01248 Eldrazi and Taxes
2.000 0.667 0.00936 Elves
1.000 0.364 0.01716 Mardu Pyromancer
2.000 0.182 0.01716 Affinity
1.000 0.250 0.00624 Grishoalbrand
2.000 0.029 0.05304 Jund
1.667 0.005 0.00468 Other
1.000 0.002 0.00156 Other
2.808 0.963 0.04212 G Tron
1.500 0.444 0.01404 RG Titanshift
1.000 0.286 0.01092 Gruul Land Destruction
1.000 0.083 0.01872 Eldrazi Aggro
1.833 0.009 0.01248 Other
3.875 1.000 0.01248 Eldrazi and Taxes
4.000 0.667 0.00936 Death and Taxes
4.000 0.009 0.01092 Other
1.000 0.731 0.04056 WU Control
1.000 0.005 0.00624 Other
1.318 0.846 0.04056 WU Control
1.167 0.600 0.01560 Jeskai
1.400 0.556 0.01404 WUR Control
2.000 0.250 0.00624 Blue Moon
1.818 0.017 0.02184 Other
1.889 1.000 0.04212 G Tron
1.000 0.200 0.00780 Eldrazi Tron
1.750 0.006 0.00624 Other
1.000 0.400 0.00780 Eldrazi Tron
1.000 0.002 0.00156 Other
1.889 0.667 0.04212 Goodstuff 3c
2.000 0.857 0.01092 Azorius Spirits
1.600 0.008 0.01092 Other
3.800 0.909 0.01716 Affinity
3.000 0.002 0.00156 Other
1.000 0.200 0.00780 Eldrazi Tron
1.857 0.259 0.04212 G Tron
2.000 0.800 0.00780 Eldrazi Tron
2.000 0.083 0.01872 Eldrazi Aggro
3.000 0.963 0.04212 G Tron
2.000 0.200 0.00780 Eldrazi Tron
2.750 0.006 0.00624 Other
1.000 0.167 0.02808 KCI Combo
1.500 0.400 0.00780 Eldrazi Tron
1.000 0.002 0.00312 Other
1.000 0.214 0.02184 Amulet Titan
1.000 0.002 0.00156 Other
Card fractions: This is averaged over the whole meta and is the fraction of decks that play the card in the maindeck/sideboard without taking into account how many copies they play. These give a general idea of what cards to expect from a randomly chosen deck. Maindeck: The top cards are Inquisition of Kozilek (14.51%), Thoughtseize (14.35%), Scavenging Ooze (11.70%), Cryptic Command (11.39%), Logic Knot (9.20%), Lightning Helix (8.27%), Remand (7.49%).
Compare to the top cards from last month Cryptic Command (16.19%), Logic Knot (14.42%), Thoughtseize (12.66%), Inquisition of Kozilek (12.50%), Lightning Helix (12.34%), Collective Brutality (11.70%), Negate (11.38%).
Sideboard: The top cards are Nature's Claim (18.88%), Dispel (15.76%), Negate (13.42%), Collective Brutality (13.26%), Thoughtseize (11.39%), Knight of Autumn (10.76%), Sin Collector (7.64%).
Compare to the top cards from last month Dispel (19.39%), Negate (17.15%), Nature's Claim (16.99%), Collective Brutality (11.54%), Timely Reinforcements (11.06%), Sin Collector (10.74%), Auriok Champion (9.46%).
Hate cards by meta decks: Go here if you want to see what kind of hate cards specific decks play.
The first column is the average copies per deck of this archetype if the deck plays this card, so that this number is not affected by a deck that doesn't play the card. The second column is the fraction of decks of this archetype playing this card, and this number is affected by decks that don't play the card.
Meta composition: This is just a core dump of the fraction of decks out of the total for this month with each name. Some of these deck names might be fuzzy, so the results are approximate.
This is just a core dump of the fraction of decks out of the total for this month with each name.
6.71% Dredge
5.62% Humans
5.30% Jund
4.84% Burn
4.21% G Tron
4.21% Goodstuff 3c
4.06% WU Control
3.12% Hollow One
2.81% KCI Combo
2.34% UR Gifts Storm
2.18% Amulet Titan
1.87% Eldrazi Aggro
1.87% Grixis Whir
1.87% UBR Death's Shadow
1.72% Mardu Pyromancer
1.72% UG Infect
1.72% Runaway Red
1.72% Affinity
1.56% Ad Nauseam
1.56% Bogles
1.56% Jeskai
1.40% RG Titanshift
1.40% WUR Control
1.40% Vizier Company
1.40% BGx Midrange
1.25% Eldrazi and Taxes
1.25% Hardened Scales
1.09% Gruul Land Destruction
1.09% Azorius Spirits
0.94% Death and Taxes
0.94% Elves
0.94% Merfolk
0.78% Eldrazi Tron
0.78% Abzan
0.78% WG Hatebears
0.78% Martyr Proc
0.62% Grishoalbrand
0.62% Blue-Red Spells
0.62% UR Control
0.62% UBRG Death's Shadow
0.62% Blue Moon
0.47% White-Blue Midrange
0.47% URG Gifts Storm
0.47% Bant Company
0.47% Naya Monsters
0.47% UBR Control
0.31% Uw Spirits
0.31% Arclight Red
0.31% WBRG Death's Shadow
0.31% UR Delver
0.31% WURG Copycat
0.31% Mill
0.31% WUG Hatebears
0.31% 8-Rack
0.31% Living End
0.31% Kiki-Jiki Combo
0.31% UR
0.31% Burn Spells
0.31% Skred Red
0.31% Hardened Modular
0.31% Bridgevine
0.31% Mono U Tron
0.31% 8 Whack
0.31% Bant Spirits
0.31% Abzan Value
0.31% Junk Hatebears
0.31% UW Miracles
0.31% Kiki Chord
0.31% WUR Copycat
0.31% WG Tron
0.16% Phoenix Burn
0.16% W Allies
0.16% Whack Goblins
0.16% WU
0.16% UBRG Scapeshift
0.16% Izzet Spells
0.16% Selesnya Chord
0.16% Tokens
0.16% UBRG
0.16% RG
0.16% BRG Titanshift
0.16% WUBR Control
0.16% WUR
0.16% UBG Death's Shadow
0.16% URG Delver
0.16% WB Hatebears
0.16% WUG Infect
0.16% WUB
0.16% Mono-White Emeria
0.16% Lantern Control
0.16% Esper Polymorph
0.16% WUBR Storm
0.16% Skred Dragons
0.16% W
0.16% WUBG Hatebears
0.16% Bloomless Titan
0.16% WUR Ascension
0.16% Izzet Phoenix
0.16% WURG Scapeshift
0.16% BRG Death's Shadow
0.16% Phoenix Deck Wins
0.16% WUBRG Death's Shadow
0.16% White-Black Denial
0.16% Mono-Red Goblins
0.16% R
0.16% G Hatebears
0.16% Mono-Green Devotion
0.16% Eminent Domain
0.16% Sultai Midrange
0.16% Polymorph
0.16% Hardened Scales Modular
0.16% URG Control
0.16% WBG Death's Shadow
0.16% WBG
0.16% Hollow Vengevine
0.16% Mono Red Storm
0.16% Rg Ponza
0.16% Temur Midrange
0.16% WURG Kiki-Resto
0.16% Naya Planeswalkers
0.16% WUG Control
0.16% Selesnya Aggro
0.16% Glorious Jeskai
Total decks 641
1.000 0.002 0.00156 Other
2.000 1.000 0.00624 Blue-Red Spells
1.500 0.167 0.01872 Eldrazi Aggro
1.000 0.029 0.05304 Jund
2.000 0.100 0.01560 Jeskai
2.000 0.050 0.03120 Hollow One
1.625 0.012 0.01560 Other
4.000 0.002 0.00156 Other
1.000 1.000 0.01872 Grixis Whir
2.000 0.002 0.00156 Other
1.000 0.400 0.00780 Martyr Proc
2.000 0.111 0.01404 BGx Midrange
1.000 0.002 0.00156 Other
4.000 0.111 0.01404 BGx Midrange
4.000 0.002 0.00156 Other
2.000 0.333 0.00936 Death and Taxes
1.000 0.250 0.01248 Eldrazi and Taxes
2.000 0.002 0.00156 Other
2.091 1.000 0.01716 Mardu Pyromancer
3.571 1.000 0.01092 Gruul Land Destruction
2.000 1.000 0.00624 Blue Moon
2.333 0.750 0.00624 UR Control
1.000 0.250 0.00624 Grishoalbrand
1.000 0.032 0.04836 Burn
3.000 0.083 0.01872 Eldrazi Aggro
3.000 0.029 0.05304 Jund
3.091 0.017 0.01716 Other
2.300 0.909 0.01716 Runaway Red
1.000 0.545 0.01716 Mardu Pyromancer
2.000 0.200 0.03120 Hollow One
1.667 0.273 0.01716 Affinity
2.500 0.065 0.04836 Burn
2.222 0.014 0.01716 Other
1.000 0.002 0.00156 Other
4.000 0.070 0.06708 Dredge
4.000 0.003 0.00312 Other
1.000 0.200 0.01560 Bogles
1.000 0.200 0.00780 Martyr Proc
4.000 0.032 0.04836 Burn
1.500 0.235 0.05304 Jund
1.000 0.400 0.00780 Abzan
1.000 0.167 0.00936 Elves
2.000 0.037 0.04212 G Tron
2.000 0.083 0.01872 Eldrazi Aggro
2.000 0.143 0.01092 Gruul Land Destruction
1.000 0.200 0.00780 WG Hatebears
1.000 0.002 0.00156 Other
1.556 1.000 0.01404 Vizier Company
1.167 0.857 0.01092 Gruul Land Destruction
2.000 0.037 0.04212 Goodstuff 3c
3.167 0.009 0.00936 Other
3.000 0.143 0.01092 Azorius Spirits
4.000 1.000 0.01560 Bogles
1.238 0.808 0.04056 WU Control
1.571 0.011 0.01248 Other
1.000 0.115 0.04056 WU Control
1.000 0.300 0.01560 Jeskai
1.500 0.074 0.04212 Goodstuff 3c
1.000 0.111 0.01404 WUR Control
4.000 0.056 0.02808 KCI Combo
1.000 0.003 0.00624 Other
4.000 0.002 0.00156 Other
1.000 0.037 0.04212 Goodstuff 3c
1.000 1.000 0.01404 Vizier Company
1.333 0.600 0.00780 Martyr Proc
1.000 0.167 0.00936 Death and Taxes
2.000 0.037 0.04212 Goodstuff 3c
1.231 0.020 0.02028 Other
3.893 0.903 0.04836 Burn
4.000 0.002 0.00156 Other
1.000 0.032 0.04836 Burn
4.000 0.182 0.01716 Affinity
4.000 1.000 0.01560 Bogles
1.000 0.750 0.01248 Hardened Scales
1.000 0.200 0.00780 WG Hatebears
1.000 0.091 0.01716 Affinity
1.250 0.006 0.00624 Other
1.500 0.250 0.01248 Hardened Scales
1.000 0.200 0.00780 WG Hatebears
2.000 0.111 0.01404 RG Titanshift
1.000 0.029 0.05304 Jund
2.000 0.091 0.01716 Affinity
1.917 1.000 0.01872 Grixis Whir
2.000 0.818 0.01716 Affinity
1.500 0.111 0.02808 KCI Combo
1.000 0.002 0.00156 Other
3.000 0.200 0.00780 Martyr Proc
4.000 0.002 0.00156 Other
1.500 1.000 0.01560 Bogles
4.000 1.000 0.01248 Hardened Scales
4.000 0.200 0.00780 WG Hatebears
4.000 0.091 0.01716 Affinity
4.000 0.006 0.00624 Other
2.000 0.071 0.02184 Amulet Titan
4.000 0.002 0.00156 Other
2.400 1.000 0.01560 Bogles
4.000 0.003 0.00312 Other
1.000 0.005 0.00468 Other
1.000 0.750 0.00624 UR Control
1.000 0.100 0.01560 Jeskai
1.000 0.006 0.00780 Other
2.250 0.444 0.01404 RG Titanshift
1.000 0.002 0.00156 Other
1.500 0.065 0.04836 Burn
3.000 0.002 0.00156 Other
3.556 0.900 0.01560 Bogles
2.000 0.100 0.01560 Ad Nauseam
3.800 1.000 0.01560 Ad Nauseam
1.500 0.400 0.01560 Bogles
4.000 0.500 0.00624 Grishoalbrand
4.000 0.056 0.02808 KCI Combo
3.000 0.200 0.00780 Martyr Proc
3.000 0.100 0.01560 Jeskai
2.000 0.003 0.00312 Other
4.000 0.050 0.03120 Hollow One
4.000 0.003 0.00312 Other
3.966 0.674 0.06708 Dredge
3.368 0.559 0.05304 Jund
3.714 0.700 0.03120 Hollow One
3.625 0.727 0.01716 Mardu Pyromancer
3.500 0.444 0.01404 BGx Midrange
4.000 0.333 0.01872 UBR Death's Shadow
4.000 0.065 0.04836 Burn
4.000 0.167 0.01872 Eldrazi Aggro
4.000 0.250 0.00624 Grishoalbrand
3.000 0.037 0.04212 G Tron
3.750 0.006 0.00936 Other
2.000 0.038 0.04056 WU Control
1.000 0.100 0.01560 Bogles
1.000 0.003 0.00312 Other
3.750 0.006 0.00624 Other
1.500 0.400 0.00780 Martyr Proc
1.000 0.002 0.00156 Other
3.800 1.000 0.01560 Ad Nauseam
1.000 0.100 0.01560 Ad Nauseam
1.000 0.038 0.04056 WU Control
1.000 0.154 0.04056 WU Control
1.250 0.444 0.01404 RG Titanshift
1.000 0.002 0.00156 Other
1.000 0.002 0.00156 Other
1.500 0.133 0.02340 UR Gifts Storm
2.500 0.003 0.00624 Other
4.000 1.000 0.01560 Bogles
2.250 0.364 0.01716 UG Infect
1.667 0.005 0.00468 Other
2.875 0.889 0.04212 Goodstuff 3c
2.182 0.846 0.04056 WU Control
2.429 0.452 0.04836 Burn
2.400 1.000 0.01560 Bogles
1.857 1.000 0.01092 Azorius Spirits
3.333 1.000 0.00936 Death and Taxes
1.667 0.545 0.01716 Affinity
1.800 1.000 0.00780 Martyr Proc
2.500 0.500 0.01248 Eldrazi and Taxes
2.500 0.800 0.00780 WG Hatebears
2.000 0.333 0.01404 WUR Control
3.000 0.083 0.01872 Eldrazi Aggro
2.000 0.250 0.00624 Blue Moon
2.000 0.111 0.01404 BGx Midrange
2.000 0.100 0.01560 Jeskai
1.000 0.028 0.05616 Humans
2.519 0.042 0.04836 Other
1.000 0.091 0.01716 Affinity
1.000 0.800 0.00780 Martyr Proc
1.000 0.286 0.01092 Azorius Spirits
1.000 0.002 0.00312 Other
3.000 0.100 0.01560 Ad Nauseam
2.000 0.129 0.04836 Burn
2.000 0.029 0.05304 Jund
1.000 0.002 0.00156 Other
1.000 0.029 0.05304 Jund
1.000 0.037 0.04212 G Tron
2.222 0.900 0.01560 Bogles
1.000 0.091 0.01716 Affinity
1.696 0.885 0.04056 WU Control
1.900 1.000 0.01560 Jeskai
2.000 0.889 0.01404 WUR Control
1.917 0.019 0.02028 Other
1.875 0.727 0.01716 UG Infect
2.333 0.500 0.00936 Elves
1.000 0.091 0.01716 Affinity
2.000 0.002 0.00156 Other
4.000 0.003 0.00312 Other
1.000 0.002 0.00156 Other
3.700 1.000 0.01560 Bogles
1.000 0.600 0.01560 Bogles
1.333 0.600 0.01560 Bogles
2.100 1.000 0.01560 Bogles
1.000 0.100 0.01560 Bogles
1.000 0.037 0.04212 Goodstuff 3c
1.000 0.037 0.04212 Goodstuff 3c
1.000 0.002 0.00156 Other
4.000 1.000 0.00936 Merfolk
3.000 0.008 0.00780 Other
1.000 0.038 0.04056 WU Control
2.000 0.002 0.00312 Other
1.000 0.143 0.01092 Azorius Spirits
2.423 0.963 0.04212 Goodstuff 3c
1.909 0.846 0.04056 WU Control
2.500 1.000 0.01560 Bogles
1.875 1.000 0.01248 Eldrazi and Taxes
2.143 1.000 0.01092 Azorius Spirits
2.000 0.833 0.00936 Death and Taxes
1.800 0.556 0.01404 WUR Control
2.200 1.000 0.00780 Abzan
2.500 0.800 0.00780 WG Hatebears
2.250 0.800 0.00780 Martyr Proc
1.250 0.400 0.01560 Jeskai
1.667 0.097 0.04836 Burn
3.000 0.083 0.01872 Eldrazi Aggro
1.000 0.091 0.01716 Mardu Pyromancer
2.000 0.111 0.01404 Vizier Company
2.000 0.250 0.00624 Blue Moon
1.000 0.111 0.01404 BGx Midrange
2.000 0.028 0.05616 Humans
2.231 0.041 0.04836 Other
1.000 0.100 0.01560 Bogles
1.000 0.091 0.01716 Affinity
3.333 0.097 0.04836 Burn
2.000 0.002 0.00312 Other
3.000 0.003 0.00468 Other
1.000 0.200 0.01560 Bogles
4.000 1.000 0.01092 Gruul Land Destruction
4.000 0.006 0.00624 Other
1.000 0.002 0.00156 Other
1.000 0.167 0.00936 Elves
3.000 0.037 0.04212 Goodstuff 3c
1.000 0.364 0.01716 UG Infect
1.000 0.002 0.00312 Other
1.222 0.333 0.04212 Goodstuff 3c
1.200 0.714 0.01092 Azorius Spirits
1.000 0.250 0.01248 Eldrazi and Taxes
1.000 0.111 0.01404 Vizier Company
2.000 0.200 0.00780 WG Hatebears
1.000 0.100 0.01560 Bogles
1.714 0.022 0.02652 Other
Maindeck: The top cards are Search for Azcanta (8.27%), Blood Moon (6.24%), Eidolon of the Great Revel (4.52%), Detention Sphere (4.37%), Courser of Kruphix (3.43%), Rancor (2.65%), Hardened Scales (2.18%).
Sideboard: The top cards are Rest in Peace (21.37%), Stony Silence (21.06%), Leyline of the Void (13.73%), Blood Moon (5.30%), Worship (5.15%), Eidolon of Rhetoric (4.21%), Ghirapur Aether Grid (3.74%).
The first column is the average copies per deck of this archetype if the deck plays this card, so that this number is not affected by a deck that doesn't play the card. The second column is the fraction of decks of this archetype playing this card, and this number is affected by decks that don't play the card.
Reporting back from a LGS modern tourney I played at the other night. First time ever going 4-0(thanks to this amazing forum and the hard work Eli Con puts into this forum, keep up the great work!)
I am too on the “no Eidolon” wagon and it worked out great for me.
The night passed by quickly and it was blur for me to remember the exact details of the matches.
Game 1. Won 2-1 vs Dredge
Game 2. Won 2-1 vs Tron
Game 3. Won 2-1 vs Hardened scales
Game 4. Won 2-1 vs Amulet Titan
Risk factor was amazing!!!! this card is so underrated, so much potential damage it’s crazy. Not one time it was a good option for my opponents. It was either gas into damage or pure 4 dmg. Nature claim nor creeping chill mattered. Hardened scales and dredge casted multiple nature’s claim (or any life gain cards)and couldn’t stop the amount of damage/prsssure risk factor was producing
Deck list:
My deck:
https://www.mtggoldfish.com/deck/265083#paper
That Storm player had absolutely insane hands. He won both games on the draw on turn 3. The first game he beat a turn 2 Eidolon into a turn 3 Eidolon (that was an interesting line: I had 3 mana available and an Eidolon and Helix in hand staring down a resolved Baral. I opted for the Eidolon and I'm still pretty sure that was correct, but results oriented thinking is sort of messing with me a bit.)
I've been playing in an eclectic meta recently, and I've been noticing an abundance of life gain in a lot of decks. Last week two players were running Emmeria Titan and one of them went 3-0. I've been consistently going 2-1 at my modern nights, usually losing to decks like death & taxes, UW control, and the above mentioned decks. Mixed into the meta are some elves, burn, tron, affinity, dimir shadow, and storm. A dredge player also showed up and creeping chill is a really nasty card. Currently, based on what I've seen, I'm running this deck:
4 monastery swiftspear
4 goblin guide
4 eidolon of the great revel
Spells
4 skullcrack
4 rift bolt
4 searing blaze
4 lava spike
4 boros charm
4 lightning helix
4 lightning bolt
1 risk factor
3 inspiring vantage
3 arid mesa
3 bloodstained mire
4 wooded foothills
3 mountain
2 sacred foundry
1 stomping ground
4 destructive revelry
2 searing blood
2 relic of progenitus
2 deflecting palm
2 path to exile
1 kor firewalker
1 exquisite firecraft
1 anger of the gods
Ever since I saw Loic Le Briand win GP Birmingham with his shrine of burning rage deck, I've been wanting to explore a slower deck with a stronger late game - that's where I always get blown out against the great number of decks I face that can draw things out. I was wondering what you thought of this build. Sideboard stays the same, I up the lands, add another risk factor and only run 3 shrines over 4 eidolons.
4 monastery swiftspear
4 goblin guide
artifacts
3 shrine of burning rage
Spells
4 skullcrack
4 rift bolt
4 searing blaze
4 boros charm
4 lightning helix
4 lightning bolt
3 lava spike
2 risk factor
3 inspiring vantage
3 arid mesa
3 bloodstained mire
4 wooded foothills
1 scalding tarn
3 mountain
2 sacred foundry
1 stomping ground
4 destructive revelry
2 searing blood
2 relic of progenitus
2 deflecting palm
2 path to exile
1 kor firewalker
1 exquisite firecraft
1 anger of the gods
GWUBRDraft my Old Border Nostalgia Cube! and/or The Little Pauper Cube That Could!RBUWG
Modern:WDeath & TaxesW | RUGRUG DelverRUG
Two reasons for chained - you don't accelerate the opponent and you can cast it with a mountain, meaning you are a little less vulnerable to blood moon and field of ruin turning off your answer to big creatures. I think it would require a very specific meta to get me to play that over path. I think instant speed is really important.
The only real reason that i'm playing the destructive revelry is because i'm afraid of leyline of sanctity ....
Should i still play destructive revelry ? What are the current good enchantments that needs to be answered right away ?
Yes Hardened scale is a great enchantment, but i think burn is able to beat it with smash to smithereens instead of destructive revelry (and just destroy any artifact that they will play).
So I'm thinking of replacing the destructive revelry for smash to smithereens (and upgrading to a better manabase) and just close my eyes and try to dodge enchantments ?
What do you guys think ?
DRev also blows up artifacts, too. It is literally less narrow than smash to smithereens. I'll also admit, one reason I play burn as opposed to my previous deck, storm, is that there are far fewer times that the opponent goes "I resolve this one thing that means you will not win the game." I'm going to run some enchantment hate, whether wear/tear or DRev, because I at least want to know there is a chance.
Any time you care about artifacts specifically, Smash is just a better card than DRev, and Shattering Spree/Stony Silence let you attack artifacts from different axes as well if you choose to go that route instead.
I think Stony Silence is generally bad for similar reasons that I am very low on RiP right now.
GWUBRDraft my Old Border Nostalgia Cube! and/or The Little Pauper Cube That Could!RBUWG
Modern:WDeath & TaxesW | RUGRUG DelverRUG
I'm off the opinion that most cases where we fold to an enchantment are cases where we already have a bad matchup and I don't think playing DRev makes the matchup good but rather makes it a little less bad.
For reference, the key cards in the deck are
Sun titan
Emeria, the sky ruin
Wall of omens
Felidar guardian
Lone missionary - main deck!!
Panharmonicon
And sides in leyline.
We also discussed rampaging ferocidon as a 1-of in the sideboard. Treating it like an enchantment and just using it to turn off/punish Dredge, token, and Emeria Titan-style strategies.
GWUBRDraft my Old Border Nostalgia Cube! and/or The Little Pauper Cube That Could!RBUWG
Modern:WDeath & TaxesW | RUGRUG DelverRUG
The following is a lot of data that's tough to digest, but it might be helpful to you to know what kind of lifegain to expect at various times, what counterspells people are playing, and what discard spells people are playing. This analysis comes from MTGGoldfish data with some cleaning procedure applied to it to try to clean up any bad deck names. I then go through these deck lists and find instances of "counter target", "lifelink", and "gain N life"/"gains N life" in the card text. On top of that, I search for Leyline of Sanctity, Oketra's Last Mercy, Chalice of the Void, Phyrexian Unlife, and Spellskite. The deck population is 641 decks. Cards that show up less than 0.5% of the time are not printed, and I've also removed some cards that don't affect us like Disdainful Stroke and Ceremonious Rejection.
Per card splits: Go here if you want to find a list of what decks play specific cards.
Maindeck: The top cards are Inquisition of Kozilek (14.51%), Thoughtseize (14.35%), Scavenging Ooze (11.70%), Cryptic Command (11.39%), Logic Knot (9.20%), Lightning Helix (8.27%), Remand (7.49%).
Compare to the top cards from last month Cryptic Command (16.19%), Logic Knot (14.42%), Thoughtseize (12.66%), Inquisition of Kozilek (12.50%), Lightning Helix (12.34%), Collective Brutality (11.70%), Negate (11.38%).
Compare to the top cards from last month Dispel (19.39%), Negate (17.15%), Nature's Claim (16.99%), Collective Brutality (11.54%), Timely Reinforcements (11.06%), Sin Collector (10.74%), Auriok Champion (9.46%).
The first column is the average copies per deck of this archetype if the deck plays this card, so that this number is not affected by a deck that doesn't play the card. The second column is the fraction of decks of this archetype playing this card, and this number is affected by decks that don't play the card.
This is just a core dump of the fraction of decks out of the total for this month with each name.
6.71% Dredge
5.62% Humans
5.30% Jund
4.84% Burn
4.21% G Tron
4.21% Goodstuff 3c
4.06% WU Control
3.12% Hollow One
2.81% KCI Combo
2.34% UR Gifts Storm
2.18% Amulet Titan
1.87% Eldrazi Aggro
1.87% Grixis Whir
1.87% UBR Death's Shadow
1.72% Mardu Pyromancer
1.72% UG Infect
1.72% Runaway Red
1.72% Affinity
1.56% Ad Nauseam
1.56% Bogles
1.56% Jeskai
1.40% RG Titanshift
1.40% WUR Control
1.40% Vizier Company
1.40% BGx Midrange
1.25% Eldrazi and Taxes
1.25% Hardened Scales
1.09% Gruul Land Destruction
1.09% Azorius Spirits
0.94% Death and Taxes
0.94% Elves
0.94% Merfolk
0.78% Eldrazi Tron
0.78% Abzan
0.78% WG Hatebears
0.78% Martyr Proc
0.62% Grishoalbrand
0.62% Blue-Red Spells
0.62% UR Control
0.62% UBRG Death's Shadow
0.62% Blue Moon
0.47% White-Blue Midrange
0.47% URG Gifts Storm
0.47% Bant Company
0.47% Naya Monsters
0.47% UBR Control
0.31% Uw Spirits
0.31% Arclight Red
0.31% WBRG Death's Shadow
0.31% UR Delver
0.31% WURG Copycat
0.31% Mill
0.31% WUG Hatebears
0.31% 8-Rack
0.31% Living End
0.31% Kiki-Jiki Combo
0.31% UR
0.31% Burn Spells
0.31% Skred Red
0.31% Hardened Modular
0.31% Bridgevine
0.31% Mono U Tron
0.31% 8 Whack
0.31% Bant Spirits
0.31% Abzan Value
0.31% Junk Hatebears
0.31% UW Miracles
0.31% Kiki Chord
0.31% WUR Copycat
0.31% WG Tron
0.16% Phoenix Burn
0.16% W Allies
0.16% Whack Goblins
0.16% WU
0.16% UBRG Scapeshift
0.16% Izzet Spells
0.16% Selesnya Chord
0.16% Tokens
0.16% UBRG
0.16% RG
0.16% BRG Titanshift
0.16% WUBR Control
0.16% WUR
0.16% UBG Death's Shadow
0.16% URG Delver
0.16% WB Hatebears
0.16% WUG Infect
0.16% WUB
0.16% Mono-White Emeria
0.16% Lantern Control
0.16% Esper Polymorph
0.16% WUBR Storm
0.16% Skred Dragons
0.16% W
0.16% WUBG Hatebears
0.16% Bloomless Titan
0.16% WUR Ascension
0.16% Izzet Phoenix
0.16% WURG Scapeshift
0.16% BRG Death's Shadow
0.16% Phoenix Deck Wins
0.16% WUBRG Death's Shadow
0.16% White-Black Denial
0.16% Mono-Red Goblins
0.16% R
0.16% G Hatebears
0.16% Mono-Green Devotion
0.16% Eminent Domain
0.16% Sultai Midrange
0.16% Polymorph
0.16% Hardened Scales Modular
0.16% URG Control
0.16% WBG Death's Shadow
0.16% WBG
0.16% Hollow Vengevine
0.16% Mono Red Storm
0.16% Rg Ponza
0.16% Temur Midrange
0.16% WURG Kiki-Resto
0.16% Naya Planeswalkers
0.16% WUG Control
0.16% Selesnya Aggro
0.16% Glorious Jeskai
Total decks 641
The first column is the average copies per deck of this archetype if the deck plays this card, so that this number is not affected by a deck that doesn't play the card. The second column is the fraction of decks of this archetype playing this card, and this number is affected by decks that don't play the card.
Link to previous month: September 2018 (apologies if it goes to the wrong spot on the page, it's post 1660).
Reporting back from a LGS modern tourney I played at the other night. First time ever going 4-0(thanks to this amazing forum and the hard work Eli Con puts into this forum, keep up the great work!)
I am too on the “no Eidolon” wagon and it worked out great for me.
The night passed by quickly and it was blur for me to remember the exact details of the matches.
Game 1. Won 2-1 vs Dredge
Game 2. Won 2-1 vs Tron
Game 3. Won 2-1 vs Hardened scales
Game 4. Won 2-1 vs Amulet Titan
Risk factor was amazing!!!! this card is so underrated, so much potential damage it’s crazy. Not one time it was a good option for my opponents. It was either gas into damage or pure 4 dmg. Nature claim nor creeping chill mattered. Hardened scales and dredge casted multiple nature’s claim (or any life gain cards)and couldn’t stop the amount of damage/prsssure risk factor was producing
Deck list:
4 Bloodstained mire
4 wooded foothills
2 Arid Mesa
3 Sacred foundry
4 Inspiring vantage
3 mountain
4 Goblin guide
1 grim lavamancer
4 Monastery swiftspear
4 Lightning bolt
4 Lava spike
4 Rift bolt
4 Searing blaze
4 Skullcrack
4 Boros charm
4 Lightning helix
3 Risk factor
Sb:
3 path to exile
3 searing blood
3 Rest In Peace
3 Smash to smithereens
3 Exquisite firecraft
Any changes that I will like to make is to up risk factor to 4 copies and remove Lavaman and maybe -1 blood, -1 firecraft for something else.
I will try to attend more modern tourney at my LGS and report back my results.
Back to lurking in the backgrounds =P, bye for now!