Can someone give me a rough analysis to let me know just how possible it is to win in draft with aetherflux reservoir? That is, if i have my heart set on winning with this card, is it even possible to achieve this once in (say) three matches? if so, how would i have to build my deck?
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Goblins have poor impulse control. Don't click this link!!
some of my favourite flavour text:
Wayward Soul "no home no heart no hope"
—Stronghold graffito
Raging Goblin He raged at the world, at his family, at his life. But mostly he just raged.
You'd want to be looping 2 Aviary Mechanics off of eachother and it'd still be slow and sketchy and bad. But yeah drafting 6 Aviary Mechanics is going to be where you want to be.
This Reddit user came up with a way to not only win with Aetherflux Reservoir, but to win with it on turn 1. Of course, it liberally uses Masterpieces that other drafters would have to open and pass to you.
casting 3 spells a turn would gain you 6 life, so you would need to do this 5 times to get the 50 life required. There doesn't seem to be many ways to gain life outside of this card, so I think popsoftheclown's suggestion of looping Aerial Mechanics is probably the only way that is even remotely possible. That being said, that card is a common so the dream is alive!
If you approached every draft with the intent for winning a game with aetherflux reservoir, I think it's a heavy favorite that you would never pull it off over the life of the format. Maybe something in the spoiler will change that, but I doubt it.
If you approached every draft with the intent for winning a game with aetherflux reservoir, I think it's a heavy favorite that you would never pull it off over the life of the format. Maybe something in the spoiler will change that, but I doubt it.
I think this logic works with Hedron Alignment as the odds of you pulling 4 of those in a draft is just so low that the dreams dead to begin with, but the Aetherflux Reservoir dream only requires one copy of the rare and multiple copies of an average common, which is way easier to get. I don't think the card will ever be close to resembling a real win condition, but if you tried every single draft to force the deck and drafted 100-200 times, I could see an eventual win with a white control shell.
...but you don't just need those cards....your opponent has to be doing almost literally nothing. It's definitely much more likely then Hedron alignment, and I'm sure *someone* will pull it off, but I still think the odds are against any individual doing it over the entire format even if that's their entire goal.
I bet the easiest way is by pantsing up an Aerial Responder and running it into some chump-blockers over and over again, most likely against someone with an active Whirlermaker. It's unlikely, but I don't think it's as unlikely as some people are making it out to be if you try and force it every draft.
Just yesterday I broke 50 life during an Eldrich Moon draft by putting a Cultist's Staff on a Faithbearer Paladin, and I wasn't even trying for it. If you set your mind to it I certainly think you can pull it off. The biggest concern will be getting an Aetherflux Reservoir early enough to know to move in.
Goblins have poor impulse control. Don't click this link!!
some of my favourite flavour text:
Wayward Soul
"no home no heart no hope"
—Stronghold graffito
Raging Goblin
He raged at the world, at his family, at his life. But mostly he just raged.
https://archidekt.com/user/71716
You'd want to be looping 2 Aviary Mechanics off of eachother and it'd still be slow and sketchy and bad. But yeah drafting 6 Aviary Mechanics is going to be where you want to be.
https://archidekt.com/user/71716
https://www.reddit.com/r/magicTCG/comments/52l5pb/magical_christmas_land_deterministic_turn_1_kill/?st=it4nelgm&sh=e0d76c0e
I think this logic works with Hedron Alignment as the odds of you pulling 4 of those in a draft is just so low that the dreams dead to begin with, but the Aetherflux Reservoir dream only requires one copy of the rare and multiple copies of an average common, which is way easier to get. I don't think the card will ever be close to resembling a real win condition, but if you tried every single draft to force the deck and drafted 100-200 times, I could see an eventual win with a white control shell.
Just yesterday I broke 50 life during an Eldrich Moon draft by putting a Cultist's Staff on a Faithbearer Paladin, and I wasn't even trying for it. If you set your mind to it I certainly think you can pull it off. The biggest concern will be getting an Aetherflux Reservoir early enough to know to move in.