I will be checking this thread probably.. once a day? To try to read some stuff and hammer.
If anyone has any problems with my logic, then feel free to call me out on it. But at this point, I am willing to throw out logic completely and focus on my gut, so I will most likely not have good answers/handwave your rebuttal.
I do not think that I will have time to fully reread and digest the influx of recent posts coming in before the deadline. This work project is killing me, but I think I will be able to post in a week.
As it is, I feel like it comes down to a few simple dichotomies.
Incognito
I am confirmed town.
MTG~DDS
Interactions with Annorax have him as very townie. If you're scum, good game, and I will forever be paranoid of you.
Cantripmancer
Cantripmancer's posts have been fairly townie for me from what I can recall. I haven't seen any blaring scumtells coming from him, and I don't see how Magenta is scum. If you're scum, then you've played a fine game.
That leaves us with four options: Wheat, Nyxu, Taredas, and swishh.
Wheat_Grinder
Ugh, Wheat. Wheat is the person I want to think as town, but every time I reread him he comes up red every time. You said that you would hammer yourself, which is a townie mindset for me, but Voxxicus did that in FHF and he spewed wine all over the table. I can't shake the distancing from Annorax at the beginning of Day 2. Also, if I suspected you, I think you would have killed me long ago, which makes my being alive here a bit more telling.
I am fine with a Wheat_Grinder lynch.
Nyxu
I'm not sure if I had more stranger reads on you. When Day 3 started, I thought for sure you were scum. You reeked scum for your vote on Annorax, and my pbpa of you left me wanting you as a lynch. And neutral hunting in a basic as well?
However, I have reflected on my stance of you, and here's the thing I have been hiding from you: While my brain says that you are scum, my gut says that you are town. I don't see much maliciousness coming out from your posts, and your "pulling threads" on swishh seems to have blossomed into a full out scumhunt. So, for now, I am willing to accept Nyxu as being town.
swishh
Oh, how have the mighty have fallen. You were a strong town read for most of the game, but lately I've been getting increasingly paranoid of you, and Nyxu sniping at you + your lurking earlier in the Day have made me come around. I do think you are scum, and your vote on Annorax was an attempt to "jump the gun" and have people dismiss you as town. You did come around on that read, and you did bring Annorax to L-1. I was blinded by the fact that you voted Annorax Day 1, but it's not as big as I thought it would be.
I am fine with a swishh lynch.
And now, for our most enigmatic figure:
Taredas
I will need to read more of your posts to get a clearer read on you, but the point of Annorax not mentioning MRH at all has me a bit suspicious. I have been getting a townie feel from the posts I have seen you make. Obviously, you're probably the hardest player to read currently, but my gut read on MRH + your good replace in posts make you pending, but leaning town. The pinkys_brain kill has me a bit nervous, but I'm willing to chalk it up to a "pinkys_brain was probably the most experienced player in the game" kill.
tl;dr: I think that swishh and Wheat_Grinder, and I am perfectly fine on voting whoever MTG~DDS votes.
Nyxu, I was just going to dash out a quick "Actually, rereading swishh now" post, but internet was being slow, so I declined.
I've been thinking about this and I don't think swishh is confirmed town at all. Literally, the only point I have with him is "first voted Annorax" and that's offset by a couple of other points, such as bringing Annorax to hammer range, lurking today, and questionable posts.
However, I've been drinking paranoia for the entire Day. I need to reread and set my scumreads straight.
Cantripmancer, I've seen probably a couple of players give up/willing to hammer themselves, and I've always seen them flip town. Not a conclusive sample size, yes, but it's enough to make me pause and rethink things at this stage.
I'll have to check the genuineness of interactions made back then, but I view wagon leaders as town. Rarely scum will lead a wagon, though it can happen.
MTG~DDS, it's just mostly me drinking the paranoia. I have absolutely no idea who is town or scum besides you.
To me, Nyxu has been the most independently scummy so far, though I can accept arguments for... probably anybody, really. I need to focus.
I'll get the town/scum list up if when I reread.
Wheat_Grinder, why? Almost all town wagons on Day 1 usually have at least /one/ scum on it.
Also, thanks for the games. I'll look at them if I have the time.
Taredas, I'm afraid you have me mistaken. (I do apologize if that was one of your factors in joining the game)
Also, it's nice to put a face on The Ballad of Tarhalindur.
I've seen many situations where someone says those words, and almost always they flip town.
Ugh. Is there a world where Wheat_Grinder and Cantripmancer are both town?
I understand that I'm going back on my "end the day" stance, but I'm going to go back to my gut reads. I'll probably have something by the end of today.
I just might be fine with a Nyxu or MRHBlue lynch.
*sigh*. This game is sapping the energy out of me.
This is sad. I've made my case, and I think it's strong enough that I don't anticipate changing my vote toDay. Others need to contribute, or, if that's just too much work, they need to weigh in on Wheat (or me, I suppose). I think Wheat is the better choice over Nyxu at this point.
I agree. I'm surprised the Day is still going, in fact. More than half of the players aren't voting, and this game has grinded to a halt.
I don't like the vote on swishh. If he's scum, well played, but he's first on the Annorax wagon; seriously doubt that he could be scum. He's been a solid town read all game, though paranoia is fickle.
I'm still confident on a Wheat_Grinder lynch. I don't think there is anything else to discuss today.
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This is Prophylaxis but I play differently on this account.
You're town then. Ugh.
Will have to reread, but looking in the Taredas/Nyxu/swishh pile will help.
Blegh.
Regardless if Wheat flips town or not, I think we can accurately lynch scum tomorrow.
My gut is screaming really loud for a Cantrip/swishh team, but that's not based on much.
So, were you scum?
Or town?
Who should we lynch tomorrow?
I would be more comfortable with a Wheat lynch.
MTG~DDS, anything you want to say before we hammer? Pretty sure that one of us is dying toNight.
I will be checking this thread probably.. once a day? To try to read some stuff and hammer.
If anyone has any problems with my logic, then feel free to call me out on it. But at this point, I am willing to throw out logic completely and focus on my gut, so I will most likely not have good answers/handwave your rebuttal.
As it is, I feel like it comes down to a few simple dichotomies.
Incognito
I am confirmed town.
MTG~DDS
Interactions with Annorax have him as very townie. If you're scum, good game, and I will forever be paranoid of you.
Cantripmancer
Cantripmancer's posts have been fairly townie for me from what I can recall. I haven't seen any blaring scumtells coming from him, and I don't see how Magenta is scum. If you're scum, then you've played a fine game.
That leaves us with four options: Wheat, Nyxu, Taredas, and swishh.
Wheat_Grinder
Ugh, Wheat. Wheat is the person I want to think as town, but every time I reread him he comes up red every time. You said that you would hammer yourself, which is a townie mindset for me, but Voxxicus did that in FHF and he spewed wine all over the table. I can't shake the distancing from Annorax at the beginning of Day 2. Also, if I suspected you, I think you would have killed me long ago, which makes my being alive here a bit more telling.
I am fine with a Wheat_Grinder lynch.
Nyxu
I'm not sure if I had more stranger reads on you. When Day 3 started, I thought for sure you were scum. You reeked scum for your vote on Annorax, and my pbpa of you left me wanting you as a lynch. And neutral hunting in a basic as well?
However, I have reflected on my stance of you, and here's the thing I have been hiding from you: While my brain says that you are scum, my gut says that you are town. I don't see much maliciousness coming out from your posts, and your "pulling threads" on swishh seems to have blossomed into a full out scumhunt. So, for now, I am willing to accept Nyxu as being town.
swishh
Oh, how have the mighty have fallen. You were a strong town read for most of the game, but lately I've been getting increasingly paranoid of you, and Nyxu sniping at you + your lurking earlier in the Day have made me come around. I do think you are scum, and your vote on Annorax was an attempt to "jump the gun" and have people dismiss you as town. You did come around on that read, and you did bring Annorax to L-1. I was blinded by the fact that you voted Annorax Day 1, but it's not as big as I thought it would be.
I am fine with a swishh lynch.
And now, for our most enigmatic figure:
Taredas
I will need to read more of your posts to get a clearer read on you, but the point of Annorax not mentioning MRH at all has me a bit suspicious. I have been getting a townie feel from the posts I have seen you make. Obviously, you're probably the hardest player to read currently, but my gut read on MRH + your good replace in posts make you pending, but leaning town. The pinkys_brain kill has me a bit nervous, but I'm willing to chalk it up to a "pinkys_brain was probably the most experienced player in the game" kill.
tl;dr: I think that swishh and Wheat_Grinder, and I am perfectly fine on voting whoever MTG~DDS votes.
This week is abnormally busy, and I'll try to get my reread on swishh done, but time will tell.
I am perfectly fine with a Wheat, Nyxu, or swishh lynch.
Posting to avoid prod.
I've been thinking about this and I don't think swishh is confirmed town at all. Literally, the only point I have with him is "first voted Annorax" and that's offset by a couple of other points, such as bringing Annorax to hammer range, lurking today, and questionable posts.
However, I've been drinking paranoia for the entire Day. I need to reread and set my scumreads straight.
Cantripmancer, I've seen probably a couple of players give up/willing to hammer themselves, and I've always seen them flip town. Not a conclusive sample size, yes, but it's enough to make me pause and rethink things at this stage.
I'll have to check the genuineness of interactions made back then, but I view wagon leaders as town. Rarely scum will lead a wagon, though it can happen.
MTG~DDS, it's just mostly me drinking the paranoia. I have absolutely no idea who is town or scum besides you.
To me, Nyxu has been the most independently scummy so far, though I can accept arguments for... probably anybody, really. I need to focus.
I'll get the town/scum list up if when I reread.
Wheat_Grinder, why? Almost all town wagons on Day 1 usually have at least /one/ scum on it.
Also, thanks for the games. I'll look at them if I have the time.
Taredas, I'm afraid you have me mistaken. (I do apologize if that was one of your factors in joining the game)
Also, it's nice to put a face on The Ballad of Tarhalindur.
For now, Unvote. This game is pending a reread.
Vote Nyxu
Almost never, ever, ever will you find 7 town in a row on a town lynch.
If he flips town I'll be willing to reread swishh.
Everyone has just been too town for me to reconsider.
Wheat_Grinder, can you give me your last completed scum game and last completed town game, please?
*bites lip*
I've seen many situations where someone says those words, and almost always they flip town.
Ugh. Is there a world where Wheat_Grinder and Cantripmancer are both town?
I understand that I'm going back on my "end the day" stance, but I'm going to go back to my gut reads. I'll probably have something by the end of today.
I just might be fine with a Nyxu or MRHBlue lynch.
*sigh*. This game is sapping the energy out of me.
I agree. I'm surprised the Day is still going, in fact. More than half of the players aren't voting, and this game has grinded to a halt.
I don't like the vote on swishh. If he's scum, well played, but he's first on the Annorax wagon; seriously doubt that he could be scum. He's been a solid town read all game, though paranoia is fickle.
I'm still confident on a Wheat_Grinder lynch. I don't think there is anything else to discuss today.