Wasteland was down to the low 20s around the time TPR was released online, and now it's back up near 50 already, but everywhere I see it in stock (which is not many bots) it's more like 60. What is going on with this card? Did I just completely miss the boat, or will it fall again soon? I need a playset, and I wasn't able to buy it a couple weeks ago, but now it's expensive again. TPR packs are still in the store, but I don't know if they're being given out as prizes? Not sure. Haven't checked that, actually, but shouldn't this card be more available and at a better price than it is?
I think there's heavy speculation going on. But, it's wise speculation - there's solid underlying demand for Wasteland, and low supply for reasons that follow.
TPR is a low EV format. Average value of a cracked pack was about 1.05 tickets yesterday (when Wasteland dealer spread was 45 buy 48 sell), so it might be 1.1 now that Wasteland is a bit higher.
TPR packs never fell as low as I expected them to fall (from Vintage/Legacy constructed prizes) so it's only really being drafted by people who want the TPR draft experience.
Low EV, no oversupply of boosters = low card supply.
I'm glad I got my four foil Wastelands for 38 tickets each on the first weekend. I'm also sad that I didn't get another 12 normal ones, but I was acting under the assumption that Vintage and Legacy constructed would be more popular than they have been in the last 3 weeks, and so the TPR pack price would fall enough to attract EV chasers into drafts. Wrong assumption leads to a missed opportunity. (I also bought 4 foil City of Traitors but not at amazing prices, paid a total of 25.5 for them along with 152 for the Wastelands)
Lack of "Pack Per Win" destroyed TPR's viability - the events do not fire due to lack of casual appeal and the supply is way too low.
There may be an opportunity to buy in on Wasteland again this weekend when Modern Masters 2015 hits. Tickets will be at a premium and I suspect the price will drop slightly.
Wasteland is precisely the kind of card one would want to speculate on because it is a staple of many dominant deck archetypes. In fact, wasteland is the defining land disruption of Legacy.
Vintage has Strip Mine
Legacy has Wasteland
Modern has Ghost Quarter and Tectonic Edge.
Of the three, Wasteland is the most dominant. Vintage with its Moxen, speed, and lotuses, arguably doesn't even need mana. Not to mention strip mine is restricted.
Ghost Quarter COULD have been as dominant as Wasteland, perhaps even more so because of the size of Modern. But the demand is split into two. Tectonic Edge is going to be a substitute for Ghost quarter at least some of the time. The real killer however is that it was reprinted as uncommon. The uncommonness and the split demand, negates the tremendous demand that would otherwise be there.
Wasteland however stands alone by itself. There are no real substitutes for it. It's colorless and a land, so theoretically every deck in legacy could run it.
It's really the absolute ideal speculation target, and truth be told--there are very few of those.
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TPR is a low EV format. Average value of a cracked pack was about 1.05 tickets yesterday (when Wasteland dealer spread was 45 buy 48 sell), so it might be 1.1 now that Wasteland is a bit higher.
TPR packs never fell as low as I expected them to fall (from Vintage/Legacy constructed prizes) so it's only really being drafted by people who want the TPR draft experience.
Low EV, no oversupply of boosters = low card supply.
I'm glad I got my four foil Wastelands for 38 tickets each on the first weekend. I'm also sad that I didn't get another 12 normal ones, but I was acting under the assumption that Vintage and Legacy constructed would be more popular than they have been in the last 3 weeks, and so the TPR pack price would fall enough to attract EV chasers into drafts. Wrong assumption leads to a missed opportunity. (I also bought 4 foil City of Traitors but not at amazing prices, paid a total of 25.5 for them along with 152 for the Wastelands)
There may be an opportunity to buy in on Wasteland again this weekend when Modern Masters 2015 hits. Tickets will be at a premium and I suspect the price will drop slightly.
Wasteland is precisely the kind of card one would want to speculate on because it is a staple of many dominant deck archetypes. In fact, wasteland is the defining land disruption of Legacy.
Vintage has Strip Mine
Legacy has Wasteland
Modern has Ghost Quarter and Tectonic Edge.
Of the three, Wasteland is the most dominant. Vintage with its Moxen, speed, and lotuses, arguably doesn't even need mana. Not to mention strip mine is restricted.
Ghost Quarter COULD have been as dominant as Wasteland, perhaps even more so because of the size of Modern. But the demand is split into two. Tectonic Edge is going to be a substitute for Ghost quarter at least some of the time. The real killer however is that it was reprinted as uncommon. The uncommonness and the split demand, negates the tremendous demand that would otherwise be there.
Wasteland however stands alone by itself. There are no real substitutes for it. It's colorless and a land, so theoretically every deck in legacy could run it.
It's really the absolute ideal speculation target, and truth be told--there are very few of those.