I was expecting it to fall hard, but not quite this hard this quickly. Currently FRF sets are 46 tickets, 37 of that in the mythics.
Do people here expect it to fall further in the next period? If so, how low? BNG hit 40 but was a much weaker set (IMO).
I think the floor is close. The FRF mythics are superior to KTK's easily. Whisperwood and Ugin are good spec targets and should soak up a lot of value. Those two should be players in Battle for Zen standard, especially with likely Ramp stratgies emerging. Monastery Mentor has eternal format appeal, but seems overpriced as it stands.
Rares- Tasigur @ 3.5 tix seems like a bargain as well, but it outclasses all of the other rares by a large margin. Going a bit deeper, I think all of the Sieges have some good opportunity to rise. Monastery Siege sees fringe play in Modern, Outpost Siege will be more prevalent when Chandra rotates, and Citadel Siege seems strong when good creature removal spells rotate out. Also, the rare dragon cycle has opportunity to grow but you can pick them up right now at 5 cents (other than Silumgar). All of them can potentially be Standard playable in the future (other than Ojutai, Soul of Winter).
The early rotation of KTK and FRF curbs the potential, tho. I actually think DTK is the best value this summer because it will be in Standard longer...
DTK on the other-hand is still rising AFTER the Release Events have ended - which is very atypical. Typically when supply is high, sets will drop. DTK seems not to care.
Redemption should have an impact, but this set has a lot of positive attributes with it avoid early rotation (unlike KTK and FRF).
DTK won't be redeemed much except as foil sets. Its medium term supply is more than Journey but less than BNG (2 packs drafted, so double Journey and same as BNG, but DTK is a 50% larger set than Journey, so expect the supply to be 133% of that of JiN and 66% of that of BNG).
JiN was never profitably redeemable because of low supply (exception - paper dealers that could get premium prices on the key cards). DTK should be similar.
As for Ojutai's spike - I was not expecting that. I thought 25 would be the ceiling, given it's a mythic in a non-terrible set that is currently being drafted. I was at least right about Silumgar being better than the other dragonlords.
Finally, I'm staying away from foil bad mythics in this set, for reasons...
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Do people here expect it to fall further in the next period? If so, how low? BNG hit 40 but was a much weaker set (IMO).
I think the floor is close. The FRF mythics are superior to KTK's easily. Whisperwood and Ugin are good spec targets and should soak up a lot of value. Those two should be players in Battle for Zen standard, especially with likely Ramp stratgies emerging. Monastery Mentor has eternal format appeal, but seems overpriced as it stands.
Rares- Tasigur @ 3.5 tix seems like a bargain as well, but it outclasses all of the other rares by a large margin. Going a bit deeper, I think all of the Sieges have some good opportunity to rise. Monastery Siege sees fringe play in Modern, Outpost Siege will be more prevalent when Chandra rotates, and Citadel Siege seems strong when good creature removal spells rotate out. Also, the rare dragon cycle has opportunity to grow but you can pick them up right now at 5 cents (other than Silumgar). All of them can potentially be Standard playable in the future (other than Ojutai, Soul of Winter).
The early rotation of KTK and FRF curbs the potential, tho. I actually think DTK is the best value this summer because it will be in Standard longer...
DTK on the other-hand is still rising AFTER the Release Events have ended - which is very atypical. Typically when supply is high, sets will drop. DTK seems not to care.
Redemption should have an impact, but this set has a lot of positive attributes with it avoid early rotation (unlike KTK and FRF).
JiN was never profitably redeemable because of low supply (exception - paper dealers that could get premium prices on the key cards). DTK should be similar.
As for Ojutai's spike - I was not expecting that. I thought 25 would be the ceiling, given it's a mythic in a non-terrible set that is currently being drafted. I was at least right about Silumgar being better than the other dragonlords.
Finally, I'm staying away from foil bad mythics in this set, for reasons...