I have a bunch of Khans and Fate Reforged boosters from doing well in MTGO tournaments.
My guess is that Khans will rise in price since it won't be drafted anymore. Fate Reforged will continue to be drafted so I think its price will go down.
Right now, I'm leaning on selling all my Fate Reforged boosters and holding on to Khans boosters. But if Khans does rise in price, it might take a while. I don't want to wait months for it Khans to go up in price. Three months is okay but anything longer is too long for me.
What are your predictions for the price movements of these two digital boosters?
Your best bet is to do a little bit of research, just by looking at what the Bots are buying for. Personally I like CardBotBooster, as they are pretty fair in their pricing. How much of a profit are you looking to make? I can't see KtR moving much in less than 6 months; it was opened way too much. https://www.cardhoarder.com/cards?data[sets][0]=CH-DRAFT
The draft pack from this particular seller is just over $10usd.
I think holding KTK and selling FRF if you aren't drafting is the right move. FRF is basically what it costs from the store so you don't have to worry about it going over 4, but the odds they do adjust the payouts are a lot higher than it going over 4. KTK shouldn't go below 2. That would be VERY rare for an in print set. The downside risk of holding is minimal (say 0.2/pk), but the upside potential could be up to 1 tix.
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Out of the blackness and stench of the engulfing swamp emerged a shimmering figure. Only the splattered armor and ichor-stained sword hinted at the unfathomable evil the knight had just laid waste.
FRF can't really get higher than about 4.16-4.20 tickets (otherwise people that want tickets will bulk buy packs from the store and sell them to bots; I have done this before). It's almost there now. Sell now.
KTK - I'm less sure than Cardfather on these. Once DTK lands, FKK will be much less popular. Plus KTK cards will have a lower value than DTK for some time - I don't even think Theros got below 75 tix per set, KTK is around 65.
I still have 90+ ktk boosters. I sold about 50 of them when they reached 2.5 a couple weeks ago. I don't see why KTK should go back up when people won't even draft with them anymore. I bet the new DE payout will be in all 3 packs since Lee Sharp is as bad as Turian. I also bet they will remove some F/K/K queues which could hurt the amount of those drafts that fire. But there is a case where a booster has not been given out and has gone up in price. M15 is bizarre. I don't understand why that booster is over 4 tix.
I get rid of all the FRF packs I win. 4+ tix for a pack is awesome, trying to wait to see if it goes up is foolish.
I could see KTKs going back up to 2.5 when the new set comes out, but my confidence in the value of boosters is low enough these days is low enough that I don't want to spec on them.
I didn't spec on these boosters, I won them in DEs during the past couple months. The only booster I would speculate on are out of print boosters when they announce a payout discrepancy in the future retro draft. They made retro draft payouts really bad recently so I haven't done it in a year (I spec'd on some morningtide packs). We'll see how the 6-2-2-2 retro format goes. Though you can't really do any speculating with ROE since there is no skewed pay out ratio.
My guess is that Khans will rise in price since it won't be drafted anymore. Fate Reforged will continue to be drafted so I think its price will go down.
Right now, I'm leaning on selling all my Fate Reforged boosters and holding on to Khans boosters. But if Khans does rise in price, it might take a while. I don't want to wait months for it Khans to go up in price. Three months is okay but anything longer is too long for me.
What are your predictions for the price movements of these two digital boosters?
https://www.cardhoarder.com/cards?data[sets][0]=CH-DRAFT
The draft pack from this particular seller is just over $10usd.
The funniest thing about this particular signature is that by the time you realize it doesn't say anything it's too late to stop reading it....
KTK - I'm less sure than Cardfather on these. Once DTK lands, FKK will be much less popular. Plus KTK cards will have a lower value than DTK for some time - I don't even think Theros got below 75 tix per set, KTK is around 65.
I get rid of all the FRF packs I win. 4+ tix for a pack is awesome, trying to wait to see if it goes up is foolish.