So, This isn't anything exciting or really new, but I've been noticing that with different decks gaining popularity in older formats and the mass number of reprints Tarmogoyf has been pretty steadily declining in price (I can get a playset for $210 on TCGPlayer right now, and I'm betting scouring eBay could do better).
Is it time to buy?
What do you think is the rock bottom price for Goyf?
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So, This isn't anything exciting or really new, but I've been noticing that with different decks gaining popularity in older formats and the mass number of reprints Tarmogoyf has been pretty steadily declining in price (I can get a playset for $210 on TCGPlayer right now, and I'm betting scouring eBay could do better).
Is it time to buy?
What do you think is the rock bottom price for Goyf?
Are you planning on sleeving up that playset?
If you are, then yeah, it's time to buy. Next opportunity for a reprint is in the spring, with Magic 25, and while another reprint will definitely hurt his price, it won't completely crush it (any worse than it's already been crushed) and you'll have gotten to play with it for more than half a year.
If not, then I'd stay away. I don't think that 'Goyf is a good investment vehicle.
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I was curious at the price mentioned for goyfs and went and checked on tcgplayer and ebay respectively and currently the cheapest possible playset on tcgplayer would be a combination of 3 goyfs (2 different editions) from 1 seller on tcgplayer and 1 goyf from a 2nd seller on tcgplayer for a total cost plus shipping of $255 (it goes up a decent amount after that) and those would be for LP copies.
On ebay you are looking at around $235 for a playset (LP condition) from a single seller, or $240 for a playset (NM condition) from a combination of 4 different sellers.
For those interested, its important to remember to always double check prices by looking manually at what is actually listed for each version of a card rather than looking at something like the price as low as on the summary page for the different editions of a card (those numbers are WAY off and I'm not sure why that is, there must be a glitch in their system that doesn't update that for some reason), though it does show the correct numbers for that when you go into the individual edition of a card (IE: 2017 masters goyf specifically).
It is kind of crazy to see goyf as low as it is now, but I suppose it was inevitable as the card kept getting reprinted. Right now though it seems to be available for as low as about $60-$65 per card (shipped).
With that all said, I think its inevitable that the card will continue to get reprinted. Its a high enough value modern available card that it would be foolish for wizards to not keep reprinting it if it can help sell packs. So as was mentioned by KnickM, basically you have to decide whether you need it now for a deck (then now is a perfectly fine time to buy to be able to use it), or if not, then honestly I think waiting is fine, it will trend back up until its next reprint and then drop lower again. I don't think there really can be a theoretical bottom for the card (though I suspect there may be some resistance at the $50 level just because $200 for a set is a nice large round number and all), but inevitably it just depends on supply/demand.
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Is it time to buy?
What do you think is the rock bottom price for Goyf?
If you hate the deck, I'm probably playing it!
Are you planning on sleeving up that playset?
If you are, then yeah, it's time to buy. Next opportunity for a reprint is in the spring, with Magic 25, and while another reprint will definitely hurt his price, it won't completely crush it (any worse than it's already been crushed) and you'll have gotten to play with it for more than half a year.
If not, then I'd stay away. I don't think that 'Goyf is a good investment vehicle.
On ebay you are looking at around $235 for a playset (LP condition) from a single seller, or $240 for a playset (NM condition) from a combination of 4 different sellers.
For those interested, its important to remember to always double check prices by looking manually at what is actually listed for each version of a card rather than looking at something like the price as low as on the summary page for the different editions of a card (those numbers are WAY off and I'm not sure why that is, there must be a glitch in their system that doesn't update that for some reason), though it does show the correct numbers for that when you go into the individual edition of a card (IE: 2017 masters goyf specifically).
It is kind of crazy to see goyf as low as it is now, but I suppose it was inevitable as the card kept getting reprinted. Right now though it seems to be available for as low as about $60-$65 per card (shipped).
With that all said, I think its inevitable that the card will continue to get reprinted. Its a high enough value modern available card that it would be foolish for wizards to not keep reprinting it if it can help sell packs. So as was mentioned by KnickM, basically you have to decide whether you need it now for a deck (then now is a perfectly fine time to buy to be able to use it), or if not, then honestly I think waiting is fine, it will trend back up until its next reprint and then drop lower again. I don't think there really can be a theoretical bottom for the card (though I suspect there may be some resistance at the $50 level just because $200 for a set is a nice large round number and all), but inevitably it just depends on supply/demand.