In the past, when a set went out of standard rotation, the packs became less on the radar, sometimes even dropping in value a bit (I have seen booster packs from Return to Ravnica sell for $3 in shops, w/ very little movement. Sure, they rebound when print-runs run low & chase singles are sought after, but for the recent sets, I don't feel like this trend will follow.
So, w/ this knowledge, will the past 2 expansions (Zendikar & Kaladesh) keep their value or even grow quicker than past sets?
If, let's say, 6 years in the future, will packs of Battle for Zendikar be possibly $10 or more because of the lotto scratchers possibility of getting an Expedition? I know there is no crystal ball, but I am asking for speculation(s) on if said packs will rise faster on the average than their predecessors?
Honestly, I tend to look at RTR as the modern example of supply/demand finally levelling out as the playerbase as slowed in its growth since the huge surge that occurred from 2009-2012 in particular. It also depends a lot on the cards that are within the set and their inevitable demand and value. Collectors certainly go after sealed boxes which is why the older sets from before the playerbase grew like crazy tend to have absurd premiums beyond that which one can expect to get in expected value per box. The other issue as well is the continued reprinting of cards over the next several years in masters sets or commander sets or otherwise that will serve to keep down the value of many of those cards from those sets and assuming we don't get another huge surge in the playerbase over the next few years, then its likely the rather large supply of many of these boxes that are left over will tend to leave the sealed box prices down in a normal range and not really show the sorts of increases that some past sets have experienced. Also, for the expenditions/inventions and such, I suspect that even with potential alternate art and special foiling or otherwise, that the cards being reprinted in masters sets with normal foiling will be enough to cause some downside to their value to some degree at least. But that's also a long way off to consider into. The other concern as well, is that while there is the chance to pull such great cards like the expenditions/inventions, the odds of pulling one being one in several boxes is not going to have as much effect to cause the pack/box prices to rise that high.
There are a ton of factors involved of course and time will tell how the game does and how supply/demand effects will affect the prices of more recent boxes, but Honestly without there being enough modern/legacy staples in the sets in question to garner enough general pack opening demand, and with mostly the expedition lottery being the main thing people would be hunting for from it. Sure, could we see, say $4-$5 per pack ($150+) per box? Its entirely possible, but at the same time we could see the practically nothing that's happened with RTR over the last 4+ years since release.
Personally I'm staying away from investing in newer sealed boxes, outside of buying right after release, opening and then selling the singles/otherwise out of them as I did with Battle for Zendikar when it came out.
So, w/ this knowledge, will the past 2 expansions (Zendikar & Kaladesh) keep their value or even grow quicker than past sets?
If you look at an EV breakdown, you'll see that, for example, the Inventions in Aether Revolt collectively add $15 to the box price. The Zendikar expeditions have been holding pretty firm price points - I expect them to go up sluggishly, since they're known quantities and the market for them (rich people) doesn't grow very fast. That said, if they all double in price (from the opening day prices; they're all down now), which will probably take quite a few years, that'll add $30 to the EV of a box.
Math.
Private Mod Note
():
Rollback Post to RevisionRollBack
Along with many mods, I've moved shop over to MTGNexus. Come check us out!
To post a comment, please login or register a new account.
So, w/ this knowledge, will the past 2 expansions (Zendikar & Kaladesh) keep their value or even grow quicker than past sets?
If, let's say, 6 years in the future, will packs of Battle for Zendikar be possibly $10 or more because of the lotto scratchers possibility of getting an Expedition? I know there is no crystal ball, but I am asking for speculation(s) on if said packs will rise faster on the average than their predecessors?
There are a ton of factors involved of course and time will tell how the game does and how supply/demand effects will affect the prices of more recent boxes, but Honestly without there being enough modern/legacy staples in the sets in question to garner enough general pack opening demand, and with mostly the expedition lottery being the main thing people would be hunting for from it. Sure, could we see, say $4-$5 per pack ($150+) per box? Its entirely possible, but at the same time we could see the practically nothing that's happened with RTR over the last 4+ years since release.
Personally I'm staying away from investing in newer sealed boxes, outside of buying right after release, opening and then selling the singles/otherwise out of them as I did with Battle for Zendikar when it came out.
If you look at an EV breakdown, you'll see that, for example, the Inventions in Aether Revolt collectively add $15 to the box price. The Zendikar expeditions have been holding pretty firm price points - I expect them to go up sluggishly, since they're known quantities and the market for them (rich people) doesn't grow very fast. That said, if they all double in price (from the opening day prices; they're all down now), which will probably take quite a few years, that'll add $30 to the EV of a box.
Math.