^for the record, Maze of Ith is the FtV art, not new.
I'm aware (I have 17 FTV Mazes!), but the purpose of this exercise is a comparison to judge foil art, so for this purpose I've classified it as new. But, it is a unique circumstance. I've decided to also track the FTV cost.
Ah I gotcha.
As long as we're nitpicking, the Factory art is from Duel Decks: Elspeth vs Tezzzzzzzzzzeret.
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Here are the list of Judge Foils being reprinted in Eternal Masters, a mention of if the reprint has the same art, new art, or different art as the judge foil (as is the case of Maze of Ith and Mishra's Factory, which are neither new art, or judge foil art).
The first price and date reflect the price of the judge foil on the date the card was spoiled. The second price and date reflects the price on release date (6/10). All prices are based on TCGP Low, for a shipped near mint copy. I'll revisit this periodically, so we can see the effects the reprints had on these cards.
One week after EMA's release, and the set has had minimal impact on judge foils, with the exception of FOW and Natural Order.
The first price and date reflect the price of the judge foil on the date the card was spoiled. All prices are based on TCGP Low, for a shipped near mint copy. The percent change indicated after the most recent date is a reflection of the percent change from the date the card was first spoiled, and not a percent change from the previous update. I'll revisit this periodically, so we can see the effects the reprints had on these cards.
It's now been close to 6 weeks since the release of Eternal Masters, and here are the results reprints have had on the value of judge foils.
The first price and date reflect the price of the judge foil on the date the card was spoiled. All prices are based on TCGP Low, for a shipped near mint copy. The percent change indicated after the most recent date is a reflection of the percent change from the date the card was first spoiled, and not a percent change from the previous update. I'll revisit this periodically, so we can see the effects the reprints had on these cards.
Of the 18 reprints, a full 1/3 of them have seen drops of 27% or greater (FOW -49%, Vindicate -40%, Dualcaster -36%, Natural Order -34%, Shardless Agent -28%, and Sneak Attack -27%). With the exception of FOW, the judge foils that lost the most values were ones whose art went unchanged in Eternal Masters. Overall, the 18 cards have lost a total of $518 (from $2071 to $1553, a total of 25%. However, FOW is responsible for a significant chunk of that, and if removed, cards have lost $139, or 11% of their original total (from $1296 to $1157).
Of the 18 reprints, a full 1/3 of them have seen drops of 27% or greater (FOW -49%, Vindicate -40%, Dualcaster -36%, Natural Order -34%, Shardless Agent -28%, and Sneak Attack -27%). With the exception of FOW, the judge foils that lost the most values were ones whose art went unchanged in Eternal Masters. Overall, the 18 cards have lost a total of $518 (from $2071 to $1553, a total of 25%. However, FOW is responsible for a significant chunk of that, and if removed, cards have lost $139, or 11% of their original total (from $1296 to $1157).
Thank you for the comprehensive analysis.
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To me it looks like the ones where demand was already soft are the droppers. Very few people were actually willing to spend that much on judge fow.
Cheers
That makes sense, although NO and Sneak Attack surprise me with how much they've dropped. I guess that it's because they're played so much, people just want any copy, so with more copies in circulation people were free to dump their judge foils for "less pimp" versions that did the same thing. I'm thinking that their recovery will be slower.
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As long as we're nitpicking, the Factory art is from Duel Decks: Elspeth vs Tezzzzzzzzzzeret.
The first price and date reflect the price of the judge foil on the date the card was spoiled. The second price and date reflects the price on release date (6/10). All prices are based on TCGP Low, for a shipped near mint copy. I'll revisit this periodically, so we can see the effects the reprints had on these cards.
FOW (new art): $775 (2/15); $361 (6/10) -53%
Wasteland (new art): $150 (2010 Judge promo) (2/15); $126 (6/10) -16%
Mana Crypt (judge promo art): $225 (5/23); $223 (6/10) -1%
Sneak Attack (judge promo art): $60 (5/23); $46 (6/10) -23%
Maze of Ith (different art): $104 (5/23) (FTV foil with this art was $24 on 5/23); $103 (6/10) -1% (FTV foil is $18, -25%)
Karakas (judge promo art): $150 (5/24); $136 (6/10) -9%
Mishra's Factory (different art): $50 (5/24); $43 (6/10) -14%
Vindicate (2013 judge promo art): $35 (5/25); $34 (6/10) -3%
Natural Order (judge promo art): $173 (5/25); $137 (6/10) -21%
Sinkhole (new art): $47 (5/26); $45 (6/10) -4%
Argothian Enchantress (judge promo art): $53 (5/26); $51 (6/10) -4%
Karmic Guide (judge promo art): $27 (5/26); $24 (6/10) -11%
Dualcaster Mage (judge promo art): $14 (5/26); $12 (6/10) -14%
Vampiric Tutor (new art): $76 (5/26); $76 (6/10) -0%
Shardless Agent (judge promo art): $50 (5/26); $64 (6/10) +28%
Balance (judge promo art): $31 (5/26); $28 (6/10) -10%
Entomb (new art): $28 (5/26); $38 (6/10) +36%
The first price and date reflect the price of the judge foil on the date the card was spoiled. All prices are based on TCGP Low, for a shipped near mint copy. The percent change indicated after the most recent date is a reflection of the percent change from the date the card was first spoiled, and not a percent change from the previous update. I'll revisit this periodically, so we can see the effects the reprints had on these cards.
FOW (new art): $775 (spoiled 2/15)
6/10: $361
6/17: $361 (-53%)
Wasteland (new art): $150 (2010 Judge promo) (spoiled 2/15)
6/10: $126
6/17: $129 (-14%)
Mana Crypt (judge promo art): $225 (spoiled 5/23)
6/10: $223
6/17: $223 (-1%)
Sneak Attack (judge promo art): $60 (spoiled 5/23)
6/10: $46
6/17: $51 (-15%)
Maze of Ith (different art (from the judge foil)): $104 (spoiled 5/23)
6/10: $103
6/17: $101 (-3%)
Karakas (judge promo art): $150 (spoiled 5/24)
6/10: $136
6/17: $149 (-1%)
Mishra's Factory (different art (from the judge foil)): $50 (spoiled 5/24)
6/10: $43
6/17: $51 (+2%)
Vindicate (2013 judge promo art): $35 (spoiled 5/25)
6/10: $34
6/17: $34 (-3%)
Natural Order (judge promo art): $173 (spoiled 5/25)
6/10: $137
6/17: $133 (-23%)
Sinkhole (new art): $47 (spoiled 5/26)
6/10: $45
6/17: $45 (-4%)
Argothian Enchantress (judge promo art): $53 (spoiled 5/26)
6/10: $51
6/17: $53 (0%)
Karmic Guide (judge promo art): $27 (spoiled 5/26)
6/10: $24
6/17: $24 (-11%)
Dualcaster Mage (judge promo art): $14 (spoiled 5/26)
6/10: $12
6/17: $12 (-14%)
Vampiric Tutor (new art): $76 (spoiled 5/26)
6/10: $76
6/17: $76 (0%)
Shardless Agent (judge promo art): $50 (spoiled 5/26)
6/10: $64
6/17: $55 (+10%)
Balance (judge promo art): $31 (spoiled 5/26)
6/10: $28
6/17: $28 (-10%)
Entomb (new art): $28 (spoiled 5/26)
6/10: $38
6/17: $36 (+29%)
Counterspell (new art): $23 (spoiled 5/24)
6/10: $23
6/17: $28 (+22%)
The first price and date reflect the price of the judge foil on the date the card was spoiled. All prices are based on TCGP Low, for a shipped near mint copy. The percent change indicated after the most recent date is a reflection of the percent change from the date the card was first spoiled, and not a percent change from the previous update. I'll revisit this periodically, so we can see the effects the reprints had on these cards.
FOW (new art): $775 (spoiled 2/15)
6/10: $361
6/17: $361
7/19: $396 (-49%)
Wasteland (new art): $150 (2010 Judge promo) (spoiled 2/15)
6/10: $126
6/17: $129
7/19: $129 (-14%)
Mana Crypt (judge promo art): $225 (spoiled 5/23)
6/10: $223
6/17: $223
7/19: $220 (-2%)
Sneak Attack (judge promo art): $60 (spoiled 5/23)
6/10: $46
6/17: $51
7/19: $44 (-27%)
Maze of Ith (different art (from the judge foil)): $104 (spoiled 5/23)
6/10: $103
6/17: $101
7/19: $96 (-8%)
Karakas (judge promo art): $150 (spoiled 5/24)
6/10: $136
6/17: $149
7/19: $146 (-3%)
Mishra's Factory (different art (from the judge foil)): $50 (spoiled 5/24)
6/10: $43
6/17: $51
7/19: $43 (-14%)
Vindicate (2013 judge promo art): $35 (spoiled 5/25)
6/10: $34
6/17: $34
7/19: $21 (-40%)
Natural Order (judge promo art): $173 (spoiled 5/25)
6/10: $137
6/17: $133
7/19: $114 (-34%)
Sinkhole (new art): $47 (spoiled 5/26)
6/10: $45
6/17: $45
7/19: $45 (-4%)
Argothian Enchantress (judge promo art): $53 (spoiled 5/26)
6/10: $51
6/17: $53
7/19: $54 (+2%)
Karmic Guide (judge promo art): $27 (spoiled 5/26)
6/10: $24
6/17: $24
7/19: $24 (-11%)
Dualcaster Mage (judge promo art): $14 (spoiled 5/26)
6/10: $12
6/17: $12
7/19: $9 (-36%)
Vampiric Tutor (new art): $76 (spoiled 5/26)
6/10: $76
6/17: $76
7/19: $84 (+11%)
Shardless Agent (judge promo art): $50 (spoiled 5/26)
6/10: $64
6/17: $55
7/19: $36 (-28%)
Balance (judge promo art): $31 (spoiled 5/26)
6/10: $28
6/17: $28
7/19: $26 (-16%)
Entomb (new art): $28 (spoiled 5/26)
6/10: $38
6/17: $36
7/19: $34 (+21%)
Counterspell (new art): $23 (spoiled 5/24)
6/10: $23
6/17: $28
7/19: $32 (+39%)
Of the 18 reprints, a full 1/3 of them have seen drops of 27% or greater (FOW -49%, Vindicate -40%, Dualcaster -36%, Natural Order -34%, Shardless Agent -28%, and Sneak Attack -27%). With the exception of FOW, the judge foils that lost the most values were ones whose art went unchanged in Eternal Masters. Overall, the 18 cards have lost a total of $518 (from $2071 to $1553, a total of 25%. However, FOW is responsible for a significant chunk of that, and if removed, cards have lost $139, or 11% of their original total (from $1296 to $1157).
Thank you for the comprehensive analysis.
Cheers
That makes sense, although NO and Sneak Attack surprise me with how much they've dropped. I guess that it's because they're played so much, people just want any copy, so with more copies in circulation people were free to dump their judge foils for "less pimp" versions that did the same thing. I'm thinking that their recovery will be slower.