If they are doing Khans fetches in Fate Reforged *exactly* like they did shocklands in DGM, you can probably expect to see a little less than one per box.
The Shocklands in DGM each showed up about 1/4th as often as the original version did in RtR/GTC. This meant that you'd get *any* shockland about 1/2 as often as getting any shockland in RtR/GTC, since there were twice as many total shocklands available. If they keep Fetches showing up 1/4th as often each as they did in Khans, then they'll show up at a rate of about one fetchland per 40-50 packs.
There are 53 rares in Khans. 7/8 packs have a rare in them, meaning if you open 8 packs, you'll get 7 rares. This means that if you open 53*8/7 packs (~60), you should get 53 rares (or, on average, one of each rare). So that means that you get, on average, 5 fetches in 60 packs, or 1 fetch per 12 packs.
If Fetches are 4 times harder to get in FRF, that would make for 1 fetch per 48 packs)
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The Shocklands in DGM each showed up about 1/4th as often as the original version did in RtR/GTC. This meant that you'd get *any* shockland about 1/2 as often as getting any shockland in RtR/GTC, since there were twice as many total shocklands available. If they keep Fetches showing up 1/4th as often each as they did in Khans, then they'll show up at a rate of about one fetchland per 40-50 packs.
There are 53 rares in Khans. 7/8 packs have a rare in them, meaning if you open 8 packs, you'll get 7 rares. This means that if you open 53*8/7 packs (~60), you should get 53 rares (or, on average, one of each rare). So that means that you get, on average, 5 fetches in 60 packs, or 1 fetch per 12 packs.
If Fetches are 4 times harder to get in FRF, that would make for 1 fetch per 48 packs)
Currently Playing:
Legacy: Something U/W Controlish
EDH Cube
Hypercube! A New EDH Deck Every Week(ish)!