Magic Market Index for Sep 6th, 2018

Welcome to The Magic Market Index. This weekly article series documents the price changes of cards currently in print, and offers insight into what cards to invest in and what to ignore. This weekly article series covers all expansion sets and masterpiece series sets in Standard, from the time of their prerelease to the time of their rotation out of Standard. Promotional sets, special sets, pack foils, and non-set releases are not covered.

All pricing is based on TCGPlayer's Market Price.


Set Overview
Metric 09/06 08/30 08/23 08/16 ± Week ± Month
Rare Slot Average: $1.32$1.39$1.67$1.83-$0.07-$0.51
Buy-A-Box Promo: $21.56$20.72$19.67$24.19$0.84-$2.63
Total Set Value: $139.97$148.05$175.48$190.68-$8.08-$50.71
Booster Box EV: $53.47$56.56$67.37$73.29-$3.09-$19.82
Hit Over Miss: 271%269%266%264%1.78%7.05%
Top 5 Movers
Card 09/06 08/30 08/23 08/16 ± Week ± Month
Sarkhan, Fireblood $11.73$13.83$15.81$16.98-$2.10-$5.25
Liliana, Untouched by Death $5.48$6.78$7.89$8.87-$1.30-$3.39
Resplendent Angel $8.19$9.06$10.39$12.57-$0.87-$4.38
Tezzeret, Artifice Master $6.77$7.53$10.99$11.22-$0.76-$4.45
Arcades, the Strategist $4.11$4.81$5.64$5.87-$0.70-$1.76
Top Cards
Card 09/06 08/30 08/23 08/16 ± Week ± Month
Nicol Bolas, the Ravager $23.11$23.53$30.42$32.98-$0.42-$9.87
Crucible of Worlds $14.16$14.54$18.06$19.19-$0.38-$5.03
Sarkhan, Fireblood $11.73$13.83$15.81$16.98-$2.10-$5.25
Scapeshift $8.44$8.86$9.85$10.98-$0.42-$2.54
Resplendent Angel $8.19$9.06$10.39$12.57-$0.87-$4.38
Ajani, Adversary of Tyrants $7.04$7.30$9.48$10.26-$0.26-$3.22
Tezzeret, Artifice Master $6.77$7.53$10.99$11.22-$0.76-$4.45
Vivien Reid $5.95$6.31$7.58$8.09-$0.36-$2.14
Liliana, Untouched by Death $5.48$6.78$7.89$8.87-$1.30-$3.39
Omniscience $4.35$4.73$5.30$5.82-$0.38-$1.47
Arcades, the Strategist $4.11$4.81$5.64$5.87-$0.70-$1.76
Sai, Master Thopterist $3.21$3.11$3.36$3.49$0.10-$0.28
Death Baron $2.76$2.78$3.08$3.48-$0.02-$0.72
Supreme Phantom $2.52$2.65$2.75$3.13-$0.13-$0.61
Chromium, the Mutable $2.38$2.77$3.89$4.55-$0.39-$2.17
 
Commentary
Our honeymoon phase with the newest set is definitely over, as Core 2019 has had a dramatic fall this past month. Booster box expected value has dropped $20, and it's been three weeks of solid decline across the board. We've hit a point where even the set's hit value barely pays for its box, and this set will need a strong bounce back soon if it wants to be at all worthwhile in the financial department. Bluntly: this is tracking worse than Dominaria's fall, which is definitely worrisome.
Set Overview
Metric 09/06 08/30 08/23 08/16 ± Week ± Month
Rare Slot Average: $1.73$1.67$1.62$1.61$0.06$0.12
Buy-A-Box Promo: $2.14$2.33$2.58$2.72-$0.19-$0.58
Total Set Value: $183.73$176.92$172.39$170.83$6.81$12.90
Booster Box EV: $73.85$71.73$69.63$68.03$2.12$5.82
Hit Over Miss: 403%404%402%401%-0.72%2.27%
Top 5 Movers
Card 09/06 08/30 08/23 08/16 ± Week ± Month
Teferi, Hero of Dominaria $44.76$41.25$38.94$36.26$3.51$8.50
Karn, Scion of Urza $27.34$28.44$28.16$29.19-$1.10-$1.85
Lyra Dawnbringer $11.99$11.31$11.49$11.81$0.68$0.18
History of Benalia $9.30$8.91$8.34$9.14$0.39$0.16
Muldrotha, the Gravetide $2.34$2.00$1.89$1.92$0.34$0.42
Top Cards
Card 09/06 08/30 08/23 08/16 ± Week ± Month
Teferi, Hero of Dominaria $44.76$41.25$38.94$36.26$3.51$8.50
Karn, Scion of Urza $27.34$28.44$28.16$29.19-$1.10-$1.85
Lyra Dawnbringer $11.99$11.31$11.49$11.81$0.68$0.18
Mox Amber $9.89$9.56$9.55$9.98$0.33-$0.09
History of Benalia $9.30$8.91$8.34$9.14$0.39$0.16
Sulfur Falls $4.27$4.15$4.06$3.99$0.12$0.28
Steel Leaf Champion $3.77$3.51$3.25$3.19$0.26$0.58
Jaya Ballard $3.64$3.62$3.61$3.73$0.02-$0.09
Goblin Chainwhirler $3.59$3.77$3.44$3.80-$0.18-$0.21
Woodland Cemetery $3.30$3.19$3.15$3.08$0.11$0.22
Isolated Chapel $2.79$2.78$2.59$2.58$0.01$0.21
Gilded Lotus $2.76$2.59$2.62$2.64$0.17$0.12
Verix Bladewing $2.66$2.56$2.27$2.34$0.10$0.32
Hinterland Harbor $2.45$2.33$2.14$1.96$0.12$0.49
Shalai, Voice of Plenty $2.39$2.40$2.37$2.39-$0.01$0.00
Muldrotha, the Gravetide $2.34$2.00$1.89$1.92$0.34$0.42
Helm of the Host $2.06$2.10$2.00$2.05-$0.04$0.01
 
Commentary
Dominaria continues to climb out of the hole, posting its sixth consecutive week of growth. Dominaria had a massive slump, and while it still remains top heavy, there's starting to be light at the end of the tunnel. All it needs is to add some more value in the middle, spreading its wealth more towards the average rare, and it very well might redeem itself.
Set Overview
Metric 09/06 08/30 08/23 08/16 ± Week ± Month
Rare Slot Average: $1.85$1.84$1.85$1.85$0.01$0.00
Buy-A-Box Promo: $0.16$0.15$0.16$0.14$0.01$0.02
Total Set Value: $158.38$157.11$156.35$155.83$1.27$2.55
Booster Box EV: $79.44$78.09$79.20$79.37$1.35$0.07
Hit Over Miss: 244%244%247%253%-0.13%-8.85%
Top 5 Movers
Card 09/06 08/30 08/23 08/16 ± Week ± Month
Twilight Prophet $7.84$7.15$7.31$7.01$0.69$0.83
Ghalta, Primal Hunger $8.91$8.48$10.14$10.97$0.43-$2.06
Nezahal, Primal Tide $2.29$2.67$2.01$1.94-$0.38$0.35
Rekindling Phoenix $22.00$22.34$22.39$21.81-$0.34$0.19
Jadelight Ranger $4.87$4.56$5.49$6.08$0.31-$1.21
Top Cards
Card 09/06 08/30 08/23 08/16 ± Week ± Month
Rekindling Phoenix $22.00$22.34$22.39$21.81-$0.34$0.19
The Immortal Sun $11.17$11.38$10.78$11.25-$0.21-$0.08
Zacama, Primal Calamity $9.87$10.14$9.27$9.58-$0.27$0.29
Ghalta, Primal Hunger $8.91$8.48$10.14$10.97$0.43-$2.06
Twilight Prophet $7.84$7.15$7.31$7.01$0.69$0.83
Elenda, the Dusk Rose $6.95$6.95$6.85$6.24$0.00$0.71
Angrath, the Flame-Chained $5.88$5.79$5.25$5.70$0.09$0.18
Kumena, Tyrant of Orazca $5.40$5.44$4.96$4.85-$0.04$0.55
Wayward Swordtooth $5.17$5.16$5.24$4.78$0.01$0.39
Huatli, Radiant Champion $5.14$5.14$5.38$5.40$0.00-$0.26
Jadelight Ranger $4.87$4.56$5.49$6.08$0.31-$1.21
Etali, Primal Storm $4.37$4.21$4.26$4.26$0.16$0.11
Tendershoot Dryad $3.72$3.66$3.79$3.93$0.06-$0.21
Azor's Gateway $3.71$3.59$3.19$3.11$0.12$0.60
Radiant Destiny $3.23$3.00$3.12$2.91$0.23$0.32
Polyraptor $2.76$2.80$2.88$2.79-$0.04-$0.03
Dire Fleet Daredevil $2.42$2.44$2.62$2.72-$0.02-$0.30
Timestream Navigator $2.38$2.45$2.38$2.07-$0.07$0.31
Nezahal, Primal Tide $2.29$2.67$2.01$1.94-$0.38$0.35
 
Commentary
Rivals remains steady, inching only slightly forward through a wide web of changes. Although numerous cards made movement, there's nothing of real significance. As the second most profitable set in standard, no news is good news.
Set Overview
Metric 09/06 08/30 08/23 08/16 ± Week ± Month
Rare Slot Average: $1.87$1.80$1.83$1.85$0.07$0.02
Buy-A-Box Promo: $0.17$0.20$0.26$0.24-$0.03-$0.07
Total Set Value: $176.88$172.33$173.76$175.16$4.55$1.72
Booster Box EV: $86.42$84.94$85.19$85.22$1.48$1.20
Hit Over Miss: 251%243%243%244%7.58%6.96%
Top 5 Movers
Card 09/06 08/30 08/23 08/16 ± Week ± Month
Search for Azcanta $19.77$16.96$16.46$16.76$2.81$3.01
Carnage Tyrant $16.81$16.23$16.52$16.43$0.58$0.38
Vraska's Contempt $13.47$12.97$14.08$13.98$0.50-$0.51
Unclaimed Territory $1.44$1.89$1.79$1.76-$0.45-$0.32
Drowned Catacomb $4.92$4.49$4.75$4.76$0.43$0.16
Top Cards
Card 09/06 08/30 08/23 08/16 ± Week ± Month
Search for Azcanta $19.77$16.96$16.46$16.76$2.81$3.01
Carnage Tyrant $16.81$16.23$16.52$16.43$0.58$0.38
Vraska's Contempt $13.47$12.97$14.08$13.98$0.50-$0.51
Vraska, Relic Seeker $7.59$7.73$7.73$8.00-$0.14-$0.41
Settle the Wreckage $6.36$6.46$6.27$6.31-$0.10$0.05
Growing Rites of Itlimoc $5.47$5.14$5.06$5.50$0.33-$0.03
Glacial Fortress $5.06$4.94$5.06$4.63$0.12$0.43
Drowned Catacomb $4.92$4.49$4.75$4.76$0.43$0.16
Sunpetal Grove $3.75$3.57$3.74$3.71$0.18$0.04
Treasure Map $3.69$3.85$3.92$4.03-$0.16-$0.34
Vanquisher's Banner $3.48$3.54$3.50$3.55-$0.06-$0.07
Rootbound Crag $3.24$3.30$3.07$3.37-$0.06-$0.13
Sorcerous Spyglass $3.17$3.21$3.08$3.41-$0.04-$0.24
Gishath, Sun's Avatar $3.12$2.84$2.99$2.98$0.28$0.14
Dragonskull Summit $3.12$3.17$3.22$3.19-$0.05-$0.07
Jace, Cunning Castaway $2.94$2.92$2.78$2.65$0.02$0.29
Legion's Landing $2.92$2.63$2.68$2.81$0.29$0.11
Field of Ruin $2.81$3.21$3.02$3.00-$0.40-$0.19
Huatli, Warrior Poet $2.79$2.80$2.79$2.90-$0.01-$0.11
Ripjaw Raptor $2.78$2.88$3.03$3.11-$0.10-$0.33
Siren Stormtamer $2.74$2.71$2.41$2.43$0.03$0.31
Thaumatic Compass $2.71$2.73$2.79$2.71-$0.02$0.00
Hostage Taker $2.48$2.22$2.13$2.06$0.26$0.42
Shapers' Sanctuary $2.25$2.17$2.35$2.52$0.08-$0.27
Vona, Butcher of Magan $2.16$2.24$2.24$2.24-$0.08-$0.08
 
Commentary
Search for Azcanta takes a strong step forward this week, nearing the $20 mark. This is in part due to the new Dimir mechanic from the upcoming Guilds of Ravnica being revealed: Surveil. It's a twist on scry, allowing you to put cards straight into the graveyard - something that makes Search for Azcanta work even quicker. Although Search for Azcanta was already a top card, this is a good time to remind you that as we spoil a new set, individual card values can sway drastically. Something as simple as a strong removal card, for instance, could have a major impact and send Vraska's Contempt into a valuation free fall.
Set Overview
Metric 09/06 08/30 08/23 08/16 ± Week ± Month
Rare Slot Average: $1.27$1.29$1.29$1.33-$0.01-$0.06
Buy-A-Box Promo: $0.29$0.29$0.31$0.39$0.00-$0.10
Total Set Value: $95.91$97.35$98.14$100.45-$1.44-$4.54
Booster Box EV: $66.58$68.43$70.10$71.91-$1.85-$5.33
Hit Over Miss: 437%437%439%419%0.11%17.76%
Top 5 Movers
Card 09/06 08/30 08/23 08/16 ± Week ± Month
The Scarab God $13.54$14.38$13.63$13.81-$0.84-$0.27
Abrade $1.35$2.16$2.01$2.24-$0.81-$0.89
Nicol Bolas, God-Pharaoh $6.15$5.65$6.52$6.70$0.50-$0.55
Razaketh, the Foulblooded $7.20$6.72$7.67$7.95$0.48-$0.75
Majestic Myriarch $0.63$1.09$1.09$0.62-$0.46$0.01
Top Cards
Card 09/06 08/30 08/23 08/16 ± Week ± Month
The Scarab God $13.54$14.38$13.63$13.81-$0.84-$0.27
Razaketh, the Foulblooded $7.20$6.72$7.67$7.95$0.48-$0.75
Nicol Bolas, God-Pharaoh $6.15$5.65$6.52$6.70$0.50-$0.55
The Locust God $6.11$5.96$5.78$5.99$0.15$0.12
Torment of Hailfire $5.10$5.40$4.94$5.47-$0.30-$0.37
Crested Sunmare $4.86$5.02$5.48$5.08-$0.16-$0.22
Neheb, the Eternal $4.48$4.41$4.90$4.64$0.07-$0.16
Ramunap Excavator $3.84$3.66$3.75$3.59$0.18$0.25
Mirage Mirror $3.17$3.19$3.22$2.61-$0.02$0.56
Nimble Obstructionist $3.13$3.26$2.90$2.82-$0.13$0.31
Fraying Sanity $2.62$2.64$2.21$2.61-$0.02$0.01
Overwhelming Splendor $2.39$2.08$1.94$2.00$0.31$0.39
 
Commentary
"The end is nigh!" and Hour of Devstation has little to show for it this week. We're four weeks away from rotation, and there's little time for current Standard to make an impact here.
Set Overview
Metric 09/06 08/30 08/23 08/16 ± Week ± Month
Rare Slot Average: $1.10$1.15$1.20$1.26-$0.05-$0.16
Buy-A-Box Promo: $0.41$0.40$0.34$0.44$0.01-$0.03
Total Set Value: $111.33$116.24$118.01$122.58-$4.91-$11.25
Booster Box EV: $60.09$62.88$63.23$61.99-$2.79-$1.90
Hit Over Miss: 455%456%431%424%-0.53%31.46%
Top 5 Movers
Card 09/06 08/30 08/23 08/16 ± Week ± Month
Rhonas the Indomitable $11.47$12.40$12.72$12.83-$0.93-$1.36
Gideon of the Trials $5.97$6.65$6.11$7.10-$0.68-$1.13
Liliana, Death's Majesty $8.20$8.83$9.45$10.30-$0.63-$2.10
Hazoret the Fervent $3.93$4.40$4.88$5.17-$0.47-$1.24
Dread Wanderer $1.39$1.86$2.17$2.09-$0.47-$0.70
Top Cards
Card 09/06 08/30 08/23 08/16 ± Week ± Month
Rhonas the Indomitable $11.47$12.40$12.72$12.83-$0.93-$1.36
Liliana, Death's Majesty $8.20$8.83$9.45$10.30-$0.63-$2.10
Gideon of the Trials $5.97$6.65$6.11$7.10-$0.68-$1.13
Anointed Procession $5.68$5.66$5.12$5.52$0.02$0.16
As Foretold $5.57$5.68$5.76$5.87-$0.11-$0.30
Hazoret the Fervent $3.93$4.40$4.88$5.17-$0.47-$1.24
Nissa, Steward of Elements $3.70$3.46$3.98$3.96$0.24-$0.26
Canyon Slough $3.43$3.50$3.84$3.84-$0.07-$0.41
Fetid Pools $3.24$3.46$3.64$3.73-$0.22-$0.49
Vizier of the Menagerie $2.82$2.85$2.92$3.04-$0.03-$0.22
Combat Celebrant $2.35$2.24$2.02$2.34$0.11$0.01
Scattered Groves $2.09$2.00$2.06$1.98$0.09$0.11
Lord of the Accursed $2.06$2.30$1.52$1.68-$0.24$0.38
Oketra the True $2.05$1.99$2.08$2.22$0.06-$0.17
 
Commentary
Prices continue to fall, and we're at prime rotation buying time. Gideon of the Trials, Hazoret the Fervent, and Nissa, Steward of Elements have each hit their all-time lowest price this week. If they fail to get any foothold in Modern or the eternal formats, they might drop lower over time, but I even then, I wouldn't expect them to fall much further. If you've been eyeing any of these three, now's a good time to pick them up.
Set Overview
Metric 09/06 08/30 08/23 08/16 ± Week ± Month
AKH Average: $52.10$52.25$52.32$52.22-$0.15-$0.12
HOU Average: $52.49$52.50$52.90$52.91-$0.02-$0.43
AKH Box EV: $13.02$13.06$13.08$13.06-$0.04-$0.03
HOU Box EV: $13.12$13.13$13.23$13.23$0.00-$0.11
Total Set Value: $2,464.32$2,468.26$2,474.98$2,471.76-$3.94-$7.44
Top 5 Movers
Card 09/06 08/30 08/23 08/16 ± Week ± Month
Daze $76.86$79.15$78.60$78.60-$2.29-$1.74
Counterbalance $39.10$38.11$37.71$37.71$0.99$1.39
Pact of Negation $49.11$49.91$50.26$50.32-$0.80-$1.21
Shatterstorm $22.85$23.63$23.63$23.51-$0.78-$0.66
Damnation $104.43$103.77$103.48$103.20$0.66$1.23
Top Cards
Card 09/06 08/30 08/23 08/16 ± Week ± Month
Force of Will $209.73$209.34$212.77$212.77$0.39-$3.04
Thoughtseize $168.53$168.41$172.01$172.09$0.12-$3.56
Blood Moon $158.77$158.77$161.92$159.67$0.00-$0.90
Omniscience $113.37$113.77$116.44$117.36-$0.40-$3.99
Damnation $104.43$103.77$103.48$103.20$0.66$1.23
The Scarab God $95.01$94.81$94.81$95.82$0.20-$0.81
Through the Breach $91.35$91.80$90.79$90.79-$0.45$0.56
Hazoret the Fervent $86.43$86.43$86.43$86.43$0.00$0.00
Cryptic Command $81.26$81.26$81.26$81.50$0.00-$0.24
Daze $76.86$79.15$78.60$78.60-$2.29-$1.74
Maelstrom Pulse $68.28$68.68$68.08$68.08-$0.40$0.20
Consecrated Sphinx $67.10$67.70$67.98$67.98-$0.60-$0.88
Counterspell $60.49$60.63$59.91$60.08-$0.14$0.41
Containment Priest $56.43$55.81$55.81$54.61$0.62$1.82
Rhonas the Indomitable $56.40$56.40$56.40$56.40$0.00$0.00
Entomb $54.45$54.35$53.95$53.76$0.10$0.69
Dark Ritual $53.49$53.93$53.93$53.93-$0.44-$0.44
Spell Pierce $51.53$51.53$51.57$51.73$0.00-$0.20
The Locust God $49.61$49.33$49.33$48.94$0.28$0.67
Pact of Negation $49.11$49.91$50.26$50.32-$0.80-$1.21
Wrath of God $49.01$49.01$48.84$48.22$0.00$0.79
No Mercy $45.42$45.42$45.42$46.78$0.00-$1.36
Stifle $44.08$44.08$42.88$42.88$0.00$1.20
Diabolic Intent $42.80$42.80$42.80$41.60$0.00$1.20
Choke $40.68$40.65$40.65$40.65$0.03$0.03
Capsize $40.09$40.09$40.09$40.22$0.00-$0.13
Counterbalance $39.10$38.11$37.71$37.71$0.99$1.39
Lord of Extinction $35.47$35.39$35.39$35.39$0.08$0.08
Worship $34.47$34.47$33.82$33.82$0.00$0.65
Diabolic Edict $32.63$32.87$32.87$32.87-$0.24-$0.24
Austere Command $32.51$32.51$32.51$32.35$0.00$0.16
Aggravated Assault $32.05$32.23$32.23$32.28-$0.18-$0.23
Armageddon $31.80$31.80$31.69$31.49$0.00$0.31
Chain Lightning $31.24$31.88$31.88$31.88-$0.64-$0.64
Mind Twist $30.00$30.18$30.32$30.37-$0.18-$0.37
Vindicate $29.60$29.62$29.62$29.40-$0.02$0.20
Loyal Retainers $29.16$29.16$29.16$29.59$0.00-$0.43
The Scorpion God $28.41$28.37$28.37$28.45$0.04-$0.04
Attrition $28.06$28.42$28.42$28.25-$0.36-$0.19
Forbid $28.04$28.02$27.77$27.66$0.02$0.38
Doomsday $27.19$26.63$28.36$28.92$0.56-$1.73
Aven Mindcensor $25.89$25.87$25.83$25.83$0.02$0.06
Slaughter Pact $25.15$24.82$24.82$24.82$0.33$0.33
Bontu the Glorified $24.46$24.46$24.52$24.34$0.00$0.12
Oketra the True $24.06$23.84$23.86$24.00$0.22$0.06
Kefnet the Mindful $23.90$23.96$24.15$23.57-$0.06$0.33
Opposition $23.00$23.60$23.84$23.72-$0.60-$0.72
Shatterstorm $22.85$23.63$23.63$23.51-$0.78-$0.66
Avatar of Woe $20.61$20.77$20.77$20.49-$0.16$0.12
Desolation Angel $19.85$19.85$19.67$19.33$0.00$0.52
Boil $19.66$19.73$19.67$19.81-$0.07-$0.15
Sunder $19.52$19.56$19.60$19.55-$0.04-$0.03
Divert $19.22$19.26$19.26$19.28-$0.04-$0.06
Threads of Disloyalty $18.21$18.21$18.30$18.38$0.00-$0.17
 
Commentary
One of the small drawbacks of using market price is that if a card wasn't sold during the week, its market price will remain the same. While this implies stagnation, it's not as readily visible or completely reliable. This week, however, most of Invocations had sales, and the stagnation here is directly visible. The average Invocation masterpiece has a price tag just over $50, but only a single card - Daze - managed to move more than $1. Prices have plateaued across the board, and they will remain where they are for some time.
Set Overview
Metric 09/06 08/30 08/23 08/16 ± Week ± Month
Rare Slot Average: $1.35$1.37$1.34$1.38-$0.02-$0.03
Buy-A-Box Promo: $1.86$2.03$1.74$1.59-$0.17$0.27
Total Set Value: $95.56$96.88$95.46$97.90-$1.32-$2.34
Booster Box EV: $81.44$82.90$82.48$84.43-$1.46-$3.00
Hit Over Miss: 671%661%652%630%10.25%41.5%
Top 5 Movers
Card 09/06 08/30 08/23 08/16 ± Week ± Month
Heroic Intervention $5.22$6.10$5.97$6.17-$0.88-$0.95
Rishkar's Expertise $1.91$2.36$1.83$2.47-$0.45-$0.56
Walking Ballista $12.17$11.75$11.01$10.82$0.42$1.35
Whir of Invention $2.24$1.84$2.06$2.09$0.40$0.15
Fatal Push $3.92$4.27$4.45$4.69-$0.35-$0.77
Top Cards
Card 09/06 08/30 08/23 08/16 ± Week ± Month
Paradox Engine $15.94$16.21$15.54$15.56-$0.27$0.38
Walking Ballista $12.17$11.75$11.01$10.82$0.42$1.35
Metallic Mimic $6.12$5.81$5.69$6.14$0.31-$0.02
Baral, Chief of Compliance $5.41$5.09$5.05$5.11$0.32$0.30
Heroic Intervention $5.22$6.10$5.97$6.17-$0.88-$0.95
Disallow $3.94$4.23$5.22$5.34-$0.29-$1.40
Fatal Push $3.92$4.27$4.45$4.69-$0.35-$0.77
Mechanized Production $3.71$3.72$3.49$3.60-$0.01$0.11
Planar Bridge $2.99$3.13$2.73$2.75-$0.14$0.24
Ajani Unyielding $2.67$2.72$2.93$2.89-$0.05-$0.22
Whir of Invention $2.24$1.84$2.06$2.09$0.40$0.15
Gifted Aetherborn $2.09$2.08$2.21$2.29$0.01-$0.20
 
Commentary
As expected, movement here is directly dependent on the card's value in non-Standard formats. This is especially true for Modern-playable cards, such as Whir of Invention and Walking Ballista. Whir of Invention sees significant play in Lantern Control and has even begun making a splash in some KCI decks. Walking Ballista is a key card in Hardened Modular. Others, such as Metallic Mimic, can survive by being a casual all star with occasional eternal play. The rest, like Ajani Unyielding, will fall to abysmal levels with only a slight hint of their Standard life price.
Set Overview
Metric 09/06 08/30 08/23 08/16 ± Week ± Month
Rare Slot Average: $0.98$1.00$0.99$1.06-$0.01-$0.07
Buy-A-Box Promo: $0.23$0.22$0.22$0.22$0.01$0.01
Total Set Value: $88.94$89.73$90.11$95.41-$0.79-$6.47
Booster Box EV: $62.39$64.08$63.09$66.61-$1.69-$4.22
Hit Over Miss: 823%793%796%779%30.23%43.91%
Top 5 Movers
Card 09/06 08/30 08/23 08/16 ± Week ± Month
Chandra, Torch of Defiance $10.03$10.85$12.58$13.55-$0.82-$3.52
Nissa, Vital Force $5.45$4.82$5.27$4.89$0.63$0.56
Concealed Courtyard $2.14$2.52$2.44$2.63-$0.38-$0.49
Blooming Marsh $4.28$4.56$3.78$5.67-$0.28-$1.39
Torrential Gearhulk $4.96$4.69$4.65$5.16$0.27-$0.20
Top Cards
Card 09/06 08/30 08/23 08/16 ± Week ± Month
Chandra, Torch of Defiance $10.03$10.85$12.58$13.55-$0.82-$3.52
Spirebluff Canal $6.14$6.24$6.07$5.91-$0.10$0.23
Nissa, Vital Force $5.45$4.82$5.27$4.89$0.63$0.56
Torrential Gearhulk $4.96$4.69$4.65$5.16$0.27-$0.20
Saheeli Rai $4.72$4.67$4.86$4.66$0.05$0.06
Blooming Marsh $4.28$4.56$3.78$5.67-$0.28-$1.39
Panharmonicon $3.84$3.70$3.26$4.04$0.14-$0.20
Botanical Sanctum $3.07$3.13$2.73$2.77-$0.06$0.30
Inventors' Fair $2.89$2.95$3.16$3.07-$0.06-$0.18
Aetherflux Reservoir $2.69$2.44$2.49$3.40$0.25-$0.71
Noxious Gearhulk $2.64$2.54$2.56$2.68$0.10-$0.04
Combustible Gearhulk $2.36$2.27$2.22$2.31$0.09$0.05
Angel of Invention $2.32$2.49$2.68$2.85-$0.17-$0.53
Concealed Courtyard $2.14$2.52$2.44$2.63-$0.38-$0.49
 
Commentary
For Kaladesh, most of its eternal-playable cards are at the top of the price list. Even if they fall, they do so much slower than the rest of the set. As Kaladesh sheds its price, it's doing so from the bottom, and we're seeing crazy shenanigans in value. Hit-over-miss has peaked over 800%, as there's only a few things left in value, and we're even further reliant on getting an Invention. The miss value has fallen to $20, so if you're looking at picking up one last box in hopes of an Invention - don't do it. For the love of all things marketable, stay away.
Set Overview
Metric 09/06 08/30 08/23 08/16 ± Week ± Month
KLD Invention Average: $106.62$106.67$106.62$106.52-$0.06$0.10
AER Invention Average: $86.19$86.64$87.07$86.66-$0.45-$0.47
KLD Invention Deviation: $83.55$83.46$83.47$83.50$0.09$0.05
AER Invention Deviation: $42.89$42.69$42.47$42.28$0.20$0.61
KLD Box Value: $26.65$26.67$26.65$26.63-$0.01$0.02
AER Box Value: $21.55$21.66$21.77$21.67-$0.11-$0.12
Total Set Value: $5,267.20$5,279.59$5,288.21$5,275.47-$12.39-$8.27
Top 5 Movers
Card 09/06 08/30 08/23 08/16 ± Week ± Month
Planar Bridge $53.78$57.31$62.95$63.32-$3.53-$9.54
Pithing Needle $71.33$73.44$73.44$73.07-$2.11-$1.74
Chrome Mox $103.59$105.59$105.15$105.56-$2.00-$1.97
Lotus Petal $128.48$126.59$126.26$126.26$1.89$2.22
Mox Opal $300.81$302.41$302.36$302.36-$1.60-$1.55
Top Cards
Card 09/06 08/30 08/23 08/16 ± Week ± Month
Sol Ring $359.66$358.22$358.22$358.22$1.44$1.44
Mox Opal $300.81$302.41$302.36$302.36-$1.60-$1.55
Mana Crypt $286.41$286.90$286.90$286.87-$0.49-$0.46
Mana Vault $234.83$233.39$233.67$233.67$1.44$1.16
Chalice of the Void $189.27$189.27$188.79$188.79$0.00$0.48
Ensnaring Bridge $169.22$170.02$169.88$167.84-$0.80$1.38
Aether Vial $156.64$156.64$155.92$154.58$0.00$2.06
Engineered Explosives $152.80$152.80$151.70$151.70$0.00$1.10
Arcbound Ravager $149.83$149.83$150.29$148.57$0.00$1.26
Crucible of Worlds $144.55$144.55$145.35$145.35$0.00-$0.80
Sword of Fire and Ice $135.97$135.97$135.97$135.97$0.00$0.00
Sword of Feast and Famine $131.30$132.79$132.51$133.19-$1.49-$1.89
Lotus Petal $128.48$126.59$126.26$126.26$1.89$2.22
Wurmcoil Engine $124.77$124.77$126.48$126.38$0.00-$1.61
Platinum Angel $108.64$108.64$109.52$109.60$0.00-$0.96
Chrome Mox $103.59$105.59$105.15$105.56-$2.00-$1.97
Sword of War and Peace $102.67$102.67$103.03$100.59$0.00$2.08
Chromatic Lantern $102.54$102.56$102.60$103.27-$0.02-$0.73
Solemn Simulacrum $98.69$98.94$98.79$98.79-$0.25-$0.10
Ornithopter $97.84$97.84$98.32$98.32$0.00-$0.48
Paradox Engine $93.69$93.69$94.19$94.19$0.00-$0.50
Lightning Greaves $91.59$91.59$91.89$91.89$0.00-$0.30
Sword of Light and Shadow $87.47$87.22$87.22$87.22$0.25$0.25
Oblivion Stone $85.76$86.32$86.40$86.00-$0.56-$0.24
Scroll Rack $84.26$83.22$80.89$80.59$1.04$3.67
Sword of Body and Mind $83.10$83.10$83.10$83.10$0.00$0.00
Steel Overseer $82.47$82.69$82.69$83.89-$0.22-$1.42
Rings of Brighthearth $79.93$80.85$81.04$81.45-$0.92-$1.52
Trinisphere $78.57$78.25$77.77$77.91$0.32$0.66
Staff of Domination $75.49$75.67$74.91$75.15-$0.18$0.34
Pithing Needle $71.33$73.44$73.44$73.07-$2.11-$1.74
Hangarback Walker $69.85$68.68$68.68$61.97$1.17$7.88
Sphere of Resistance $66.14$66.05$67.25$67.25$0.09-$1.11
Extraplanar Lens $58.19$58.71$59.77$59.67-$0.52-$1.48
Gauntlet of Power $57.86$57.86$59.27$59.05$0.00-$1.19
Cloudstone Curio $56.05$56.05$55.85$55.78$0.00$0.27
Defense Grid $54.42$55.94$56.90$56.90-$1.52-$2.48
Planar Bridge $53.78$57.31$62.95$63.32-$3.53-$9.54
Torrential Gearhulk $53.23$53.49$53.77$53.77-$0.26-$0.54
Meekstone $52.77$52.75$51.89$49.82$0.02$2.95
Champion's Helm $49.84$50.01$50.01$50.01-$0.17-$0.17
Vedalken Shackles $49.03$49.62$49.45$49.45-$0.59-$0.42
Painter's Servant $45.80$45.80$44.52$44.88$0.00$0.92
Grindstone $45.68$45.68$46.16$45.17$0.00$0.51
Sculpting Steel $44.38$44.74$44.78$44.78-$0.36-$0.40
Duplicant $43.68$45.11$45.68$45.24-$1.43-$1.56
Mind's Eye $41.97$42.81$45.69$47.50-$0.84-$5.53
Static Orb $38.66$38.64$39.74$40.43$0.02-$1.77
Combustible Gearhulk $37.13$37.69$36.22$36.22-$0.56$0.91
Noxious Gearhulk $36.85$36.85$34.95$34.51$0.00$2.34
Sundering Titan $32.57$32.49$32.40$32.48$0.08$0.09
Verdurous Gearhulk $32.22$32.02$32.44$32.44$0.20-$0.22
Black Vise $29.42$29.42$29.38$29.38$0.00$0.04
Cataclysmic Gearhulk $25.51$25.44$25.21$25.11$0.07$0.40
 
Commentary
One could get lost looking at such a large table of numbers, but the result is the same as Invocations: Inventions remains where it's been, and will continue to hold steady for some time.

Parting Thoughts...

As mentioned above, Guilds of Ravnica has begun its spoiler season. Official previews start Monday, and a keen seller will watch them closely. Shake ups will inevitably happen, but it's the major jumps we want to look for. It only takes one Felidar Guardian to make a Saheeli Rai skyrocket, and so too can it be with our current Standard. A more recent example lies with Tendershoot Dryad. It wasn't even on our tables until Dominaria's saproling and token strategies were revealed, but then proceeded to increase by 1,000% in less than two weeks. An opportunity like this doesn't come often, so you have to be vigilant. Watch the spoiler discussions, filter out the overly hyped comments, and see where the consensus lands. Once you've found your suspect, move quickly before you're left behind.

0

Comments

Posts Quoted:
Reply
Clear All Quotes