The Magic Market Index for May 26, 2016

Welcome to the Magic Market Index. This article series documents the price changes of cards currently in print. This article will track how cards go from release to its time out of Standard, and as long as deemed necessary for non-Standard sets, as well as offer insight into what cards to invest in and what to ignore. The Magic market is a dangerous place, and this article is here to help guide players and speculators through the murky waters to greater returns.

 

This article will be updated once a week on Thursdays. Currently, this article series is tracking Dragons of TarkirMagic Origins, Battle for Zendikar Block (Oath of the Gatewatch, Battle for Zendikar, Zendikar Expeditions) and Shadows Over Innistrad. There are no current plans to track any promo sets or other non-set releases. If it can be opened in a pack, it will be covered.  Eternal Masters will be covered as soon as the set is officially spoiled. 

 

 

Card prices are picked on Thursday morning from TCGplayer mid price, the price used by many for trading cards for cards. Going by the selling price involves whether to go by Ebay, TCGplayer low, Star City Games, or another vendor. It is just simpler and cleaner to go by the trade value of TCGplayer mid. Comments about cards are the opinions of the author, and should not be taken as facts or divine intervention. That said, comments and predictions are based on data and experience, not on idle speculation or an attempt to move certain cards. Cards that are worth $2.00 USD or more will be on the list. If a card is worth $1.99 or less, it will not appear on the list even if it was on the previous week. 

 

 

The Running Tally of Standard

 

 

Shadows Over Innistrad

Name   Price for 5/26 Price for 5/19 Price for 5/12 Price for 5/5 Price for 4/28  

Change for

5/19 to 5/26

Change for

4/28 to 5/26

  Comments
Nahiri, the Harbinger $35.92 $39.75 $23.09 $13.82 $12.29 $3.83 $23.63

The Standard market is not in a good place right now for reasons that will be explained in the overview.

 

Nahiri dropped as expected after surging very high and then not even top 8ing either Modern Grand Prix this last weekend.
                           

Archangel Avacyn $34.20 $36.70 $38.63 $40.00 $43.91 $2.50 $9.71
Sorin, Grim Nemesis $16.62 $18.00 $19.42 $19.59 $20.16 $1.38 $3.54
Arlinn Kord $14.52 $15.97 $17.04 $17.99 $18.82 $1.45 $4.30
Westvale Abbey $10.17 $10.49 $10.74 $10.97 $11.25 $0.32 $1.08
Declaration in Stone $9.99 $11.35 $11.95 $12.93 $13.89 $1.36 $3.90
Jace, Unraveler of Secrets $8.79 $9.26 $9.99 $10.47 $11.17 $0.47 $2.38
Relentless Dead $7.47 $7.99 $8.48 $8.99 $9.98 $0.52 $2.51
Olivia, Mobilized for War $7.01 $7.68 $8.21 $8.76 $9.74 $0.67 $2.73
Thing in the Ice $6.80 $7.58 $8.50 $9.15 $10.25 $0.78 $3.45
Tireless Tracker  $5.56 $5.80 $5.96 $6.13 $6.49 $0.24 $0.93
Seasons Past $5.18 $6.36 $7.19 $7.85 $9.14 $1.18 $3.96
Cryptolith Rite $5.14 $5.53 $5.90 $5.96 $6.79 $0.39 $1.65
The Gitrog Monster $4.75 $5.00 $5.46 $5.79 $6.50 $0.25 $1.75
Thalia's Lieutenant $4.09 $4.78 $5.25 $5.61 $5.99 $0.69 $1.90
Startled Awake $3.76 $3.76 $3.86 $3.86 $3.78 $0.00 $0.02
Foreboding Ruins $3.08 $3.30 $3.53 $3.72 $3.93 $0.22 $0.85
Sigarda, Heron's Grace $3.07 $3.45 $3.76 $3.84 $3.93 $0.38 $0.86
Anguished Unmaking $2.99 $3.42 $3.83 $4.09 $4.49 $0.43 $1.50
Mindwrack Demon $2.99 $3.30 $3.75 $4.14 $4.45 $0.31 $1.46
Game Trail $2.98 $3.20 $3.42 $3.55 $3.65 $0.22 $0.67
Ulvenwald Hydra $2.98 $3.09 $3.49 $3.60 $4.15 $0.11 $1.17
Traverse the Ulvenwald $2.93 $3.16 $3.57 $3.87 $4.00 $0.23 $1.07
Fortified Village $2.87 $3.09 $3.34 $3.50 $3.72 $0.22 $0.85
Port Town $2.80 $3.09 $3.46 $3.62 $3.93 $0.29 $1.13
Always Watching $2.77 $3.11 $3.30 $3.62 $3.93 $0.34 $1.16
Duskwatch Recruiter $2.65 $2.73 $2.73 $2.70 $2.50 $0.08 $0.15
Brain in a Jar $2.51 $2.68 $2.95 $2.90 - $0.17 -
Choked Estuary $2.39 $2.67 $2.93 $3.01 $3.20 $0.28 $0.81
Descend upon the Sinful $2.14 $2.25 $2.36 $2.49 $2.61 $0.11 $0.47

 


Oath of the Gatewatch

Name   Price for 5/26 Price for 5/19 Price for 5/12 Price for 5/5 Price for 4/28  

Change for

5/19 to 5/26

Change for

4/28 to 5/26

  Comments
Kalitas, Traitor of Ghet $31.95 $32.02 $30.75 $29.09 $26.98 $0.07 $4.97

The Standard market is not in a good place right now for reasons that will be explained in the overview.

 

Eldrazi Displacer going up is a good sign in a market where even cards played outside of Standard formats still dropped.

Chandra, Flamecaller $23.69 $26.61 $27.88 $27.99 $27.93 $2.92 $4.24
Nissa, Voice of Zendikar $14.95 $15.01 $15.45 $15.22 $14.78 $0.06 $0.17
Thought-Knot Seer $7.39 $7.60 $7.91 $7.97 $7.98 $0.21 $0.59
Sylvan Advocate $7.25 $7.72 $7.99 $8.00 $8.25 $0.47 $1.00
Kozilek's Return $6.99 $7.30 $7.41 $7.50 $7.35 $0.31 $0.36
World Breaker $6.78 $6.88 $7.08 $7.24 $7.26 $0.10 $0.48
Kozilek, the Great Distortion $6.09 $6.40 $6.76 $6.89 $6.99 $0.31 $0.90
Hissing Quagmire $5.92 $6.13 $6.39 $6.19 $6.03 $0.21 $0.11
Eldrazi Displacer $3.99 $3.89 $3.88 $3.81 $3.72 $0.10 $0.27
Reality Smasher $3.94 $4.00 $4.25 $4.39 $4.49 $0.06 $0.55
Wandering Fumarole $3.49 $3.63 $3.75 $3.75 $3.66 $0.14 $0.17
Linvala, the Preserver $3.30 $3.50 $3.73 $3.75 $3.50 $0.20 $0.20
Mirrorpool $2.95 $3.19 $3.40 $3.49 $3.53 $0.24 $0.58
Oath of Nissa $2.88 $2.95 $2.99 $2.98 $2.75 $0.07 $0.13
Goblin Dark-Dwellers $2.87 $2.98 $3.05 $3.12 $3.01 $0.11 $0.14
Matter Reshaper $2.05 $2.20 $2.38 $2.49 $2.61 $0.15 $0.56

 

 

Battle for Zendikar

Name   Price for 5/26 Price for 5/19 Price for 5/12 Price for 5/5 Price for 4/28  

Change for

5/19 to 5/26

Change for

4/28 to 5/26

  Comments
Gideon, Ally of Zendikar $22.95 $22.90 $22.82 $22.77 $22.01 $0.05 $0.94 The Standard market is not in a good place right now for reasons that will be explained in the overview.
Ulamog, the Ceaseless Hunger $14.46 $15.00 $15.89 $16.00 $16.17 $0.54 $1.71
Drana, Liberator of Malakir $8.84 $9.99 $11.75 $12.80 $13.55 $1.15 $4.71
Ob Nixilis Reignited $8.01 $8.32 $8.51 $8.51 $8.50 $0.31 $0.49
Shambling Vent $5.09 $5.50 $5.93 $5.96 $5.96 $0.41 $0.87
Part the Waterveil $4.99 $5.21 $5.50 $5.28 $2.13 $0.22 $2.86
Smoldering Marsh $4.50 $4.99 $5.49 $5.59 $5.61 $0.49 $1.11
Cinder Glade $4.44 $4.75 $5.00 $5.10 $5.30 $0.31 $0.86
Prairie Stream $4.32 $4.66 $4.94 $4.97 $4.99 $0.34 $0.67
Canopy Vista $4.00 $4.36 $4.50 $4.63 $4.58 $0.36 $0.58
Sunken Hollow $3.88 $4.20 $4.50 $4.63 $4.74 $0.32 $0.86
Kiora, Master of the Depths $3.13 $3.25 $3.34 $3.37 $3.45 $0.12 $0.32
Dragonmaster Outcast $2.90 $2.99 $3.09 $3.07 $3.05 $0.09 $0.15
Oblivion Sower $2.82 $3.00 $3.32 $3.50 $3.69 $0.18 $0.87
Void Winnower $2.47 $2.50 $2.56 $2.59 $2.62 $0.03 $0.15
Undergrowth Champion $2.38 $2.50 $2.70 $2.74 $2.78 $0.12 $0.40
Lumbering Falls $2.29 $2.47 $2.54 $2.54 $2.49 $0.18 $0.20

 

 

Magic Origins

Name   Price for 5/26 Price for 5/19 Price for 5/12 Price for 5/5 Price for 4/28  

Change for

5/19 to 5/26

Change for

4/28 to 5/26

  Comments
Jace, Vryn's Prodigy  $56.53 $67.99 $74.99 $79.97 $81.99 $11.46 $25.46

The Standard market is not in a good place right now for reasons that will be explained in the overview.

 

It looks like Jace has come back down to reality. 

Liliana, Heretical Healer  $23.51 $26.00 $27.68 $29.50 $28.28 $2.49 $4.77
Nissa, Vastwood Seer $17.64 $17.95 $18.50 $18.30 $17.50 $0.31 $0.14
Archangel of Tithes $11.86 $14.48 $16.73 $18.05 $19.98 $2.62 $8.12
Pyromancer's Goggles $10.90 $12.54 $15.06 $16.61 $18.68 $1.64 $7.78
Kytheon, Hero of Akros  $12.50 $13.73 $14.60 $15.24 $15.20 $1.23 $2.70
Languish $8.47 $8.70 $8.95 $9.00 $8.50 $0.23 $0.03
Hangarback Walker $6.72 $7.19 $7.82 $8.00 $8.23 $0.47 $1.51
Dark Petition $5.87 $6.56 $6.82 $6.98 $7.33 $0.69 $1.46
Knight of the White Orchid $4.73 $5.25 $5.96 $6.48 $7.08 $0.52 $2.35
Chandra, Fire of Kaladesh $5.26 $5.49 $5.75 $5.82 $5.98 $0.23 $0.72
Alhammarret's Archive $4.95 $5.03 $5.00 $4.99 $4.99 $0.08 $0.04
Abbot of Keral Keep $3.25 $3.95 $4.67 $5.26 $5.99 $0.70 $2.74
Pia and Kiran Nalaar $3.20 $3.53 $3.92 $4.08 $4.36 $0.33 $1.16
Shivan Reef $3.52 $3.79 $3.91 $3.99 $3.95 $0.27 $0.43
Goblin Piledriver $2.99 $3.26 $3.52 $3.75 $3.95 $0.27 $0.96
Infinite Obliteration $3.09 $3.28 $3.44 $3.49 $3.51 $0.19 $0.42
Sphinx's Tutelage $3.27 $3.38 $3.38 $3.36 $3.08 $0.11 $0.19
Demonic Pact $2.70 $2.83 $2.91 $2.93 $2.92 $0.13 $0.22
Day's Undoing  $2.75 $2.83 $2.88 $2.85 $2.88 $0.08 $0.13
Starfield of Nyx $2.68 $2.79 $2.84 $2.84 $2.88 $0.11 $0.20
Avaricious Dragon $2.32 $2.44 $2.75 $2.88 $3.01 $0.12 $0.69
Hallowed Moonlight $2.32 $2.44 $2.65 $2.78 $2.99 $0.12 $0.67
Exquisite Firecraft $2.31 $2.47 $2.56 $2.57 $2.67 $0.16 $0.36
Managorger Hydra $2.14 $2.30 $2.45 $2.51 $2.69 $0.16 $0.55
Sword of the Animist $2.29 $2.31 $2.35 $2.35 $2.38 $0.02 $0.09
Caves of Koilos $2.22 $2.28 $2.31 $2.32 $2.37 $0.06 $0.15
Llanowar Wastes $2.04 $2.14 $2.14 $2.19 $2.12 $0.10 $0.08

 

 

 

Dragons of Tarkir

Name   Price for 5/26 Price for 5/19 Price for 5/12 Price for 5/5 Price for 4/28  

Change for

5/19 to 5/26

Change for

4/28 to 5/26

  Comments
Collected Company $23.71 $24.04 $24.50 $24.77 $23.74 $0.33 $0.03 The Standard market is not in a good place right now for reasons that will be explained in the overview.
Dragonlord Ojutai $16.00 $17.38 $17.74 $17.92 $17.99 $1.38 $1.99
Kolaghan's Command $15.31 $16.04 $17.43 $18.00 $18.82 $0.73 $3.51
Dragonlord Atarka $12.78 $13.45 $13.28 $13.20 $12.72 $0.67 $0.06
Narset Transcendent $11.90 $12.07 $12.18 $12.28 $11.25 $0.17 $0.65
Secure the Wastes $10.99 $11.34 $11.30 $11.30 $10.90 $0.35 $0.09
Atarka's Command $9.24 $9.91 $10.49 $10.92 $11.36 $0.67 $2.12
Deathmist Raptor $7.99 $8.96 $10.00 $10.57 $11.23 $0.97 $3.24
Dragonlord Silumgar $7.66 $7.50 $7.46 $6.65 $6.33 $0.16 $1.33
Dragonlord Dromoka $6.90 $7.12 $6.99 $6.99 $7.00 $0.22 $0.10
Sarkhan Unbroken $5.78 $5.95 $5.97 $6.00 $6.05 $0.17 $0.27
Den Protector $5.08 $5.84 $6.35 $6.64 $6.98 $0.76 $1.90
Risen Executioner $4.79 $5.06 $5.33 $5.50 $5.59 $0.27 $0.80
Dromoka's Command $4.50 $4.60 $4.70 $4.65 $4.50 $0.10 $0.00
Dragonlord Kolaghan $4.16 $4.16 $4.00 $4.00 $4.00 $0.00 $0.16
Sidisi, Undead Vizor $3.46 $3.57 $3.59 $3.56 $3.51 $0.11 $0.05
Thunderbreak Regent $3.10 $3.44 $3.69 $3.85 $3.94 $0.34 $0.84
Shaman of Forgotten Ways $2.96 $2.99 $3.00 $3.00 $3.00 $0.03 $0.04
Anafenza, Kin-Tree Spirit $2.27 $2.37 $2.36 $2.47 $2.33 $0.10 $0.06
Descent of Dragons $2.20 $2.19 $2.20 $2.22 $2.19 $0.01 $0.01
Silkwrap $2.17 $2.29 $2.47 $2.50 $2.49 $0.12 $0.32
Haven of the Spirit Dragon $2.00 $2.08 $2.20 $2.26 $2.29 $0.08 $0.29

 

 

 

 

 

Zendikar Expeditions

Name   Price for 5/26 Price for 5/19 Price for 5/12 Price for 5/5 Price for 4/28  

Change for

5/19 to 5/26

Change for

4/28 to 5/26

  Comments
Scalding Tarn $289.46 $289.97 $289.99 $289.25 $289.98 $0.51 $0.52 Expeditions are still worth money, but not worth buying pack hoping to open them.    
Polluted Delta $254.89 $269.27 $259.27 $255.40 $255.73 $14.38 $0.84
Misty Rainforest $251.45 $262.00 $251.80 $246.99 $242.25 $10.55 $9.20
Flooded Strand $197.29 $197.99 $197.52 $199.95 $199.95 $0.70 $2.66
Verdant Catacombs $185.12 $186.21 $188.90 $189.99 $189.66 $1.09 $4.54
Wasteland $153.31 $154.83 $160.01 $156.74 $163.46 $1.52 $10.15
Wooded Foothills $138.04 $137.87 $139.89 $138.76 $138.31 $0.17 $0.27
Windswept Heath $129.99 $129.99 $130.00 $130.00 $130.00 $0.00 $0.01
Arid Mesa $127.03 $126.97 $128.14 $127.17 $125.10 $0.06 $1.93
Bloodstained Mire $124.79 $124.86 $124.79 $125.60 $123.96 $0.07 $0.83
Horizon Canopy $120.00 $117.00 $119.57 $118.19 $120.05 $3.00 $0.05
Marsh Flats $115.00 $117.74 $118.53 $119.01 $119.99 $2.74 $4.99
Steam Vents $108.40 $110.46 $110.00 $110.00 $114.00 $2.06 $5.60
Godless Shrine $96.97 $96.95 $94.31 $93.12 $92.46 $0.02 $4.51
Overgrown Tomb $90.39 $93.80 $90.22 $88.76 $89.54 $3.41 $0.85
Ancient Tomb $89.99 $89.71 $87.20 $86.98 $85.00 $0.28 $4.99
Stomping Ground $84.99 $84.99 $85.49 $85.99 $84.99 $0.00 $0.00
Breeding Pool $80.50 $80.00 $79.99 $80.75 $80.75 $0.50 $0.25
Sacred Foundry $77.36 $78.31 $77.29 $76.38 $75.00 $0.95 $2.36
Hallowed Fountain $76.86 $77.00 $77.49 $78.18 $78.12 $0.14 $1.26
Eye of Ugin $76.76 $77.00 $77.35 $79.60 $77.54 $0.24 $0.78
Temple Garden $76.50 $76.00 $75.27 $75.00 $75.00 $0.50 $1.50
Blood Crypt $76.25 $77.24 $77.17 $77.64 $78.31 $0.99 $2.06
Watery Grave $76.22 $75.63 $75.70 $77.48 $76.85 $0.59 $0.63
Strip Mine $74.74 $74.10 $73.45 $71.21 $69.32 $0.64 $5.42
Twilight Mire $64.28 $64.49 $66.13 $66.45 $67.76 $0.21 $3.48
Cascade Bluffs $60.25 $61.70 $64.09 $64.97 $62.35 $1.45 $2.10
Mystic Gate $55.43 $56.30 $57.00 $57.38 $59.44 $0.87 $4.01
Flooded Grove $53.00 $54.14 $54.99 $54.99 $56.19 $1.14 $3.19
Fetid Heath $51.38 $52.57 $51.69 $52.22 $54.71 $1.19 $3.33
Fire-Lit Thicket $50.15 $50.07 $51.35 $52.26 $52.23 $0.08 $2.08
Mana Confluence $49.96 $49.74 $50.12 $49.99 $49.96 $0.22 $0.00
Sunken Ruins $48.88 $49.98 $51.86 $51.69 $51.30 $1.10 $2.42
Prairie Stream $46.45 $46.54 $47.16 $47.94 $46.95 $0.09 $0.50
Sunken Hollow $44.99 $45.65 $47.03 $46.91 $47.02 $0.66 $2.03
Cinder Glade $44.94 $44.37 $44.83 $45.00 $44.32 $0.57 $0.62
Tectonic Edge $43.07 $44.65 $45.00 $45.02 $45.00 $1.58 $1.93
Canopy Vista $42.90 $42.93 $43.74 $43.48 $43.70 $0.03 $0.80
Wooded Bastion $41.80 $41.86 $42.81 $42.68 $43.60 $0.06 $1.80
Graven Cairns $41.75 $41.32 $41.45 $41.35 $42.00 $0.43 $0.25
Dust Bowl $41.66 $42.74 $42.74 $42.99 $42.74 $1.08 $1.08
Forbiddened Orchard $41.40 $41.76 $41.68 $42.46 $43.46 $0.36 $2.06
Smoldering Marsh $40.00 $41.12 $40.35 $39.99 $40.00 $1.12 $0.00
Kor Haven $39.16 $39.34 $39.45 $39.42 $39.89 $0.18 $0.73
Rugged Prairie $39.15 $38.32 $39.69 $39.14 $40.82 $0.83 $1.67

 

 

 


 

Overall Summary

 

The state of the Magic market is losing value.

 

The value in Standard is draining across the board. This is probably a combination of Standard is in a standstill, the Modern Grand Prix events recently, and Eternal Masters coming out now, which is demanding a lot of attention. Standard currently feels stale, with there not really being a clear number deck to lead the pack and no real shifting in the meta. There is not a lot of good sideboard hate for some decks, and hand/field disruption is at a high point, as well as Collected Company limiting deckbuilding and what to play around. This translates into Standard being kind of a void that is defined by certain cards rather than by decks. Eldritch Moon should shake up the meta, but the loss of Dragons of Tarkir and Magic Origins when the next block comes around will be rather stifling. 

 

The second issue is the amount of Modern events going on with little or no Standard events alongside them. The attention is mostly around Modern and what Nahiri was doing, as well what will do well at Modern Weekend, which focused a lot of attention on Modern. There simply was not interest in playing Standard among the pros and great deckbuilders, but that should end now and attention diverted somewhat to Standard, although the third point is dominating the conversation and most likely the cause of the Standard market slump. Eternal Masters is the set players are interested in as it has some of the most iconic and powerful cards that can be reprinted, and now a new generation can open these powerful cards for the first time without spending a lot of money on pack that may only have a bad rare. As of the writing of this article, the set looks very good and is worth the hype it is getting, and once there is an official spoiling of the entire set, then there will be a market review of the set. 

 

There is no Standard set to really buy packs or boxes of, but if you really want to buy a box or packs  of a Standard set, Dragon of Tarkir is the best bet for value. However, you should be saying your money for a box or packs of Eternal Masters. That set will be good for value if the current trend of good cards are reprinted. Or buying singles of the cards in Standard that are not high end cards, as all of them are going down, and will most likely continue to go down. 

 

 

Hopefully next week will be more positive and more to talk about. This is not a sign of bad things to come  just this has been a weak week in a overall good few months of Standard. 

 

 

Cards to Watch

 

Previously, these were predicted to spike:

 

Note: Standard is a downward spiral, so none of the cards are expected to go up in retrospect. 

Llanowar Wastes: Did not go up.

Anafenza, Kin-Tree Spirit : This should have done up, but it did not.

Tireless Tracker: This is going to go up, but not today apparently. 

 

This week:

 

Sin Prodder This is not a prediction for the card to go up next week or even next month, but after Eldritch Moon comes out and maybe later.

 

 

Cards to Avoid

 

Previously, these were predicted to fall:

 

Jace, Vryn's Prodigy: It dropped to $55.  It will drop more. 

 

This week:

 

Most of Standard. Now is not a good time to buy high end Standard cards.

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